I’ll keep this short. (As the masses laugh…)
As most of you know, I write an “NFL Edge” article in RG Premium that takes me about 25 to 30 hours to put together each week, and in which I break down every game from top to bottom, from a DFS perspective (looking at game flow, coaching tendencies, matchups, DFS game theory, etc.). It’s a pretty cool article.
Many of you, however, may not have access to that article. Of course, the likeliest reason for this to be the case is that the amount of money you put in play each weekend in NFL DFS is not enough for you to justify paying $25 a month for Premium. I totally get that! I wish there were a solution for you to have access to that article as well…but I have thought about it, and there really is not. Frankly, no other article in the industry goes as in-depth as that one, so making it available for free would really minimize the edge gained for those who do pay for a Premium subscription. It’s a conundrum, and it sucks, but it is what it is.
I wanted to bring up a few quick thoughts, though. Presumably, even if the amount you put in play each NFL weekend is too little to justify a “five coffees a month” subscription, you still have a desire to ultimately reach a point where that would be a drop in your pond labeled “DFS Bankroll.” Which brings me to a thought that has been stirring in my mind…
I just paused in my game-by-game breakdown to write this week’s intro to that article. I got a bit carried away (naturally). But I shared some roster construction thoughts, and then I talked about how I study the teams of other profitable players every slate I play – in MLB and NFL. It’s not that I think these guys know more than me; but I do think some of these guys probably know things that are different from what I know. By studying the lineups of others, you can gain some insight into how they think, what they were seeing that week, and how they went about piecing together their roster.
To be completely honest, I am borderline-shocked each week by how few H2H challenges I receive on DraftKings. Why? Because you can send free H2H challenges! Even if you do not have the bankroll to justify paying for subscription-based content, you can still take steps to continue your NFL DFS education each weekend.
I often hear people complain about “multi-entry players.” What most people overlook, however, is that many of these players are also profitable in high-dollar tourneys, in single-entry tourneys, and in H2Hs. Shoot a free H2H request to a number of profitable players each weekend. Then, don’t look at their roster to “see how they performed.” Instead, recognize that these guys are profitable over time; as such, you should be studying their lineups with an eye toward “Trying to figure out what their process was,” regardless of what the results look like that week.
I study the lineups of tons of players each weekend.
I read articles by a bunch of different writers each weekend.
Heck, I just finished studying PrimeTime’s new RotoAcademy course – Advanced Tournament Strategies for NFL DFS (it was killer, by the way!).
It’s not that I think these people know more than me. But I do think they know things that are different from what I know – and I can pick up these things and incorporate them into my own process, in order to continually improve my own results.
I led off my intro in the NFL Edge this week by saying, “I see a lot of dumb lineups. I mean, really, a lot.” And I truly do.
There is definitely an edge to be gained in NFL DFS. There is definitely money to be made.
And listen: those who are willing to put in more work than others – those who are willing to continue learning, and continue improving – will be in perfect position to maximize this edge, and maximize profits as a result.
Please share any thoughts you have on this topic below, or any questions you have for me on this topic (I’ll try to drop by later in the week to answer anything that pops up for me). And I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!