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  • gje627

    UFC 230 – Cormier vs Lewis

    Venue/Day/Date: New York City, Madison Square Garden – Saturday, November 3, 2018

    UFC 230 Main Event, 5 round Championship Fight (final fight on Main Card, PPV)

    265 lbs.: UFC Heavyweight Champion Daniel Cormier vs. Derrick Lewis

    UFC 230 Main Card, all fights 3 rounds (10 p.m. ET, PPV)

    185 lbs.: Chris Weidman vs. Jacare (Ronaldo) Souza
    185 lbs.: David Branch vs. Jared Cannonier
    185 lbs.: Jack Marshman vs. Karl Roberson
    185 lbs.: Israel Adesanya vs. Derek Brunson

    UFC 230 Prelims, all fights 3 rounds (8 p.m. ET, FS1)

    145 lbs.: Jason Knight vs. Jordan Rinaldi
    125 lbs.: Roxanne Modafferi vs. Sijara Eubanks
    145 lbs.: Julio Arce vs. Sheymon Moraes
    170 lbs.: Ben Saunders vs. Lyman Good

    UFC 230 Prelims, all fights 3 rounds (6 p.m. ET, UFC Fight Pass)

    155 lbs.: Matt Frevola vs. Lando Vannata
    145 lbs.: Shane Burgos vs. Kurt Holobaugh
    135 lbs.: Brian Kelleher vs. Montel Jackson
    265 lbs.: Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Adam Wieczorek

    Early Selected No Vigorish Odds

    Fighter DK Salary Fight Win % TKO / KO % Sub % ITD % Rd 1 %
    ———————————- —————— ————- ———— —————- ————- ————- ————-
    Daniel Cormier 9600 A 84.00% 58.35% 41.65% 79.51% 43.35%
    Derrick Lewis 6600 A 16.00% 11.37% 3.34% 12.40% 6.10%
    Chris Weidman 8500 B 63.45% 33.44% 3.75% 34.61% 19.86%
    Jacare Souza 7700 B 36.55% 14.60% 15.63% 25.36% 15.63%
    David Branch 9300 C 76.35% 18.55% 20.96% 40.44% 22.17%
    Jared Cannonier 6900 C 23.65% 12.13% 3.61% 14.05% 7.69%
    Karl Roberson 8700 D 71.47% 31.61% 23.64% 52.03% 31.61%
    Jack Marshman 7500 D 28.53% 12.61% 6.61% 15.79% 8.71%
    Israel Adesanya 9100 E 74.28% 48.10% 7.54% 47.97% 31.15%
    Derek Brunson 7100 E 25.72% 13.35% 6.41% 16.15% 9.10%
    Jason Knight 8800 F 69.80% 27.85% 19.02% 47.15% 25.05%
    Jordan Rinaldi 7400 F 30.20% 8.58% 8.90% 15.03% 8.17%
    Sijara Eubanks 9400 G 82.50% 14.53% 13.31% 23.63% 13.89%
    Roxanne Modafferi 6800 G 17.50% 5.51% 6.57% 9.16% 5.22%
    Julio Arce 9200 H 74.60% 9.54% 25.05% 27.20% 16.32%
    Sheymon Moraes 7000 H 25.40% 7.48% 5.34% 10.34% 6.01%
    Lyman Good 9500 I 84.00% 61.68% 9.10% 66.24% 39.33%
    Ben Saunders 6700 I 16.00% 6.20% 6.71% 10.10% 6.01%
    Lando Vannata 8900 J 70.23% 50.00% 12.93% 52.85% 33.87%
    Matt Frevola 7300 J 29.77% 8.58% 9.24% 15.13% 8.34%
    Shane Burgos 9000 K 73.28% 39.33% 8.75% 45.92% 25.05%
    Kurt Holobaugh 7200 K 26.72% 13.40% 9.36% 18.36% 10.53%
    Montel Jackson 8300 L 55.26% 26.87% 6.01% 31.11% 15.00%
    Brian Kelleher 7900 L 44.74% 10.26% 12.69% 18.36% 10.53%
    Adam Wieczorek 8600 M 66.36% 10.53% 42.48% 50.00% 32.09%
    Marcos Rogerio 7600 M 33.64% 26.87% 14.42% 29.12% 17.95%

    NOTE: The fighter favored to win her/his respective fight is listed first per fight in the table above. Odds above are from 5Dimes and are current as of 11/1/2018, 2:11 p.m. ET. While implied odds are useful, no vigorish odds are more accurate since vigorish (“vig”) is removed from each prospective wager and vig by fight / wager type varies within a card. All percentages indicate the current percentage odds each fighter has to win a fight via a certain outcome (TKO/KO, Submission, Inside the Distance – ITD, and ITD Round 1) as of the date and time previously listed. Since I calculated the numbers above using 5Dimes moneyline odds, any and all errors or omissions are mine and mine only.

  • someclevername

  • someclevername

    ooh leaned right into it too

  • callmetouch

    Israel the future

  • someclevername

    “Not a walk in the park – it was a walk in the garden” LOL

  • callmetouch

    @someclevername said...

    “Not a walk in the park – it was a walk in the garden” LOL

    “Thank you madison square garden” ;)

  • callmetouch

    only 49 sig strikes?

  • callmetouch

    @callmetouch said...

    only 49 sig strikes?

    downgraded to 34* lmao ok….

  • GoldenWolf87

    Ugh this fight card is not very exciting lol.

  • someclevername

    Branch, Jacare & DC – they all get early finishes and I might get $1 from my televised only lineup lol Hope someone here is still in the running for something big!

  • someclevername

    Just not my night lol wow

  • GoldenWolf87

    @someclevername said...

    Just not my night lol wow

    I share your pain lol.

  • someclevername

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    I share your pain lol.

  • GoldenWolf87

    someclevername what you think of the fighters for UFC fight night 139? Mike Pery looks interesting.

  • GoldenWolf87

    Yup Chris will likely win tonight lol.

  • someclevername

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    someclevername what you think of the fighters for UFC fight night 139? Mike Pery looks interesting.

    You want to know who not to pick? lol – I haven’t really looked at it yet but Perry is always interesting. Big, big fan of KZ – him & Yair should be fire.

  • someclevername

    Jacare pure class – saving Weidman from massive brain damage. Did a better job than the ref lol

  • GoldenWolf87

    @someclevername said...

    Jacare pure class – saving Weidman from massive brain damage. Did a better job than the ref lol

    Jacare saved my lineup i only have one loss :)

  • GoldenWolf87

    Go black beast!

  • eric42

    Cannonier was the easiest pick on this card. Branch is terrible. A couple of lucky wins and he’s over 9,000? I would’ve had Screech Powers in my lineup if he was fighting Branch.

  • someclevername

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    Jacare saved my lineup i only have one loss :)

    Nice!

  • eric42

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    Go black beast!

    I didn’t play either guy, but I still want Lewis to win just so we get to hear another post fight interview instant classic.

  • GoldenWolf87

    DC looks bad lol

  • someclevername

    I love DC – always have He’s been through a ton and still going and still leading by example. People were booing him against Bones and I didn’t care – I still will back Cormier. If Black Beast knocks him out – good for him and holy shit he will be a very entertaining champ lol but I am ALL IN for DC! However it shakes out – hope someone here makes some big $$$.

  • GoldenWolf87

    @someclevername said...

    Nice!

    Still Cannonier KO was a lucky one.

  • someclevername

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    DC looks bad lol

    Has he ever looked good? lol

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