SquirrelPatrol's Takedowns: UFC 300 - Pereira vs. Hill
John Breslin (squirrelpatrol) is one of the best DFS players in the game, having amassed over 100 Live Final seats. Get a glimpse into his process by checking out some of his contrarian MMA DFS picks for the upcoming UFC event.
Welcome to the weekend and to SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill. This card is one of the biggest events in UFC history, and accordingly, it has some of the biggest names currently fighting in the promotion. We have three 5-round fights on the card, adding an interesting dynamic for our DFS lineups, as we have to make decisions on weighing the output of the potential 5 rounds of action compared to the possibilities of quick finishes in other fights. Dana White has upped the performance bonuses for this card from $50,000 to $300,000 per fighter, so every fighter on the card will have incentive go put on a memorable performance. Let’s see if we can find some overlooked fighters to help us take down a GPP this weekend.
MMA DFS Picks: SquirrelPatrol’s Takedowns for UFC 300 – Pereira vs. Hill
Charles Oliveira
DraftKings: $7,500
FanDuel: $12
Oliveira is only $7,500 on DraftKings, but he has better odds for a 1st-round finish (+475) than any other fighter priced at $8,100 or below.
He also has +175 odds to win his fight against Arman Tsarukyan, giving him about 35% implied probability of getting the win at an underdog price on a card that could be short on value. Oliveira has won 12 of his past 13 UFC fights dating back to 2018, with 10 of those victories scoring over 90 DK points.