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It’s both an art and a science. Data is important, but perhaps the best thing about working with data is gaining a knowledge of each individual player. Not too many people can use data AND their own knowledge/intuition. Ever say to a “data guy” that you’re playing a hunch? They’ll literally call you an idiot and say that’s “suboptimal”. We’re dealing with human players, not robots here. There’s no such thing as an optimal prediction.
CH matters sometimes, for some guys on some courses. Data guys can’t handle that. They make sweeping generalizations and say it doesn’t matter. Overall, they’re right. But does that mean we should ignore it?
BTW, I’m a data guy. But I’m also….something else.
Good post – factual and humorous!
I’m not a data guy but work with a bunch and you nailed the response I’d get if I ever said something was a hunch or gut feeling
Had a weird week. I was bracing myself for a huge loss but the gods smiled on me
Got a backdoor cash in the $8 in EURO, still can’t figure out how but that helped a lot
Then the Xander collapse and Finau finishing in 2nd, along with Max Homa’s Most Excellent Weekend put me to just about break-even on the weekend… I was stunned because I had left myself for dead. Had Hoagie not crapped the bed on Sunday I would have probably eked out a profit, but I am not complaining. I’ll take break-even based on where I was sitting on Friday
Created 20 lineups this week with a core of JT/Xander/Im for each one. Had 7 6/6’s but nothing too spectacular. 3 lineups over 500. Xander’s Sunday and the run by Webb/Finau really hurt me. I had $2000 in, won back $1820 so a blah week overall.
I can’t believe how many people were high on Homa. He surprised me. Great tourney to watch though, Simpson/Finau literally came out of nowhere on the weekend and took control.