PGA FORUM

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  • whodat2

    When: July 18-21

    Where: Portrush, Northern Ireland (5 hours ahead of eastern time)

    Course: Royal Portrush GC | A par 71 links-style course, plating at 7337 yards.

    Last Year’s Winner: Francesco Molinari at -8

    Last Year’s Cut: +3

    Cut Rule: Top 70 plus ties. No MDF

    Coverage: Golf Channel – Thur / Fri at 1:30am EST (possibly Sat and Sun as well) | NBC – Sat / Sun at 7am EST | DirecTV channels 701-704

    Google Doc

    RG Golf Forum League

    Happy Meal Standings

    There is no shot-tracker on PGAtour.com this week. | www.theopen.com will possibly have one, as well as the ability to stream coverage.

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • timusbr

    @superstars92 said...

    Are we just talking about ownership here? I’m not saying the highest owned player is the best play. I think if the winner of the Scottish Open is a big name, it’ll change his ownership a bit higher, but in Webb’s range, I don’t think the winner of the Scottish Open will overtake him in ownership. Hao-Tong Li and Matt Wallace can win by like 10 strokes and I still think Webb is higher owned. It’s just a precedent set that when Webb is mid 7ks in majors and in good form, he becomes ultra owned (like the US Open he was like 40% and way higher than everyone else).

    some good education….
    I think ownership is important if you play a major Gpp. It must be factored in. It can help me decide pivots, because I prefer to go against the crowd. I am terrible at picking winners and ownership. I tried to study and get better at determining ownership in the past and ……It was too time consuming and difficult. I wont pay for someone elses opinions so I stick with the weekly gossip.

  • dangasin

    and I can get tiger woods at 10200? sign me up

  • BIF

    @superstars92 said...

    IMO, the contrarian play here off of the chalky 7.5k – 9k range is Tony Finau. It’s so interesting because last year he woulda been the chalky play at that range, but now he’s the contrarian play.

    I was thinking Sergio – smallish greens for an Open course so ball striking at a premium – price is dirt cheap for a major champion who is a great driver, good iron player and a guy who can pitch, chip and putt well when focused. If he shows up, he Top 10’s in his sleep.

  • NoLimits0

    I just saw this Open Thread.

    I don’t agree Webb is a free square. This seems like the perfect tournament to pivot.

    I really like Snedeker here. I’m sure he’s gonna luckbox into 5 hole outs.

  • mcguirknba

    Pat Mayo link: https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/74182973

  • JH822547

    Just listened to the first Mayo preview and they both mentioned Mark Leishman as a strong fancy and I audibly groaned.

    I’ll have Oost again but Leish can absolutely shove it.

  • Kp24

    @BIF said...

    I was thinking Sergio – smallish greens for an Open course so ball striking at a premium – price is dirt cheap for a major champion who is a great driver, good iron player and a guy who can pitch, chip and putt well when focused. If he shows up, he Top 10’s in his sleep.

    Playing Sergio again in a major is so scary to me. He’s been in my $3k team for last years Ope, doubles down and put him on my big team at The Masters. I got some serious scar tissue there.

    But as you said, his ball striking could carry him here. And his overall Open long term results show his affinity for Open setups and links play.

  • byo34

    Really liking Furyk if distance doesn’t matter here. Accurate off the tee and of course great GIR.

  • superstars92

    I know one player who will go very underowned: Rickie Fowler.

  • Felixxberg

    • 2019 DraftKings FGWC Finalist

    • 2019 DraftKings FHWC Finalist

    @superstars92 said...

    I know one player who will go very underowned: Rickie Fowler.

    Not sure he will. Most people (like me) just like the guy, and he’s not that expensive. The $9K-$10K ownership should be pretty spread out though, so he probably won’t be really “overowned” either.

  • superstars92

    @Felixxberg said...

    Not sure he will. Most people (like me) just like the guy, and he’s not that expensive. The $9K-$10K ownership should be pretty spread out though, so he probably won’t be really “overowned” either.

    I’m gonna say 8.7% and see how close I am.

  • BIF

    @superstars92 said...

    I’m gonna say 8.7% and see how close I am.

    I think you are about 4% too low – Rickie always garners 10+% ownership and will be a popular pivot in his price range as well as popular in the balanced fade-Rory LU crowd as well.

    Fowler is 8/9 in made cuts at The Open and even better overall on Links courses – he has had a couple Top 5’s in The Open. Short game probably more important here than some other past Open courses which fits Rickie well too.

  • joephoto

    I did well last week with 10 cent sattys, and now have 60- $20 Milly tix for this event.
    Big week for me. Gotta make 60 unique lineups. Find 2 guys to trust and go from there.

  • Goesch89

    Leishman seems to be one of the guys that isn’t a tout staple that is getting a lot of love for next week.

  • byo34

    Guessing RCB will be very popular this week. He normally always is highly owned in DFS as it is, but he is in great form right now. Hard to pass him up at 7500.

  • keephustlincuz

    @byo34 said...

    Guessing RCB will be very popular this week. He normally always is highly owned in DFS as it is, but he is in great form right now. Hard to pass him up at 7500.

    Agree. People will see that 2012 result and load up. I will have some but he could end being 20% owned.

    You can make some nice teams if you start with rcb and webb.

    Do you think this will be a popular strategy?

  • Goesch89

    The balanced build always seems to be popular at majors. Webb and RCB are two “reliable” cheaper guys that lend themselves perfectly to that type of build. I feel like of the 4 majors, stars and scrubs is more likely to work better at the Masters, (due to higher percentage of the field making the cut), and the Open; due to much of the field being less practiced at the links style combined with many “scrubs” that are familiar with that style.

  • NoLimits0

    RCB and Sneds make up the “luckbox” team. Great pairing.

  • NoLimits0

    @Goesch89 said...

    The balanced build always seems to be popular at majors. Webb and RCB are two “reliable” cheaper guys that lend themselves perfectly to that type of build. I feel like of the 4 majors, stars and scrubs is more likely to work better at the Masters, (due to higher percentage of the field making the cut), and the Open; due to much of the field being less practiced at the links style combined with many “scrubs” that are familiar with that style.

    There’s statistical evidence of the opposite from what I’ve read?

  • Goesch89

    I’d be interested to read that

  • BIF

    @NoLimits0 said...

    RCB and Sneds make up the “luckbox” team. Great pairing.

    You’ve mentioned Sneds a couple times and keep saying luckbox – what is so luckbox about Sneds ??

    He has missed 4 of the last 8 cuts in The Open and only has a couple Top 10’s all year – this would definitely be an off year for Sneds based on history.

    ….and for someone who has played Sneds a fair bit waiting for that big result, I can tell you there has not been any luckbox magic from him that has filled my wallet for quite a while !

  • johnsm10

    Can I get some advice on a good player pool size if I’m entering 12 lineups into GPP?

  • superstars92

    @Goesch89 said...

    I’d be interested to read that

    Not sure what he’s exactly referring to, but I think Felixxberg posted some analysis on this in the PGA thread. Hope he checks this since he is the one with the data and I forgot the exact numbers.

  • superstars92

    Saw Rory play at the Scottish Open. He played so pathetically it’s embarrassing. Not sure if this means anything for next week though. I imagine his SG: T2G was one of the worse in the field for anyone who made the cut.

  • Slow503

    Alot people been playing bad especially before opens or championships. Just wonder how I can pick the winner and 2 favs with decent points and underdogs that made it and still lost. So hard to even win more than the minimum

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