PGA FORUM

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  • whodat2

    When: August 2-5

    Where: Akron, Ohio

    Course: Firestone Country Club (South) | A par 70 playing at 7400 yards

    Last Year’s Winner: Hideki Matsuyama at -16

    This is a NO CUT event

    Coverage: PGATourLive | Golf Channel | CBS

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  • lfn1992

    @Felixxberg said...

    In that case, it was profitable for you. Getting 130 tickets out of $750-$800 is nuts though! The majority of people probably don’t get that kind of return.

    I was just trying to go with basic maths. Every ticket you win has a real value of $17 and not $20, and the satellite itself takes a rake.

    It becomes beneficial if you’re profitable over the long term and win more tickets than the money spent to get them.

    My problem is BIF keeps stealing my tickets ;)

  • lfn1992

    Interesting news in regards to PGA Tour Live.

    https://twitter.com/EricFisherSBJ/status/1024266310342066176

  • Felixxberg

    @lfn1992 said...

    My problem is BIF keeps stealing my tickets ;)

    If he got 130 (!!) of them with $750-$800, there’s only a few left for the rest of us!

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @Felixxberg said...

    In that case, it was profitable for you. Getting 130 tickets out of $750-$800 is nuts though! The majority of people probably don’t get that kind of return.

    I was just trying to go with basic maths. Every ticket you win has a real value of $17 and not $20, and the satellite itself takes a rake.

    It becomes beneficial if you’re profitable over the long term and win more tickets than the money spent to get them.

    I have been positive roi on milly maker satty this year, my key has been playing the lower entry contests within them.

  • hautalak

    Hoping to scape by this week and possibly increase the BR by playing more cash this week. I can’t wait for next week though! My first chance to play with the “bigger” boys with my $150 ticket. Good thing it’s only 3 entry max. Hoping to play it similar to the Open and have some more “cashy” picks with some “bigger” names to pivot to down lower (i.e. Schauff was my differentiater). I’ll prolly ask for some opinions too but will ultimately make my own decisions.

    Here’s to a good next 2 weeks! Still have no idea who to play for this week besides some Tiger chalk. Maybe Rickie for the hell of it. And I can convince myself to get some Barnrat as well.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    In general DK pricing has been very good this year. I feel this week may be there best this year when you look at pricing and roster construction. Sure, you can say JT, Phil and Sergio are mispriced but based on form and current history they are priced fairly.

  • hautalak

    @Cooper08 said...

    Sure, you can say JT, Phil and Sergio are mispriced but based on form and current history they are priced fairly.

    Of that group, who do you think finishes best? My guess is JT but still not sure I wanna play him.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    Field for the pga is set, winner of WGC and Barracuda gain entry if not already in. If both winners this week are already in then Kokrak and Kirk qualify with Kokrak being the one who would qualify if only one spot available. Also remember when looking at list that 20 PGA professionals qualified thus the many unrecognized names.

    https://www.pgatour.com/fantasy/major-qualifiers.amp.html?__twitter_impression=true

  • Jeddy3

    Totally agree Coop. Pricing is pretty spot on this week.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @hautalak said...

    Of that group, who do you think finishes best? My guess is JT but still not sure I wanna play him.

    Sergio, ball striking. I am off all three.

  • hautalak

    @Cooper08 said...

    Sergio, ball striking. I am off all three.

    Yeah that’s what I wanna do but at least 1/3 might make it into a lineup or 2. Who knows? Way too many options this week and 20 lineups might not cut it haha

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    Any word on why Steele has only played four times in the last 12 weeks? Wife have baby? Wouldn’t think it’s injury since he is playing every couple weeks. He will be chalky under 7k play. Stats somehow lineup even with his poor finishes recently. Solid good drives, gir, par 4 scoring and par 4 450-500.

  • manoffewwords

    I have faded Tiger all year,but looks like he is going to be most of experts top play this week. So l am scared to fade. His ownership will approach 25%,which usually means a 35% play to be overweight. I do not want to do this. In case he goes off,is it o.k to have 15-20%,or is this a DFS no no.

  • lfn1992

    @bama16 said...

    I have faded Tiger all year,but looks like he is going to be most of experts top play this week. So l am scared to fade.

    Usually this is my cue to fade – when “most of the top experts” hitch their wagon to that star

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @bama16 said...

    I have faded Tiger all year,but looks like he is going to be most of experts top play this week. So l am scared to fade. His ownership will approach 25%,which usually means a 35% play to be overweight. I do not want to do this. In case he goes off,is it o.k to have 15-20%,or is this a DFS no no.

    Fading Tiger, this is the fourth occurrence of Tiger playing courses he has dominated in the past…the overall results at Bay Hill, Augusta National, and The Memorial have not been the best. You can also throw Torrey Pines in there if you wish.

