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  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    LATEST UPDATE & final word: I need to bump both the Cin and CLE game to ORANGE / YELLOW, the trend I mentioned is still the same, but it’s just a matter of lingering rain being a worry. Models particularly hate the CLE game, although I’m not seeing much on radar to justify that. Either way, PPD risk is very possible in both games. Atlanta likely a delay as this storm system still slowly moving that way… NY looks good. BAL looks crazy, I would 100% fade. PHI will start OK, but will it finish? Models are split on that… I would roll the dice if you really like the match-up, but otherwise stay away… plenty of games in Cali to choose from with zero risk.

    A last reminder that ALL of these games have a chance to get PPD’d, so none should be considered “safe”

    Updated at 6:30 Est

    This is the first pre-lock update, I will likely make another, as we still have a fresh-round of hourly forecast models to look at before lock… Use this is a guide, follow along on Twitter (@KevinRothWx), and check back here before lock, this is a very fluid situation and things will be changing.

    also note – None of these games are the “safe” play, the safe play is in California and domes, these all have some degree of risk, so if you absolutely can not handle a PPD, steer clear.

    BOS @ NYY – At this point it looks like the rain will hold off just long enough. The heaviest of the rain staying west will be a trend in the NE and Mid-Atlantic games. There’s some risk because that rain is a non-stop game-ender if it moves in ahead of schedule, but I models do not forecast that happening. YELLOW.

    NYM @ PHI – Similar to NY in that the heaviest of the rain will stay west… but it will be even closer to PHI than NY. This game takes the slight risk of NY and amplifies it big time, because we are just that much closer to the trouble. I could also see this game starting fine, but ending in rain… though models currently hold the rain off just long enough to keep that from happening. I have this as a YELLOW / ORANGE for now, but that could change as we get closer to lock.

    STL @ PITPPD’d already. RED.

    TOR @ BAL – Again we are looking at the heaviest rain staying west of the stadium, but in this case it’s just too close, and even the light rain will likely grind this game to a halt. If it starts, I don’t think it finishes… and quite honestly I am skeptical that it ever starts. RED / ORANGE…. keeping in some orange because if that heaviest band was farther east it would be a true “no way in hell” red (like PIT was earlier).

    CHC @ CIN – This is one where the general trend is actually drying out. Unfortunately for us that is likely to be a rather slow process. I have this as YELLOW / ORANGE. I could see a late start here, but eventually enough clearing to play. Still obviously some PPD risk involved.

    MIN @ CLE – Good news is that it is clearing and drying up already. The bad is that models bring in a secondary line during the game. I’m starting to see that line develop now on radar, and it doesn’t look too threatening at the moment. I’m going to put this as YELLOW / ORANGE as well, leaning towards the game playing (possibly with a late start). Another one that will be updated with new models before lock.

    WASH @ ATL – The overall coverage of storms in ATL isn’t all that impressive, there’s only one ugly storm I’m watching, and it is SLOWLY moving towards Atlanta. Forecast models have it never reaching the stadium, which would make a clean game with no issues. I’m not fully sold on that, so I have to keep some risk in. I’m putting this at YELLOW.

    KC @ CWS – Windiest game of the year?!? Sustained winds from the NNE 25-30 mph, gusts nearing 40mph. That will be blowing out to right, and should be a big boost for lefty power hitters.

    If you are not following along on twitter tonight you are going to miss a lot, so be sure to keep a watch on @KevinRothWx!

    Happy Grinding,
    Kevin

    For a full breakdown of today’s weather, check out our MLB-inspired weather page at: https://rotogrinders.com/weather/mlb for up to minute weather!

  • LegiaWwa

    Wow! This has to be one of the worst forecasts all year.

  • biggiesmails72

    Boooo Kevin boooooo

  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    Haha, yeah this is up there with the Weekend of Pain where 3 or 4 games through the 95 corridor got a PPD one after the other

  • hammer74

    def never seen this must red in a forecast might be good to take a night off!!!

  • hammer74

    def never seen this must red in a forecast might be good to take a night off!!!

  • CUTiger81

    gotta see the opportunity. there will be so many wasted lineups tonight because of weather. also so many chances for low owned studs if you play guys from a risky game and they get it in.

  • xdan3220

    This breakdown is awesome, anarchy all night with these forecasts!

  • peachfuzz

    • Blogger of the Month

    Haha. I win a single bullet into the Tuesday Special on DK, and it just happens to be the worst weather report since April.

    Oh well, I’ll be avoiding anything in Orange, or Red hoping the good ol’ PPDs will take out at least some of the field.

  • mannmicj

    It’s basically going to be like playing on a short slate. You have to flat out eliminate most of these games in your cash lineups.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    The Cardinals and Pirates are both off on Thursday, so I would imagine that one gets called early and then reschedule it for that day.

  • chad23322

    • 2014 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    I hope it gets called as I am in Pittsburgh on Thursday. Go Cards!

  • jshackmann

    Looks like tonight’s early slate will basically be a late slate aside from domed stadiums.

  • tyrant1014

    I really want to roster yankees lefties. Cheap but that yellow has me concerned. Definitely paying attention before lock. You rarely get it wrong.

  • aka_the_goat

    Why are we upset? Days like this are great because of Roth. It’s the day after football payouts and there are going to be A LOT of dead lineups because a ton of people will be on players from games that don’t go. Thanks Kev! I say bring on the storms!

  • garyplayer

    HASNT QUIT RAINING ALL DAY IN PITTSBURGH

  • aforde

    agreed goat

  • sharksbay

    I love it, less research for me to do and hopefully dead money everywhere.

  • topscout

    the big winner will be players who take guys in rain games…risk vs reward

  • VinnyTheBeard

    It’s so RED!

    Thanks as always Kev!

  • nerachal46

    Pitts PP

  • icehole6

    theyre predicting rain all evening into lunchtime tomorrow in cincy

  • ediederichsen

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    The Cardinals and Pirates are both off on Thursday, so I would imagine that one gets called early and then reschedule it for that day.

    PPD, but Doubleheader tomorrow.

  • Olhausen

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    The Cardinals and Pirates are both off on Thursday, so I would imagine that one gets called early and then reschedule it for that day.

    Nice call on this one STL84!

  • Olhausen

    @topscout said...

    the big winner will be players who take guys in rain games…risk vs reward

    I don’t think so tonight. Most of these games except Atlanta are most likely going to be cancelled or called early. I usually take risks on weather and I always stack one bluejays lineup regardless of who’s pitching but I’m not touching that game tonight.

  • deerosa

    Really need to know if that Yanks game is going to get played :)

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