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  • someclevername

    Saturday 5.11.19 – Jeunesse Arena – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    PPV Main Card – 9pm CST

    Rose Namajunas © (114.5) vs. Jessica Andrade (114.5) – Strawweight Title Fight
    Jared Cannonier (184.5) vs. Anderson Silva (185)
    Jose Aldo (146) vs. Alexander Volkanovski (145.5)
    Thiago Alves (170.5) vs. Laureano Staropoli (170.5)
    Irene Aldana (135.5) vs. Bethe Correia (141)*

    ESPN Prelims – 7pm CST

    Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (203.5) vs. Ryan Spann (204)
    Kurt Holobaugh (154.5) vs. Thiago Moises (155)
    Warlley Alves (170) vs. Sergio Moraes (170)
    Clay Guida (153.5) vs. B.J. Penn (155.5)

    Fight Pass Early Prelims – 5:30pm CST

    Luana Carolina (124.5) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (125.5)
    Raoni Barcelos (135.5) vs. Carlos Huachin (135.5)
    Viviane Araujo (131) vs. Talita Bernardo (134.5)

    *Correia missed weight (by a lot!) and was fined 30 percent of her purse, but the bout will go on as scheduled.

  • someclevername

    Ferreira / Trinaldo OFF – Ferreira not medically cleared. Will update bout order as needed.

    *Aldana / Correia moved to PPV. Alves / Moraes moved to ESPN Prelims

  • jki7p6

    @someclevername said...

    *Correia missed weight (by a lot!) and was fined 30 percent of her purse, but the bout will go on as scheduled.

    Dern effect? Works when you have Dern skill and not fighting Aldana and especially when youre not Betch Correia.

    Really like Bieber Lineker in this matchup so everybody should be picking Thug.
    Also considering Araujo, she’s a much tougher out than Gatto. Havent been impressed by Talita so far and dont see her finishing Viv, the price point is wrong. Also considering Staropoli.
    All over Aldo and love Clay but that price, damn.

  • thevogaman

    So I came in first in the mini-MAX last week (and barely broke even because of the other 62 people I had to split with) … but I’m a glutton for punishment and a degenerate, so probably be max entering again.

    Trinaldo sure made a lot of my early builds work well… damn! I don’t see anyone below his price with much of a chance to be on the optimal lineup… still haven’t taped Araujo but probably forced to go there, Cachoiera (she probably ain’t getting finished), or go more balanced. It’s like I get why the sharps all went so heavy on Talita (Gatto’s TDD) … but low-level WMMA for DFS is such a crap-shoot. 4 WMMA fights is just too much for one card.

    I’ll probably have more Volkanovski than Aldo, just because he might be able to catch and hurt Aldo in a brawl, but just so excited for this fight. Hoping that 3 of Volk/Aldo, Lil Nog/Spann, Rose/Andrade are optimal and try to cover that as my core. I think this will be a card where sub 600 wins you the GPP and there are only a handful of finishes.

  • ttucowboy84

    • 387

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #48

      RG Tiered Ranking

    Makes me a bit nervous, but I’m going to be heavy on Volk tomorrow. I just feel like he’s on a mission and Aldo is the latest victim standing in his way. Aldo is one tough SOB, which is why I’m a bit nervous, but Volk is relentless. Should be a fun fight.

  • thevogaman

    Yeah, Volk/Aldo should be co-main.

    I’m going to know really quickly how my nights going with a ton of Barcelos/Araujo lineups.

    Guess there’s always the televised contests.

  • callmetouch

    Barcelos is the lock lock of the night. 100+

  • GoldenWolf87

    @callmetouch said...

    Barcelos is the lock lock of the night. 100+

    A core play for me.

  • GoldenWolf87

    I might have to risk with my 14 lineups but i will give a shot for Viv. She might pull a decision win.

  • callmetouch

    @GoldenWolf87 said...

    I might have to risk with my 14 lineups but i will give a shot for Viv. She might pull a decision win.

    Looks like a lot of people are liking her. Especially for 6,900. 20% ownership? Holobraugh should be like 35% as well

  • thevogaman

    Awesomo projections have Guida at 35% … I feel like he and Barcelos will both be near 50% owned.

  • callmetouch

    @thevogaman said...

    Awesomo projections have Guida at 35% … I feel like he and Barcelos will both be near 50% owned.

    Guida/Penn could go to decision with Guida scoring just under 100. Penn/Siver type of fight.

  • thevogaman

    I just think Penn is as done as he looks and gets taken down repeatedly and scrambles a few times, before just giving up in the 2nd to gnp.

    Really hope this is the last time we see BJ… that said I do have shares of BJ just due to Guida being so reckless and maybe catching himself in a submission or getting cracked.

  • ttucowboy84

    • 387

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #48

      RG Tiered Ranking

    @callmetouch said...

    Barcelos is the lock lock of the night. 100+

    I have 66% and even that doesn’t feel like enough.

  • Dfspacman

    Stack all the Brazilians ?

  • thevogaman

    Anyone have a good read on Moises/Holobaugh? Maybe Moises gets the sub at low ownership and Holobaugh as chalk?

  • callmetouch

    @thevogaman said...

    Anyone have a good read on Moises/Holobaugh? Maybe Moises gets the sub at low ownership and Holobaugh as chalk?

    50/50. Holobaugh looked good against Barcelos. Had his moments. Moises could submit him especially if Burgos did. Such a hard call
    *on the feet i think its clear Holobaugh has the advantage. Can Moises get him to the ground is the question.

  • callmetouch

    Is 70% Nog too much? Surely

  • thevogaman

    Thought my 35% Nog was too much. But I think he goes for the KO or goes out swinging. Worried it becomes LNP by Spann though.

    Forcing myself to up my exposure on Warrley Alves and Anderson even though I see them both losing with low scores… or winning with sub 70 scores.

  • callmetouch

    @thevogaman said...

    Thought my 35% Nog was too much. But I think he goes for the KO or goes out swinging. Worried it becomes LNP by Spann though.

    Forcing myself to up my exposure on Warrley Alves and Anderson even though I see them both losing with low scores… or winning with sub 70 scores.

    Moraes could finish him. Fading that fight as a whole. I do like another Alves though ;)

  • thevogaman

    Damn, I’m underweight on Thiago Alves but hey… here’s hoping he’s back on some supplements for this fight. I think he’ll be super low owned so could be a killer play.

  • Kassdog

    Give me all the Brazilians

  • someclevername

    Aldo & Andrade for me. 120 year old Lil Nog too cos why not.

  • callmetouch

    @thevogaman said...

    Damn, I’m underweight on Thiago Alves but hey… here’s hoping he’s back on some supplements for this fight. I think he’ll be super low owned so could be a killer play.

    Could be. I’m too high on Alves. Looked to have such a physical disadvantage at the face offs yesterday. Alves could lose then retire for all we know.

  • callmetouch

    @someclevername said...

    Aldo & Andrade for me. 120 year old Lil Nog too cos why not.

    Rose> Joanna> Andrade

  • thevogaman

    Yeah the all Brazil hero stack seems like a play… just feel like at least one of Nog, Anderson, Alves, Aldo lose by finish.

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