MLB FORUM

  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    LATEST UPDATE & final word: I need to bump both the Cin and CLE game to ORANGE / YELLOW, the trend I mentioned is still the same, but it’s just a matter of lingering rain being a worry. Models particularly hate the CLE game, although I’m not seeing much on radar to justify that. Either way, PPD risk is very possible in both games. Atlanta likely a delay as this storm system still slowly moving that way… NY looks good. BAL looks crazy, I would 100% fade. PHI will start OK, but will it finish? Models are split on that… I would roll the dice if you really like the match-up, but otherwise stay away… plenty of games in Cali to choose from with zero risk.

    A last reminder that ALL of these games have a chance to get PPD’d, so none should be considered “safe”

    Updated at 6:30 Est

    This is the first pre-lock update, I will likely make another, as we still have a fresh-round of hourly forecast models to look at before lock… Use this is a guide, follow along on Twitter (@KevinRothWx), and check back here before lock, this is a very fluid situation and things will be changing.

    also note – None of these games are the “safe” play, the safe play is in California and domes, these all have some degree of risk, so if you absolutely can not handle a PPD, steer clear.

    BOS @ NYY – At this point it looks like the rain will hold off just long enough. The heaviest of the rain staying west will be a trend in the NE and Mid-Atlantic games. There’s some risk because that rain is a non-stop game-ender if it moves in ahead of schedule, but I models do not forecast that happening. YELLOW.

    NYM @ PHI – Similar to NY in that the heaviest of the rain will stay west… but it will be even closer to PHI than NY. This game takes the slight risk of NY and amplifies it big time, because we are just that much closer to the trouble. I could also see this game starting fine, but ending in rain… though models currently hold the rain off just long enough to keep that from happening. I have this as a YELLOW / ORANGE for now, but that could change as we get closer to lock.

    STL @ PITPPD’d already. RED.

    TOR @ BAL – Again we are looking at the heaviest rain staying west of the stadium, but in this case it’s just too close, and even the light rain will likely grind this game to a halt. If it starts, I don’t think it finishes… and quite honestly I am skeptical that it ever starts. RED / ORANGE…. keeping in some orange because if that heaviest band was farther east it would be a true “no way in hell” red (like PIT was earlier).

    CHC @ CIN – This is one where the general trend is actually drying out. Unfortunately for us that is likely to be a rather slow process. I have this as YELLOW / ORANGE. I could see a late start here, but eventually enough clearing to play. Still obviously some PPD risk involved.

    MIN @ CLE – Good news is that it is clearing and drying up already. The bad is that models bring in a secondary line during the game. I’m starting to see that line develop now on radar, and it doesn’t look too threatening at the moment. I’m going to put this as YELLOW / ORANGE as well, leaning towards the game playing (possibly with a late start). Another one that will be updated with new models before lock.

    WASH @ ATL – The overall coverage of storms in ATL isn’t all that impressive, there’s only one ugly storm I’m watching, and it is SLOWLY moving towards Atlanta. Forecast models have it never reaching the stadium, which would make a clean game with no issues. I’m not fully sold on that, so I have to keep some risk in. I’m putting this at YELLOW.

    KC @ CWS – Windiest game of the year?!? Sustained winds from the NNE 25-30 mph, gusts nearing 40mph. That will be blowing out to right, and should be a big boost for lefty power hitters.

    If you are not following along on twitter tonight you are going to miss a lot, so be sure to keep a watch on @KevinRothWx!

    Happy Grinding,
    Kevin

    For a full breakdown of today’s weather, check out our MLB-inspired weather page at: https://rotogrinders.com/weather/mlb for up to minute weather!

  • jtwfantasy

    I could use a little clarification, if a games is initially played but gets PPD for another day we get no points. However if the game is called outright in the 8th inning as final we do get points?

  • MTro86

    RG Writer

    Anything after 5 innings (4.5 if the home team is leading) is considered official and counts.

  • smutpeddlers

    I’m about 20 miles from Yankee Stadium and it has only rained once so far today. It want even a hard rain. It’s overcast and sprinkling right now. I can’t imagine this game won’t play, super humid and dreary. That’s just from a fan perspective, meaning I would still travel to the city to see the game and am using the hitters myself. But will see what Kevin says about it shortly. I also haven’t seen any lightening all day

  • eatmorebacon

    @jtwfantasy said...

    I could use a little clarification, if a games is initially played but gets PPD for another day we get no points. However if the game is called outright in the 8th inning as final we do get points?

    Yes. Also, if the game is official, but then suspended (e.g., tied in the 6th innning) and completed another day, you would get points earned prior to the suspension of play.

  • KevinRothWx

    RG Chief Meteorologist

    @Olhausen said...

    I don’t think so tonight. Most of these games except Atlanta are most likely going to be cancelled or called early. I usually take risks on weather and I always stack one bluejays lineup regardless of who’s pitching but I’m not touching that game tonight.

    I don’t quite think that’s the case… it’s (unfortunately) a closer call than that at most.

  • topscout

    sources day atlanta is tricky has been raining all day and will kill the crowds

  • thinair

    @Olhausen said...

    I don’t think so tonight. Most of these games except Atlanta are most likely going to be cancelled or called early. I usually take risks on weather and I always stack one bluejays lineup regardless of who’s pitching but I’m not touching that game tonight.

    that rarely happens. I think most of the games play except for the one that has been PPD already and the BAL/WAS game.

    maybe one more gets called early.

    MLB does NOT like to cancel/suspend games especially this late in the season where its hard to have a makeup game.

  • walkoff9

    • 535

      RG Overall Ranking

    So the story seems to be most games start, and either finish before the rain gets there or the game is over, not delays.

    So actually targeting pitchers might be safer than hitters in that its likely to get though 6 or so innings.

  • linuskinrak

    The yankee game should start no problem. It has the threat of being shortened though.

    The orioles game is pretty much DOA.

  • SA16

    • 914

      RG Overall Ranking

    @thinair said...

    that rarely happens. I think most of the games play except for the one that has been PPD already and the BAL/WAS game.

    maybe one more gets called early.

    MLB does NOT like to cancel/suspend games especially this late in the season where its hard to have a makeup game.

    Several of these games may just not get made up at all if they get canceled because they could have no meaning.

  • jlj044

    Freakin’ awesome stuff. Thanks man. Also big ups for the tip for the White Sox games. Definite boost to those lefties, and there’s quite a few good ones.

  • saganiuk

    Jays/Orioles PPD. Doubleheader tomorrow.

  • saganiuk

    Unbelievable, now MIN/CLE is PPD. Managed to avoid the pitfalls so far, but I had a few players in that one … :(

  • walkoff9

    • 535

      RG Overall Ranking

    This is going to be the case for the rest of the regular season for the east coast. Potential tropical storm coming on the weekend.

  • Rockstar1288

    Worried about the Cubs Vs Reds game kinda thought that it wouldnt be a big deal. Hopefully that game goes have a good % percentage players in it.

  • walkoff9

    • 535

      RG Overall Ranking

    Looks like it should clear for the night in cinci, but i dont know how willing they are to start the game at 10pm.

  • Rockstar1288

    Just updated on twitter starting in about 30 minutes Cubs/Reds Game on!!!!

  • punisherjck

    Thanks Rockstar! Am counting on Cubs/Reds to make my night.

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