PGA FORUM

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  • whodat2

    When: August 8-11

    Where: Jersey City, New Jersey

    Course: Liberty National CG | A Par 71 playing at 7370 yards

    Last Year’s Winner: Bryson Dechambeau at -18

    Last Year’s Cut: E

    Coverage: PGATourLive| Golf Channel | CBS

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    RG Golf Forum League

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    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

    2019 FGWC? (Follow BIF, wigg_ESEA, Dunzor, Felixxberg, and SpudCrowley)

  • DayThugginFOURlife

    @monarch said...

    My experience across all DFS is when you fade a play that you were previously committed to…they end up doing very well. Scott grades out very well at this course and his price is excellent.

    Adam Scott thru the season so far is 54th in greens in reg, driving accuracy Scott’s 122nd and by going off my model this week I’m looking at solely weighted accuracy off tee, and T2G and Scott this week just isn’t at my top end of guys I like this week..he can bomb it but he’s not playing extremely well this year IMO.

  • Brandon6385

    Thoughts on Leishman?

  • robpazz07

    Pat Cantlay – Winner
    Jon Rahmbo – first day leader
    Ian Poulter, Tony Finau, Matt Kucher – top 10

  • XxHeisenbergxX

    @Felixxberg said...

    So, Cantlay-Niemann or Matsuyama-Finau?

    Edit: for the FGWC that is

    I never use Matsuyama ever he is on my choke list…the other 3 I like a lot.

  • Pbasniper

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Thoughts on Leishman?

    I think from that 7600-7900 range he is a pivot off ownership if you’re looking for that. I would suspect some other guys end up a lot higher owned in that range if that matters to you, if not you have Rory2, Woodland, Oosty etc you can throw a dart at and hope you pick the right one!

  • Felixxberg

    Thanks to all for the answers! Reed is already in my lineup so I can’t do Finau-Reed.

    My current lineup has Cantlay-Niemann, and I know they both do check a lot of boxes, but I don’t get why Niemann is that popular. I have played him numerous times and he has been money, but I have never played him in majors (I play this week’s tournament as a major) because he’s just not good in them. He made the cut only once in 5 tries and it was a T71st. He’s good and trending up, and the course fits his style, but he has proven that he just can’t figure out majors.

    Also, every bet site has Matsuyama-Finau as a better play if you just add odds to win together.

  • js5734

    i dont see why neimann is projected at 17% ownership – he has almost no chance at winning this event when guys priced right around have already shown they can win a strong field event or place very highly – i am only going one lineup this week in the $555 but if i was making multiple lineups he would be an easy full fade for me at that level of ownership

  • monarch

    His deficiency is around the greens and just about every major requires you to be above average in that aspect. I don’t think LNGC is quite as penal as Royal Portrush on errant shots.

    With that said…Niemman has been gaining strokes in every category in his last ten events on average including ARG and Putting.

  • Dunzor

    So I just realized that Piercy is paired with Tiger and that usually is not where you want your guys to have to deal with that craziness, so I think that makes my decision easier and I think I have now locked in my FGWC lineup. It’s probably gonna be higher in total ownership than I might want, but in such a small contest in terms of entrants ownership is less of a concern

  • Brandon6385

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

  • MattLiv1212

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

    Max Homa. Fire twitter game and actually has decent SG Approach for a 6K guy

  • Pbasniper

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

    Spaun, Cauley, Wise, Munoz, Gooch, Watney. That’s my order of preference on the under 6k, full disclosure not playing anyone in that price range this week in my single bullet but in a few builds I looked at those were guys I mixed in.

  • Felixxberg

    @Pbasniper said...

    Spaun, Cauley, Wise, Munoz, Gooch, Watney.

    Wise is probably the only one of them who could win. The others are potential top 25 targets, but I don’t think any of them could win.

  • kps3205s

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

    Personally doing a single LU this week and it’s Cameron Tringale for me. I’m a minimalist when it comes to research as I only do the freebie stuff.

    Two I saw on a freebie website I read said this based on using Fantasy Golf National site:

    Nick Taylor ($6,800) → Projected Ownership: 4%; Needs a good finish and has average/above average stats: 45th in SG: BS, 44th in SG: APP, 31st in Par 4s 400-450, 12th in GIRs Gained… nothing amazing but for his price, we don’t need a Top 5 finish; Taylor comes in with decent form, making 4 straight cuts, including a T15 2 weeks ago at the Barbasol while quietly finishing 8th at this event last year.

