PGA FORUM

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  • whodat2

    When: March 21-24

    Where: Palm Harbour, FLA

    Course: Innisbrook Copperhead | A par 71 playing at 7340 yards

    Last Year’s Winner: Paul Casey at -10

    Last Year’s Cut: +3

    Coverage: PGATourLive | Golf Channel | NBC

    Google Doc

    RG Golf Forum League

    Happy Meal Standings

    Admin Note: The mod team is working to keep these daily threads more on topic – Golf strategy talk for this week’s contest. Post referring to last week’s contest will be moved to the correct thread. Any off topic posts or posts containing full lineups will be deleted..

  • manoffewwords

    @noddy said...

    Will DK have any contests for match play? I’m already looking ahead since I’ll probably go 3/6 this week

    Yeah,had them last year. Most fun I had all year in dfs golf. From the bracket drawings,unique scoring and 5 days golf. 3/6 might win money next week.

  • ajwert

    @Dunzor said...

    Ya the initial lineup I built was much more balanced but if I was building a bunch I’d probably have to have a few with the top guys.

    What are your thoughts on:
    1) how well first timers can do here given it’s another angled/placement course?
    2) some of the young/foreign guys here like KH Lee, the junior phenom guy, Connelly, Meyer….any others I might’ve missed?

    Hey dunzor I was also looking at dylan meyer but when I saw his latest results on the web tour it scared me off of him… hes been playing terrible lately and against much weaker competition. I remember him helping me out a few times last year so I wonder what happened to him

  • BIF

    @noddy said...

    Will DK have any contests for match play? I’m already looking ahead since I’ll probably go 3/6 this week

    Yes

  • superstars92

    @dangasin said...

    Say a player has made 80% of cuts over the past 50 events. Then in event 51 the player MC. Assuming they really do make 80% of cuts, would event 52 still be around 80% chance to make cut, or would it be higher because 2 missed cuts in a row is more unlikely for a 80% cut made player?

    Would that be some sort of markov chain?

    This really doesn’t even apply for real golf since each event is different. If you are saying it’s something where each event is exactly equal and the level of competition, type of golf course, etc. is equal for every event, it’s gonna be 80% either way.

  • superstars92

    Well last week did not go well for GPPs…I’m just lucky I snuck through in my double ups. The two guys who really screwed me are Casey and RCB, but they look solid here.

    Of course, I’m most likely gonna do what everyone else will do and pick DJ + scrubs.

  • BIF

    @ajwert said...

    Hey dunzor I was also looking at dylan meyer but when I saw his latest results on the web tour it scared me off of him… hes been playing terrible lately and against much weaker competition. I remember him helping me out a few times last year so I wonder what happened to him

    The Web.com Tour other than about 4-5 events is rimarily a Bomb and Gouge tour that has insanely low winning scores often near or better than 20 under. Dylan Meyer as you can tell by looking at him is not a bomb and Gouge guy – I’m not sure I’ll be playing him as I’ll only have 10 lineups but this shorter tight ball strikers course this week is a much better fit for him than 80+% of the Web courses. Look at some of the past winners here, short to medium drivers who hit a lot of greens and usually good putter and/or short games.

  • superstars92

    Ugh, my very first build has Brendan Grace. I NEVER play him. I hate playing guys I normally don’t play in other weeks.

    I also like never play DJ too…and he’s the obvious choice. May not go too well. Maybe I’ll develop a liking to both after this week if they do well for me.

  • dbullsfan

    • Ranked #81

      RG Tiered Ranking

    Noto and Mayo talking up Knox (or at least mentioning them as bets) probably gonna drive up a little ownership, he isn’t someone I normally play much if any but would I be crazy to ignore him this week.

  • lfn1992

    @dbullsfan said...

    Noto and Mayo talking up Knox (or at least mentioning them as bets) probably gonna drive up a little ownership, he isn’t someone I normally play much if any but would I be crazy to ignore him this week.

    Knox made my initial player pool this week. Should be highly motivated to do well I think because he needs a good showing here to get into Masters consideration.

  • shamrock77s

    @BIF said...

    Good luck doing that in Masters with pricing as that would likely leave you with your remaining 4 being three Masters rookies and Mike Weir. Pretty tough to take the top 2 salaries and field a roster that has a chance.

