NFL FORUM

why do you think a lot of the winning lineups had him

He has hit nearly 3x or better in 4 of 5 games this season. So a lot of it could be people that had under 4k left for a receiver and are looking at game logs.

Because the Lions?

Its not hard play people vs Detroit.

The only reason I would have played Britt is when I build a lineup with the guys I like, and have X amount ($3800) left over for a spot (usually flex). I would submit the same lineup with as many players in the flex spot that have the capability to put up numbers. It helps sometimes. This week I ended up with like $4700 in the flex and just did a bunch of lineups with like Allen Hurns Tate”:/players/golden-tate-12738/ etc. Unfortunately didnt make it that far down to Britt.

grunching

Lions

/thread

This is why I would never win a tourney like the milli maker. I would have to enter about 200 lineups before I even consider Britt.

I had a total of about 800 lineups yesterday in different slates and mixtures of GPPs and cash, yet I had zero Britt.

Find it hilarious that people (after the fact, as always) are trying to justify playing not only Britt but stacking him with Keenum. The Rams offense has been mediocre at best and as a whole is extremely inconsistent. No explanation for yesterday other than a pure fluke.

I actually saw a few lineups yesterday with Britt and Ajayi. Nope, DFS isn’t gambling at all. Pure skill.

He was very low owned everywhere I saw. So:

Q: “why do you think a lot of winning lineups had him?”

A: because he had a huge day and you’re looking at the winning lineups.

Cue miscellaneous research chat from Friday:

Whoever picked him congrats. If you had a heavy amount of him you either need to write a book on this or have a lobotomy scheduled.

I don’t know what he cost on FD but no part of my decision making process even brought me close to him. A Keenum stack would’ve been the only way I would’ve gotten there and that was never a consideration. I didn’t play THAT much Tavon Austin, think I had him in 10 LUs or so. Had I been more bullish on Tavon I probably would’ve hedged with Britt, so I guess that’s another way I could’ve gotten there.

I liked Perriman at nearly min priced given that he was facing the Giants and has big play ability. And as uninspiring as Flacco has been he’s still a much better QB than Keenum.

I only had 5 GPP lineups and had Britt in 2 of them. I had some Stafford/Jones stacks and wanted a WR from the other side. He was regularly seeing ~7 targets, and with Cunningham back I thought Austin might see less work on the screen passes etc.

There’s no explanation. Even if you were on the Rams like I was (had Keenum at 10%) you were either going Tavon or Kendricks. All research said that those two were the plays, especially Tavon.

The reasons I played him are I felt that Detroit had an awful pass defense even with Slay back there and Britt is the #1 outside WR so I felt he’d get a few red zone targets if they made it in there. He also had a catch % of 67 or higher in 4/5 games so add all of that up and I really liked him. I also wanted a pivot off Meredith in GPPs on DK and he fit perfectly for me.

That’s so awesome that there is such love for an ex-Mountaineer!!!!!!!!!!!!!! “2Legit2Britt” lmao

It is indeed skill — b/c rostering a sub 1% owned Case Keenum is a genius GPP move — GPP players know every dollar spent is already long lost “in theory” — I say this mainly b/c of the price of KAP on yahoo was $20…R. Wilson was $40 —- playing KAP was the right move……..

For example in the YAHOO CUP, I ran KAP at 1.7% owned…guy who was 2nd had KAP and the winner had DAK at QB

It’s funny when one goes back and checks out GPP %s…
Shady McCoy, who I had was 3% owned; for the record Kenny Britt was 1.4%, Chris Hogan 3.9% and ODB gawd game 1%-flat owned….

ALSO — “No explanation for yesterday other than a pure fluke” — and the LIONS’ D sucks

Ownership percentages do not help at all if the player doesn’t do anything. This was the #1 argument when dude from FD won 300k and started the bulk of the legal BS. It was presumed they had access to ownership percentages prior to lock. Even if they did, the players still have to perform.

Britt is just a mediocre WR with a terrible QB throwing him the ball. Even against a garbage pass defense, no one should have expected more than 20 fantasy points (referring to DK). For GPPs, it is rare for a min priced flier to even get you 20 points and win you the tournament. Britt had 35.6 points on DK.

So like I said, total fluke.

Everybody says that..it is so untrue but I understand your feelings.Thousands of players can say same thing that if they switched one or two players they would win the big one.It is really not factual in most cases as we would then all be millionares..

They remembered what Mrs. Keenum said on Hard Knocks about Britt working out with Mr. Keenum during the off-season.

I had a smidgen of Kenny Britt. Obviously I wish I’d had more. There’s a ton of reasons why he was a good play.

