PGA FORUM

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  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    I’m pleased with how the initial forecast went, and I’m getting a lot of requests for a weekend update (which I suppose is a good thing). Here’s the latest, again it’s not going to be easy to avoid peak winds…

    Saturday – Mostly dry, windy.
    AM – Might actually start out with a bit of light rain very early, but I expect most of that will be clear or clearing by the time things get going. Winds should get going pretty early, maybe a quick timeframe of 10-15mph in the very early morning, but quickly reaching 15-20mph (winds increasing quick enough that you can’t squeeze in quality golf “before it arrives”). Those healthy winds should hold steady through the late morning and in to the early afternoon.
    PM – Still dry, but also still holding over those winds from the early morning. By the later afternoon and early evening we will see those winds start to subside a bit, probably down to 10mph sustained towards the end of the day.

    Sunday – Wind and rain pick up late.
    AM – Dry start with manageable winds early, holding around 10mph throughout the morning hours, maybe a few mph below that in the early AM and a few mph above that by the late morning. Rain chances will also start to pick up in the late morning.
    PM – The later we go the more likely we are to see wind and rain. I expect fairly wet weather for the afternoon, with winds around 15mph sustained and stronger gusts.

    Overall – The only real advantage on Saturday is late, and the later you go the better off you are. On Sunday it’s the earlier golfers who will get the better weather, while those in contention with the later tee-times will get the ugly stuff.

    - Kevin Roth

  • DHowade

    • 700

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #97

      RG Tiered Ranking

    seeing a lot of conflicting data out there on the wind as is the usual case with weather. im using windfinder and predicwind kevin do you got any idea whats the most accurate wind forecast? or do you go with a concoction of multiple sources? because what im looking at is the wind doesnt let up in the afternoon and is pretty much windy and gusty from tee off to the end of the day? again you are the meteoroligist so i defer to your analysis as always

  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    I think for the most part, you’re right. It’s windy early and it’s windy late, but there will be a period very early and very late where winds will be significantly less than their afternoon peak.
    I also look at windfinder btw, it’s real data with great visuals. My main forecast is made on a subscription site called WeatherBell, they make it really easy to compare different model data.

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