  • nicholasmarsh

    Dialing way back until I figure out what I’m doing wrong so won’t be around much. You all are welcome… Ha-ha.

    Not paying that price for Tiger and will probably fade most priced above Molinari. Might like Koepka coming of an MC and am tempted to run back Bubba (that b*tch. HA!). The Burgoon crash last Friday was pretty epic as well.

    Good luck this week, fellas. I’ll check-in from time-to-time…

  • Dunzor

    @bama16 said...

    I have faded Tiger all year,but looks like he is going to be most of experts top play this week. So l am scared to fade. His ownership will approach 25%,which usually means a 35% play to be overweight. I do not want to do this. In case he goes off,is it o.k to have 15-20%,or is this a DFS no no.

    This is from Culp’s article and sums up nicely why I will be fading Tiger this week. He just has not hit his driver well this year and you need it badly at this course, so I will continue to target him at less than driver courses and let the public go crazy about his course history here:

    “Tiger Woods
    The Big Cat has won here EIGHT TIMES in 15 starts. If we dive in deeper, we’ll see that he had 3 or more wins during the calendar year before each of his eight wins here. The times he’s played Firestone without already having a win on the year? He’s finished 78th, 37th and WD in those three starts. He was T36 through 54 holes before that WD. I’m not saying we should chalk him up for a terrible week but I’m also suggesting we shouldn’t lock him in for a win just yet. We’ve talked a lot about how less-than-drivers are what fits his current game best. Firestone is not a course where you want to be consistently clubbing down. I think a top 10 is very possible this week but I think he’s overvalued in the betting and fantasy markets.”

  • Cbed11

    @hautalak said...

    Of that group, who do you think finishes best? My guess is JT but still not sure I wanna play him.

    Phil and Sergio have pretty horrible course history. Have to assume that is also a part of why they are priced so low.

  • noddy

    @hautalak said...

    Of that group, who do you think finishes best? My guess is JT but still not sure I wanna play him.

    Phil, JT, Sergio

  • Quadhole

    @nicholasmarsh said...

    Dialing way back until I figure out what I’m doing wrong so won’t be around much. You all are welcome… Ha-ha.

    Not paying that price for Tiger and will probably fade most priced above Molinari. Might like Koepka coming of an MC and am tempted to run back Bubba (that b*tch. HA!). The Burgoon crash last Friday was pretty epic as well.

    Good luck this week, fellas. I’ll check-in from time-to-time…

    95% lose, your not doing anything wrong, lots of luck if playing small is needed. Got to go big or expect it…. Maybe you can do what I do and use straight bets to compensate. Even then, 1% are going to be overall winners and .99% of them are DK

  • Jamcclea

    https://www.pgatour.com/news/2018/07/31/jarrod-lyle-decides-to-stop-cancer-treatment.html

  • manoffewwords

    @Dunzor said...

    This is from Culp’s article and sums up nicely why I will be fading Tiger this week. He just has not hit his driver well this year and you need it badly at this course, so I will continue to target him at less than driver courses and let the public go crazy about his course history here:

    “Tiger Woods
    The Big Cat has won here EIGHT TIMES in 15 starts. If we dive in deeper, we’ll see that he had 3 or more wins during the calendar year before each of his eight wins here. The times he’s played Firestone without already having a win on the year? He’s finished 78th, 37th and WD in those three starts. He was T36 through 54 holes before that WD. I’m not saying we should chalk him up for a terrible week but I’m also suggesting we shouldn’t lock him in for a win just yet. We’ve talked a lot about how less-than-drivers are what fits his current game best. Firestone is not a course where you want to be consistently clubbing down. I think a top 10 is very possible this week but I think he’s overvalued in the betting and fantasy markets.”

    Thanks for feedback everyone. Looks like I will continue my fade.

  • manoffewwords

    @Jamcclea said...

    https://www.pgatour.com/news/2018/07/31/jarrod-lyle-decides-to-stop-cancer-treatment.html

    Sad. Prayers to family.

  • nicholasmarsh

    @Quadhole said...

    95% lose, your not doing anything wrong, lots of luck if playing small is needed. Got to go big or expect it…. Maybe you can do what I do and use straight bets to compensate. Even then, 1% are going to be overall winners and .99% of them are DK

    Straight bets not a bad idea. I’m scaling back to single-bullet. The MME has polluted my selection strategy even though I always make a “main” LU first. The MME is fun, but negative ROI for me

  • noddy

    I have very little Tiger so far in my 60 lineups. I may have to up it some. He’ll probably play well even though he’s not supposed to be a good fit here. That’s how this shit works.

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