    I was planning on starting with Weir, Woosnam and Mize and just working whatever else in that would fit.

  • lfn1992

    @shamrock77s said...

    I was planning on starting with Weir, Woosnam and Mize and just working whatever else in that would fit.

    Is Bernhard Langer still surgically attached to his putter? If so, he’s my Masters lock-and-load

  • dangasin

    Rafa you son of a turd. Gonna play you again. Surely he won’t be worst player 2 weeks in a row…..

  • dangasin

    So glad fleetwood isn’t playing. I feel liberated in my player selection.

  • hautalak

    • 2021 Blogger of the Month

    @noddy said...

    Will DK have any contests for match play? I’m already looking ahead since I’ll probably go 3/6 this week

    I sure hope so!!! That was a lot of fun last year, albeit unsuccessful. Lessons were learned though and I believe I have a better approach this year!!!

  • ValuableTrader

    Initially scrubs/stars lineup looks tough; looking like a balanced week for me.

    Starting every lineup with DJ will be tough

  • shadowchap1978

    Going back to the well with Paul Casey this week. Earlier in the year he bombed at the Sony Open then came back and lit it up at Pebble Beach. I think he does the same here. Well in my head this makes sense lol

  • Kpwgamecock

    @dangasin said...

    So glad fleetwood isn’t playing. I feel liberated in my player selection.

    Amen

    I can’t stand Fleetwood because of DFS.

  • Kingspark35

    Pat Mayo Experience Listeners League

    4000 entries, filling fast

    https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/70392401

  • Dunzor

    @BIF said...

    The Web.com Tour other than about 4-5 events is rimarily a Bomb and Gouge tour that has insanely low winning scores often near or better than 20 under. Dylan Meyer as you can tell by looking at him is not a bomb and Gouge guy – I’m not sure I’ll be playing him as I’ll only have 10 lineups but this shorter tight ball strikers course this week is a much better fit for him than 80+% of the Web courses. Look at some of the past winners here, short to medium drivers who hit a lot of greens and usually good putter and/or short games.

    Thanks BIF, it’s probably not great for DFS outcomes, but I’ve been trying to find reasons to play Meyer when I can since he’s basically me if I ever made it onto the tour (similar build / medical condition / seems kinda nerdy), and when I saw this quote from Culp’s preview I figured I had to consider him:

    “Dylan Meyer: “you have to be pretty strategic out here. It doesn’t offer a lot of drivers for me. It’s a lot of 3-woods, 2 hybrids off the tees and gives me a long iron into the green. The Snake Pit, I have a hybrid into 17, long iron into 18. Fits right into my game because I hit my long irons and everything so well.”

  • Pbasniper

    @dbullsfan said...

    Noto and Mayo talking up Knox (or at least mentioning them as bets) probably gonna drive up a little ownership, he isn’t someone I normally play much if any but would I be crazy to ignore him this week.

    Knox at $6900 was clutch for me last week, I love how his game is going right now. Non players pricing still has him reasonable but I hate the idea of him creeping into 10%+ ownership.

  • Dunzor

    @Pbasniper said...

    Knox at $6900 was clutch for me last week, I love how his game is going right now. Non players pricing still has him reasonable but I hate the idea of him creeping into 10%+ ownership.

    He had pretty heavy ownership at the Honda with a similar field, so I don’t think he’s gonna go overlooked especially if he’s getting some tout pressure

  • Pbasniper

    @Dunzor said...

    He had pretty heavy ownership at the Honda with a similar field, so I don’t think he’s gonna go overlooked especially if he’s getting some tout pressure

    2.5% Knox is the only Knox I want!

  • dangasin

    Arguments against picking DJ?

  • Pbasniper

    @dangasin said...

    Arguments against picking DJ?

    Price? Other than that not much.

  • Dunzor

    @dangasin said...

    Arguments against picking DJ?

    This course mostly takes away his driver, which means you are now comparing his long iron and scrambling game to the rest of the field. Is DJ that much better at those facets of his game than the other less expensive options when he can’t overpower a course?

    To me that is the big argument against DJ and it is convincing enough for me to skip him and pick a bit more balanced. Also you can add the fact that he’s avoided this event for like a decade so he clearly knows the course doesn’t really fit his strengths as much.

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