    Adam Svensson ($6,400) → Projected Ownership: 3%; Another dart play here but Svensson ranks 8th in the field in SG: BS, 9th in SG: APP, 11th in GIRs Gained, 31st in SG: Par 5s, 20th in Fairways Gained, and 38th in BoB/Opps. Gained… obviously volatile but a few shares of him allows a ton of flexibility with the rest of your lineup and we’re really just looking for a made cut with upside. But he has lost strokes putting in 11 straight events.

    Hope this helps.

  • hautalak

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

    Can’t say I “like” them but I’ve used the most Watney so far (CH sucker for me). Also have shares of the Canadian guys in Conners, Sloan, and Hughes. Mix in a bit of Every and Armour and there you have it. If you can bump up I actually do “like” a 7K Na…

  • Felixxberg

    Winner: Reed
    Fade: Everyone who is not in my FGWC lineup
    Sleeper: Is Day a sleeper? I just hope he doesn’t sleep during the Day

    Winner: BIF, wigg_ESEA, Dunzor or SpudCrowley
    Fade: Everyone who is not in the FGWC (Sorry but please let us win this week. We’ll let you win the other ones!)
    Sleeper: Me

  • byo34

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Thoughts on Leishman?

    I like him.

    It will be another week where he doesn’t get talked about at all then end up top 7 in ownership.

  • kbarnhill7523

    • 815

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    • x2

      2017 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    @Felixxberg said...

    Thanks to all for the answers! Reed is already in my lineup so I can’t do Finau-Reed.

    My current lineup has Cantlay-Niemann, and I know they both do check a lot of boxes, but I don’t get why Niemann is that popular. I have played him numerous times and he has been money, but I have never played him in majors (I play this week’s tournament as a major) because he’s just not good in them. He made the cut only once in 5 tries and it was a T71st. He’s good and trending up, and the course fits his style, but he has proven that he just can’t figure out majors.

    Also, every bet site has Matsuyama-Finau as a better play if you just add odds to win together.

    I can’t get away from Sungjae Im this week. He’s the same price as Niemann. I’m also a huge fan of Sergio and Lucas Glover in this same area.

    Sungjae, though, will be crazy low owned and can pop off for a huge round at any time.

    Also, sounds like you are going really chalky. I’m not NOT a fan of this, but having played in two live finals before (one where the chalk hit and another where the chalk did not hit) I would just play whoever your research is leading you to.

    It could be a once in a lifetime thing and out of 200 guys to have a shot at a huge payday is awesome! Make sure you play YOUR lineup YOUR way.

    I didn’t try to qualify for this because I suck at single lineup golf. But I’m mad jealous since this is a great week for a contest like this. Good luck to everyone who is in it!

  • wigg_ESEA

    • 513

      RG Overall Ranking

    If I place top 5 in the fgwc I’ll do a free roll with a 1k prize pool next week. 👍

  • BrianVT

    @Brandon6385 said...

    Anyone has thoughts on the guys under $7k that are interesting? I’m trying a stars/scrubs type in a few 3 max, SE, seeing the build might lean to a balanced approach

    I’m sticking with Straka.

  • js5734

    Does anyone think reed will be over owned in the higher dollar contests? Ownership projections on the site say 13-14 but for the 5 dollar GPP – I would be more inclined to fade if he was going to be 25% in the $555

  • Pbasniper

    @Felixxberg said...

    Wise is probably the only one of them who could win. The others are potential top 25 targets, but I don’t think any of them could win.

    When you’re digging in the mud you aren’t really looking for W’s right? I would say Cauley/Gooch can win and will win a PGA event in next year or two but probably not a stacked field event.

  • Percsalert

    @js5734 said...

    Does anyone think reed will be over owned in the higher dollar contests? Ownership projections on the site say 13-14 but for the 5 dollar GPP – I would be more inclined to fade if he was going to be 25% in the $555

    Everyone hates clicking reed at high stakes. He won’t break 12% in 555

  • BerkeleyBoss

    Winner: Rahm
    Fade: Koepka (I’m stubborn lol)
    Sleeper: Lowry

  • Pbasniper

    @js5734 said...

    Does anyone think reed will be over owned in the higher dollar contests? Ownership projections on the site say 13-14 but for the 5 dollar GPP – I would be more inclined to fade if he was going to be 25% in the $555

    I think he’ll end up higher owned in larger buy in events but not like a jump from 13% to 25%. Maybe in smaller events he’s 10-14% depending on GPP and the $555 he’s like 16-19%? Could be some recency bias where people back off of him since he was pretty well owned in the bigger events last week and didn’t really pay off price.

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