• Qualities
  • Cheap salary
  • Routinely hits value and due for positive TD regression
  • Decent market share within his offense
  • Good athletic ability (4.47s 40m, good strength, good jumper)
  • Big body—6’3”, 223 lbs—which correlates well with TDs
  • There’s also a fuzzy case here that I want to describe in terms of untapped potential…when has Kenny Britt had QB play that would allow him to reach his potential? Case Keenum suddenly looking like Joe Montana for one, glorious game may just indicate how good Britt could be if we ever saw him playing for a good QB
• Matchup
  • Brian Quick was injured
  • Indoors on turf (which he’s accustomed to from STL)
  • LA’s D was depleted by injuries and facing an aggressive Jim Bob Cooter offense with little choice but to throw itself into a shootout
  • DET’s D sucks (especially against the pass)
    • I was betting on Marvin Jones, personally, but the correlation plays were there even if I mostly made the wrong one
• Game Theory
  • Low-owned
  • Pivot off of Tavon Austin
  • Perhaps more to the point, he’s a pivot off of every alternative cheap WR in Week 6, and Week 6 desperately wants you to play cheap WRs
  • Correlation play against under-owned, under-appreciated DET plays in Week 6—a LA@DET game stack was a winning pivot off the entire CAR@NO chalk game stack

To me, the strangest thing was Case Keenum play. I still think Case Keenum was basically an indefensible play. That’s variance to me, and variance of a kind I didn’t think was possible. I didn’t know heroic, game-wrecking Case Keenum was a thing.

Britt could’ve been a solid pivot and correlation play even in the absence of that freak event. Toss it in, and you’re a millionaire.

You must play Keenum every week because he will always be 1% owned. He’s at the bottom of nfl qbs

I tried to say that earlier but no one wants to listen to facts since facts kill their arguments.

I just don’t think ownership is a particularly compelling argument. There needs to be a lot more to go on. DraftKings keeps tugging on my sleeve and warning me that Joe Callahan won’t be dressing for Thursday’s game, but I don’t give a shit, because Joe Callahan should have 0% ownership.

Obviously Case is a starter, and that makes him worth considering on some level, but I don’t think many of us would’ve guessed that he’d look this good over a third of the way through the season. You would’ve gotten a lot of action in September if you’d offered a wager on Jared Goff being the Rams’ QB by now. Please don’t forget that this is the same guy who got blanked by the 49ers. Game theory doesn’t change my mind one bit on Keenum, absent a fantastic matchup (which is what he had in the Lions).

Conversely, Julio Jones was the play in Week 4 and would have been even if he had 100% ownership. You can’t fade a guy at 50+ points. Game theory goes right out the window.

Ownership is important, but I think it’s among the least important factors we need to consider. You can lose a lot of money by getting too wrapped up in it.

More than anything, I think it’s critical if you want to take down a GPP. Even then, you only need one or two minimally owned guys on your entire roster to differentiate it (and Case Keenum is usually an unlikely choice). If you can be satisfied without winning $1m in a single night, you can still win nice, steady ROI in GPPs by just playing chalky winners.

I think another point thats being missed is that Britt wasn’t just a pivot off of Tavon, he was also a pivot off Meredith who was set to have extremely high ownership at similar price point. I’m not saying Britt was a good play, but it makes sense in terms of ownership %‘s.

There is an assumption made in the OP – that I think should always consider when looking back…… “Was Kenny Brit actually a good play”? Just because someone had a good week doesnt mean they were a good play.

In this case – maybe he was. Just a reminder to trust the process.

Here’s where the argument makes sense. I agree with your statements above on why Britt was a good play. There was a lot of compelling views that would make him one. I actually originally thought of him as a good play because he was a lower priced receiver with decent recent 3X range and I needed one. Well, actually, I originally though of Rams WRs as a bad play because I couldn’t figure out which one was the WR1 out of the 3 equal STL receivers (Quick, Britt, Austin). Then, when I saw Quick was out, I immediately went to Britt and noticed as others have pointed out his targets and multiplier was pretty good and so I was excited and put him in. Then, I started hearing all this chatter from everyone everywhere around Austin and I decided to go back to my original view which I didn’t know which one to choose (and honestly, relying on the Rams offense is not something you can get excited about if you are just guessing). So, I went back to Meredith who I assumed could get me the 3-4x anyway whether heavily owned or not.

So, I’m probably like the average non-winning team that didn’t have Britt, but I was “close” and can see why people liked him.

I’m actually in a similar boat with Redskins receivers. I feel like one of these guys could be the Britt of last week vs. the Lions, but can’t figure out who. With DJax practicing it’s throwing me off. Crowder or Garcon could pop…I’d rather lean towards Crowder, but it’s been Garcon getting the targets, particularly in the red zone.