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  • LeRoiStephon

    • Blogger of the Month

    It’s do or die for Ronda Rousey….. Personally, I think this is the perfect matchup for her… Nunes is super aggressive, super willing to get into the clinch and she only has about 1/4 a tank of gas!! Werdum beats up on Velasquez once again, and we’re going to get him at a dog’s price!!! I like this card!! A lot of clear routes to go down here!! I like Dillashaw over Lineker!! How about you!! Means over Oliveira?

  • jolokia

    I’ll have Wi-fi there, but I e-mailed DK and I can’t enter tournys there (GPS reasons). But I’m banking on at least being able to enter lineups here and edit them there with no problems.

    I just watched some video of Niko Price..I still have no idea why he is the cheapest guy on the slate. Good in the clinch, takedowns, and ground-n-pound. I think Thatch’s experience will earn him a win though.

  • Renkse

    In agreement with Brett’s first two comments.

    Nunes (pick)
    Garbrandt (pick)
    Velasquez (pick)
    Dillashaw (lean)
    Smolka (pick)
    Magny (pick)
    Kim (pick)
    Carlos Junior (lean)
    Pyle (lean)
    Oliveira (lean)
    Price (lean)

    Thoughts? Feelings?

  • Ronnyb

    @Renkse said...

    In agreement with Brett’s first two comments.

    Nunes (pick)
    Garbrandt (pick)
    Velasquez (pick)
    Dillashaw (lean)
    Smolka (pick)
    Magny (pick)
    Kim (pick)
    Carlos Junior (lean)
    Pyle (lean)
    Oliveira (lean)
    Price (lean)

    Thoughts? Feelings?

    If Hendrix has his head on straight he should dominate magny. Pyle should not be fighting anymore

  • Ronnyb

    When I look at magny I think overrated. He got dominated by Larkin in a Rd 1 finish, won a decision that he should have lost against kg, beat a shot Lombard after getting dominated early, beat a shot non-ped silva. He’s won some controversial decisions over no names.

    He has great cardio, very tough and competent on the ground and standing up. I view him as a top 10 gatekeeper not a contender

  • Renkse

    @Ronnyb said...

    If Hendrix has his head on straight he should dominate magny. Pyle should not be fighting anymore

    Personally feel like Hendrix is just not that into it anymore. At his best I would definitely agree especially given the new DK scoring, but how many fights has it been since we’ve seen Johnny at his best? How many fights does he take a year? Also agree Pyle should consider retirement soon, but he did look decent against Spencer. To be honest Pyle is more of a gut pick because I’ve been pretty hyped on Garcia lately and for some reason I can just see Garcia being the kind of guy to score just slightly less in DK than a dog in the 7.4 to 8.1 pricing range. Maybe overly cautious and will more than likely give Garcia a stab in a lineup because scoring does favor his style and he has been win, loss, win, loss trending toward another win.

  • Renkse

    @Ronnyb said...

    When I look at magny I think overrated. He got dominated by Larkin in a Rd 1 finish, won a decision that he should have lost against kg, beat a shot Lombard after getting dominated early, beat a shot non-ped silva. He’s won some controversial decisions over no names.

    He has great cardio, very tough and competent on the ground and standing up. I view him as a top 10 gatekeeper not a contender

    Fair assessment brother. Trying to target fairly active decision wins as they’ve been at times scoring roughly 95 to 120 points under new scoring. Definitely going to be back and forth and, just as you mentioned, Magny tends to get controversial wins and for my money we’ll see that again. Which of the two has more earning potential for the company over the next 5 years? We’re all familiar with politics in the UFC and to be frank, scoring judges in the UFC are given a set criteria to score by that they rarely seem to follow. When a judges controversial score card is posted online by media outlets there is never any accountability, ya know? Be nice if we saw interviews with judges after controversy, expecting them to justify and qualify their scoring and decisions. Would be cool if retiring vets could make the switch to judging to earn some bread and remain unbiased.

  • bosoxfan0509

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    Cain now out. Will be playing very few GPP entries and that’s it for this card. UFC has to find a way to fix this problem of cards getting shortened IMO.

  • NewMike

    And apparently it’s back on

  • jolokia

    Where does it say it’s back on?

  • bosoxfan0509

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    @jolokia said...

    Where does it say it’s back on?

    It’s off. Media knew about it before Cain knew about it.

