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  • sirrobert6

    • Blogger of the Month

    TUESDAY

    Schalke 04 (GER) vs. Manchester City (ENG)
    Atletico Madrid (SPN) vs. Juventus (ITA)

    WEDNESDAY

    Lyon (FRA) vs. Barcelona (SPN)
    Liverpool (ENG) vs. Bayern Munich (GER)

  • TheAnswer

    • x3

      2017 Blogger of the Month

    Write up is done, check it out – UCL 2nd Legs

  • milanman21

    My quick glance over:

    -Mandzukic has been in poor form but he is “Big Game Mo” and seems to come up in these environments. I won’t rule out a goal for him. He can get them in weird ways too. Cancelo if he starts is a lock. He’ll get forward a lot and look to pump in a lot of crosses. Ronaldo and Dybala I’m off of, I’m scripting for 2-1 to Juve and if Mandzukic is getting one of the goals it will be really hard for those two to get there in a GPP. – I have no City which scares me. If I want anyone it’s Aguero but he’s hard to fit with the other plays I like. – Barcelona I’m all over Messi as everyone will be. Probably taking Ter Stegen too as he could get there with a win, a goal conceded, and a few saves just as well as he can get there with a clean sheet. – I think Bayern beat Liverpool and Lewandowski at 7900 I just can’t pass on. Liverpool aren’t the most air-tight defensively. Rafinha may see a role with Kimmich out and he’s cheap. I like Gnabry to be a nuisance too.

  • milanman21

    Only playing two players from today’s games: Cancelo and Mandzukic

  • Yeoman

    That’s discouraging…here I thought I was being contrarian with my City fade.

  • Unico10

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    @milanman21 said...

    Only playing two players from today’s games: Cancelo and Mandzukic

    I am about 35% Tues – 65% Wed over 6 lineups with my exposure…

  • yisman

    I had the perfect Yahoo lineup but I had one more than the maximum allowed from one team (MCI) so I had to re-do it

    ran out of time with people interrupting me so I wasn’t able to look for an upgrade after I switched Gundogan to Kono (2 cheaper on Yahoo)

    also didn’t get in all the contests, but I got in most.

    odds boosts I got in (had to wait to bet these also to see lineups):

    Ronaldo goal+Juventus +150
    Schalke 1-0 2-0 2-1 +2500
    Aguero goal+Sterling goal +250
    Juventus 1-0 2-0 3-0 +200
    ATM 1-0 2-0 2-1 +550

    skipped a few others where odds weren’t good enough. Burgstaller goal+Schalke win was only +3300. MCI 1-0 2-0 2-1 was only +210. There was also a Dybala+Juventus but he wasn’t in the lineup so I skipped it.

    Yahoo (which again made it a two match/one day slate as opposed to DK’s two day slate):

    Aguero 73.7
    Sterling 63.6
    Danilo 61.6
    Ronaldo 55.6
    Ederson 58.6

  • Yeoman

    @yisman said...

    Burgstaller goal+Schalke win was only +3300.

    What was Embolo goal + Schalke win?

  • yisman

    @Yeoman said...

    What was Embolo goal + Schalke win?

    that was not an offered boost

    I was just mentioning the ones that got posted

    I could’ve looked that up pre-match at bet365 but too late now

    I have some odds for the Juventus match:

    Tue 3/12 11551 Cristiano Ronaldo scores a goal
    -103
    4:00PM 11552 Cristiano Ronaldo no goals scored
    -117

    Tue 3/12 11557 Mario Mandzukic scores a goal
    +280
    4:00PM 11558 Mario Mandzukic no goals scored
    -340

    Tue 3/12 11563 Miralem Pjanic scores a goal
    +900
    4:00PM 11564 Miralem Pjanic no goals scored
    -1375

    Tue 3/12 11566 Antoine Griezmann scores a goal
    +325
    4:00PM 11567 Antoine Griezmann no goals scored
    -400

    Tue 3/12 11569 Alvaro Morata scores a goal
    +445
    4:00PM 11570 Alvaro Morata no goals scored
    -590

  • yisman

    MCI just scored thrice in 7 minutes.

    let’s see how they handle the second half now.

  • Yeoman

    Those are some heavily owned goals, too. I’m not sure the fade-today play can still work; we’re really going to need some fireworks tomorrow.