  • zelda3024

    @bosoxfan0509 said...

    It’s off. Media knew about it before Cain knew about it.

    Cain wrote this> Was just cleared by Dr 30 mins ago and then he conferenced the Nevada Athletic Commission and spoke to them and re cleared me with them.

  • zelda3024

    However then he wrote that he had no clue what now is going on.

  • bbbomb

    • Blogger of the Month

    Sucks he’s out. Down to 10 fights now.

  • zelda3024

    @bbbomb said...

    Sucks he’s out. Down to 10 fights now.

    I hope the plan is to add an opponent for Werdum I know a few fighters have all ready said they will step up and fight on short notice. There is a rumor he all ready turned down a fight against dos Santos who offered to step up and fight. Struve also said he would step up.

    The problem is Werdum has this big beef with the UFC even saying he is no longer happy fighting in the UFC. He also has stated he is not sure if he will re sign with the UFC when his contract expires.

    I guess will wait and see what the UFC plans on doing but from a Draftkings perspective with only 10 fights plan on there being a lot of ties in GPP.

  • Ronnyb

    im still torn on nunes/rousey, watching the zingano/nunes fight, cat was faster and took her down easily. Rousey has the blueprint to beat her, get inside and grind her down and take her down (nunes takedown defense is not great). but I will say that nunes is an improved fighter since then and with ATT her game plan will be better than rousey’s

  • Ronnyb

    @zelda3024 said...

    I hope the plan is to add an opponent for Werdum I know a few fighters have all ready said they will step up and fight on short notice. There is a rumor he all ready turned down a fight against dos Santos who offered to step up and fight. Struve also said he would step up.

    The problem is Werdum has this big beef with the UFC even saying he is no longer happy fighting in the UFC. He also has stated he is not sure if he will re sign with the UFC when his contract expires.

    I guess will wait and see what the UFC plans on doing but from a Draftkings perspective with only 10 fights plan on there being a lot of ties in GPP.

    I was hoping to bet Cain. I rewatched his fight with werdum and he easily won the 1st and then gassed. But I think that was an abberation since he went 5 rounds with Jds and was very active. 3 rounds and he dominates werdum.

  • Ronnyb

    Anyone else think that for cash games it makes sense to stack rousey/nunes

  • thetitanlb

    @Ronnyb said...

    I was hoping to bet Cain. I rewatched his fight with werdum and he easily won the 1st and then gassed. But I think that was an abberation since he went 5 rounds with Jds and was very active. 3 rounds and he dominates werdum.

    The fight was at elevation and the only time Cain has ever gases. I blame elavation. Sadly pointless now

  • Ronnyb

    This card is strange for draft kings
    Thatch/price is a pick em most likely a finish
    Means/Oliveria is a pickem probably a decision
    Smolka/Borg is a pickem either smolka sub or Borg decision – will go with smolka since their will be takedowns, reversals and he has the better chance of a sub
    Kim/saffedine – probably a decision, will go with Kim since saffedine likes to fight in the clinch and Kim’s judo skills should give him some takedowns
    Hendrix/magny – pickem although I’m leaning towards Hendrix
    Linker/dillashaw – most likely dillashaw decision or linekar ko. Will either go with dillashaw or not play it
    Cruz/Cody – Cruz decision or Cody ko, will be playing Cody here
    Rousey/nunes – pickem it will end in a finish. Cash games might play both or go two cards and split them

    Salary cap is no issue on this card

  • bbbomb

    • Blogger of the Month

    Gravycakes and I will be on Grinders Live tonight at 7pm ET to talk UFC 207

  • johnnyj580

    No, you generally want to stack both fighters from a ME when there is a high likelihood of it going 5 rounds and/or there will be high output for both fighters.

    The prop is -225 that this doesn’t make it to 1.5 Rounds.

    FWIW, I understand all the reasons to sleep on Ronda here, but you nailed it when you said Ronda has the blueprint on to beat Nunes. For everything Ronda lacks in (anything resembling what is supposed to be) technical striking, she makes up for in jits + submission game. Admittedly too, she has power in a division that has not reached it’s potential in terms of distance refinement.

  • hypegotti

    are cash games only 50/50 or h2h? i do a $50 winner takes all friends league with ten buddies every ufc and am always confused when researching whether or not it is considered cash or gpp?

    i’m locked in on 5 rounds of cruz sticking and moving though friday. and leaning heavy on borg, garcia, means and nunes so far as i continue my research.

  • Colin408

    Hey guys, thought I’d do a small write up on this Friday’s main event. Let me know what you think and make sure to share your own opinions.

    Ronda Rousey vs Amanda Nunes (Champion)

    After months of speculation the former women’s kingpin will make her return. The opponent, a relatively unknown champion who deserves way more recognition than what’s been given. UFC 207 presents a match up that could potentially boost the winners career into unseen heights. A dominant win by Rousey would put her back into talks as one of the best in the world, a win for Nunes would signal a passing of the torch and the end of era. Lets take a look at the variables and determine a winner.

    The Ground Game:
    This one is certainly a mystery. Nunes is a high-level black belt under Daniel Valverde, with submissions over Miesha Tate and Sarah McMann it’s obvious that the Brazilian’s ground game is on the elite level. On paper it could be argued that her overall ground game is far superior than Rousey’s. With that being said, the styles are vastly different. Nunes presents a more controlled and traditional style of BJJ that relies on flawless positioning and methodical movements, a much slower and more predictable game. Rousey on the other hand presents a style that is based around scrambles and explosion, a style that targets opponents in frantic exchanges and catches them with her speed and athleticism. In “regular” jiu jitsu positions the Brazilian would undoubtedly be the favorite. However, how often do you see Rousey on her back setting up submissions or passing someones guard? Not often.

    The Verdict:
    Rousey’s armbar is a definite threat to anyone, however it’s based around scrambles and unusual entries. Rousey will look to create scrambles on the feet and catch Nunes within seconds of hitting the mats. Nunes on the other hand will look to stay away from the ground game all together and avoid these highly volatile situations. I give the overall edge to Rousey in this given it’s her only path to victory.

    The Striking Game:
    The stand-up is fairly easy to predict given the current information. Rousey’s striking is average at best, she does posses knockout power but the fundamentals just aren’t on the same level as Nunes. Nunes on the other hand has crisp technical striking, more power and the ability to keep the judokai specialist at bay with kicks. Rousey will have little interest in trading with Nunes, using only 2-3 punch flurries to close the distance and grab a hold of the current champion.

    The Verdict:
    Nunes overall game presents a much larger threat and will serve as her main path to victory. Look for Nunes to keep Rousey on the outside with jabs and low-kicks. Nunes won’t be scared of the takedown off the kicks as her ability to maintain guard on the bottom will be enough to slow Rousey down.

    The blueprint to Victory:
    This could very well be Ronda’s last fight should she lose. That being said, she won’t. The fight will start off with a much more calm Rousey, puzzling the current champ Nunes with her slower and controlled start. This will result in a false sense of security for Nunes in the first 90 seconds, in which Rousey will dart in with a meaningless combo to close the distance, resulting in a throw into side control and a quick transition to an armbar that Nunes will be unable to defend. Now I know Nunes is a high-level black belt, but Rousey’s one weapon is almost as good as McGregor’s straight left. The pure quickness and explosion of the former champ will prove to be too much for the more technical Nunes, this is a fight that will be won on athleticism rather than overall MMA skill.

    Ronda Rousey defeats Amanda Nunes via Armbar at 3:35 in the first round.

  • bbbomb

    • Blogger of the Month

    @hypegotti said...

    are cash games only 50/50 or h2h? i do a $50 winner takes all friends league with ten buddies every ufc and am always confused when researching whether or not it is considered cash or gpp?

    i’m locked in on 5 rounds of cruz sticking and moving though friday. and leaning heavy on borg, garcia, means and nunes so far as i continue my research.

    Yeah, or small tournaments like 3 man or 5 man, usually. With 10 friends and winner take all, that’s much more GPP focused, so you can use some riskier guys who have high upside.

  • liquidfire

    I think if you are talking about cash games, it makes WAY more sense to stack Cruz and Garbrandt then to stack Rousey/Nunes. Sure, with Rousey/Nunes you will likely get 1 early finish so theres some floor involved… but theres no ceiling as that necessarily means to loser will take a dump on your lineup.

    With Cruz/Garbrandt you get the floor but also some ceiling considering that fight is significantly more likely to go to 5 rounds. If it goes to 5, they both will rack up points and who wins is pretty irrelevant.

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