  • Yeoman

    Thanks; I think the “Schalke wins” part of those is probably toast anyway. Sort of like my Fährmann play.

  • yisman

    live Manchester City ML has been taken off the board. You can only bet draw or Schalke win, lol.

    https://i.postimg.cc/bJHBSb2X/FD.png

    https://i.postimg.cc/WbffZst4/DK.png

  • Unico10

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    Well …. can’t fit more than two between Messi/Aguero/CR7

    Messi can still outscore both of them

    Slate will be decided by GK and low priced player 20pt performance

  • yisman

    forgot to do the DK odds boosts

    they had Ronaldo score first +335

    oops

  • Yeoman

    @Unico10 said...

    Slate will be decided by GK

    …leaves quietly by back door…

  • kwame724

    imagine fading man city..lol

  • yisman

    good day for the boosts, for once

    chalky day for DFS as Ronaldo netted 3 and Aguero had a brace.

    City’s subs even scored twice.

  • Unico10

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    @Yeoman said...

    …leaves quietly by back door…

    Tough tough slate and pricing.
    I have two lineups with today’s stacks but both have warts… one had mandzukic and the other one Embolo

    Have another one with Aguero/Sane and…. Morata/Oblak! one with Cancelo but also Pjanic…. and finally the last two had nobody going from today’s games.

    Should had Bernardeschi instead of Mandz and Pjanic in those two and would be in much better shape

    Unless Messi goes 35+ FPs I will be lucky to recover the fees

  • Yeoman

    @kwame724 said...

    imagine fading man city..lol

    The City goals were well spread—fading Ronaldo hurt you more. It’s entirely possible that a couple of braces (or better) tomorrow could win someone a GPP.

    But it won’t be me.

  • sirrobert6

    • Blogger of the Month

    @Yeoman said...

    fading Ronaldo hurt you more.

    I think Sane is the only guy who is the needed to from the City game. He didnt raw points Ronaldo, outside of him tho there were leaks to the ship.

  • yisman

    DK ran the two game slate plus the showdown so they had some overlay.

    I didn’t have time to play that as I wanted to do Yahoo and the odds boosts. Got back from the dentist with enough time for those.

    bet stars had five boosts for Munich match and four for the other.

    Of the 9, I bet 6 because the other 3 didn’t have value.

    I have Lyon 1-0, 2-0, 2,1. Messi goal+Suarez goal. Messi to score first (this was about breakeven, nothing special. I didn’t max it). Liverpool 1-0, 2-0, 2-1. BM 1-0 2-0 2-1. Lewandowski goal+Firmino goal.

    Also, DK had one. Messi to score first (better price but they limit me to about 17 bucks on their boosts, which is absurd).

    Noteworthy DK overlay (leaving out satellites. There were several of those)

    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/70186970
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/70186969
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/70186973
    https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/70186972

    and yahoo ownership for today’s two match slate:

    Suarez 42.1
    ter Stegen 49.5
    Arthur 48.5
    Gnabry 45.3
    Messi 85.3 (I faded. Probably unwise)

    I thought Messi at 32 or whatever was a little too much because I didn’t have any clear cheap guys to roll with. Went Suarez/Salah/Mane for my spends. Rest were mid-range guys.

    If I wanted to make room for Messi, I could’ve gone Lyon GK for only 11 and made room (and then hoped he made some saves).

  • yisman

    things definitely not going well

    own goal is a disaster

  • yisman

    just bet Lyon draw +4000 and Lyon to win 180/1

    burning money but the odds were right

  • Unico10

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    @yisman said...

    things definitely not going well

    own goal is a disaster

    Last 15 minutes a disaster…. no Mane, 65% Messi but not enough…. even with VanDike Pique and Cancelo amongst my defenders

    Too much Oblak and Lopes… too many mid priced mids/forward

    Not the slate to get cute with the Pjanic, Embolo, Konoplyanka, Mandzukic, Fekir, Javi Martinez… two studs not enough, needed 3 or even 4 with a min priced D in flex

  • sirrobert6

    • Blogger of the Month

    @Unico10 said...

    two studs not enough, needed 3 or even 4 with a min priced D in flex

    this very quickly deteriorated into a which four guys did you take slate.
    That’s all you needed to win. Whoever got the best four together won.

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