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MLB Grind Down: Monday, September 12th

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-09-13 02:08:53

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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

LA Dodgers at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM ET

LA Dodgers NY Yankees
Article Image Jose De Leon Article Image Bryan Mitchell
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -110 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.282 1 9.1% 36.8% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.321 2 27.0% 28.6%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.219 0 0.0% 40.0% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.370 2 35.1% 13.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose De Leon
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $7,400
FPPG: 48.0 FPPG: 25.9
Pitcher Rating: 67.4 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 86.0 1.88 4.50 37.5% 0.0% 18.6% 45.5% 45.5% 7.1%
2016 1 86.0 1.88 4.50 37.5% 0.0% 18.6% 45.5% 45.5% 7.1%

Jose De Leon: It was a pretty solid debut for De Leon, who struck out nine batters on his way to a win and looking more than capable of pitching at this level. He did allow some runs to cross the plate, but that is to be expected. His pricing and the other pitching options available put him in a range where I like him a lot as a secondary pitcher on multiple-pitcher sites.

Home:—ERA: 4.50 — K%: 37.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.271
Away:—ERA: — K%: — wOBA Allowed:

Bryan Mitchell
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,600 Salary: $4,300
FPPG: 33.0 FPPG: 15.7
Pitcher Rating: 50.6 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 80.0 4.89 0.00 10.5% 10.5% 6.3% 66.7% 20.0% 40.0%
2016 1 80.0 4.89 0.00 10.5% 10.5% 6.3% 66.7% 20.0% 40.0%
2015 2 298.0 3.97 6.37 20.3% 11.2% 8.7% 50.0% 21.9% 31.3%

Bryan Mitchell: While Mitchell did hold the Blue Jays scoreless in his first start of the season, the fantasy value was pretty minimal and the risk of ruin was far higher than the result. He is not going to strike a ton of batters out and the walks are concerning. I see no reason to put Mitchell in any of our lineups tonight.

Home:—ERA: 4.35 — K%: 16.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322
Away:—ERA: 7.07 — K%: 22.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.390

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Dodgers: Los Angeles is capable of doing big things and this is a pitcher I expect to get into some trouble on multiple occasions. It is Yankee Stadium, so naturally those left-handed bats with pop are all the more intriguing as that short porch in right could get some action.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.325 0.130 32.0% 0.284 2B $2,900 2B/OF $3,400
2 Corey Seager LEFT 0.412 0.234 40.8% 0.383 SS $4,100 SS $5,200
3 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.385 0.238 36.4% 0.235 3B $3,200 3B $4,700
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.363 0.213 36.5% 0.262 1B $3,400 1B $4,600
5 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.342 0.229 34.7% 0.361 C $3,100 C $4,000
6 Josh Reddick LEFT 0.359 0.180 27.4% 0.395 OF $3,000 OF $4,100
7 Yasiel Puig RIGHT 0.312 0.140 31.4% 0.603 OF $2,600 OF $4,600
8 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.358 0.236 39.6% 0.316 OF $2,900 OF $4,600
9 Andre Ethier LEFT 0.385 0.211 33.3% OF $2,400 OF $3,800
Team Averages — 0.360 0.201 34.7% 0.355 — — — —

Elite Plays – Corey Seager

Secondary Plays – Josh Reddick , Adrian Gonzalez , Yasmani Grandal , Yasiel Puig

Stackability – YELLOW

NY Yankees

Yankees: The Yankees do not have a lineup that brings too much consistency to the table outside of Gary Sanchez, who has been fantastic since his call up. There is potential to put up some runs against the young De Leon, but I really do not like the upside as much as some other teams.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.323 0.131 27.5% 0.280 OF $3,200 OF $4,000
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.314 0.111 24.7% 0.396 OF $3,200 OF $4,800
3 Gary Sanchez RIGHT 0.506 0.398 42.3% 0.375 C $4,000 C $5,100
4 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.311 0.149 24.1% 0.277 SS $2,900 SS $3,200
5 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.298 0.141 26.8% 0.336 2B $2,800 2B $3,300
6 Brian McCann LEFT 0.330 0.200 33.7% 0.313 C $3,000 C $3,800
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.307 0.126 30.0% 0.359 3B $2,500 3B $3,500
8 Tyler Austin RIGHT 0.341 0.244 23.3% 0.391 1B $2,400 1B $2,500
9 Rob Refsnyder RIGHT 0.314 0.121 28.6% 0.523 1B $2,300 1B/OF $3,100
Team Averages — 0.338 0.180 29.0% 0.361 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Gary Sanchez , Jacoby Ellsbury , Brian McCann

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Mets at Washington – 7:05 PM ET

NY Mets Washington
Article Image Rafael Montero Article Image Mat Latos
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -120 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.449 0 21.7% 11.8% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.339 15 29.5% 15.5%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.245 1 29.0% 28.8% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.315 9 33.1% 19.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Rafael Montero
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,900 Salary: $4,600
FPPG: 11.8 FPPG: 5.4
Pitcher Rating: 47.9 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 89.5 7.40 2.89 16.7% 23.8% 7.3% 41.7% 37.5% 16.0%
2016 2 113.5 6.41 4.63 18.5% 20.4% 6.2% 40.6% 34.4% 27.3%
2015 1 192.0 3.38 4.50 28.3% 10.9% 9.9% 48.1% 33.3% 25.0%

Rafael Montero: I hope the Nationals have their walking shoes tonight as Montero has been allowing a ton of free passes in his limited opportunity to start for New York. With a tough Nationals lineup and a propensity to put himself in bad situations, Montero is too risky for us to use in our lineups tonight.

Home:—ERA: 0.00 — K%: 17.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.318
Away:—ERA: 6.46 — K%: 25.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311

Mat Latos
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,300 Salary: $4,800
FPPG: 21.4 FPPG: 9.1
Pitcher Rating: 64.4 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 0 0.0 3.82 7.71 30.0% 0.0% 16.3% 0.0% 71.4% 57.1%
2016 11 95.5 5.47 4.74 12.7% 9.1% 7.1% 42.9% 38.1% 28.5%
2015 21 85.9 3.88 4.95 20.2% 6.5% 9.9% 43.9% 31.9% 33.0%

Mat Latos: I am honestly amazed at his ability to get signed by anyone at this point of his career. Latos is another pitcher that we cannot trust to keep runs off the board and is not offering enough upside to mitigate the risk of a blowup game here.

Home:—ERA: 5.67 — K%: 17.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336
Away:—ERA: 4.03 — K%: 17.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.317

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Mets: New York may not have been hitting the ball as well as people expected for the majority of the year, but lately the bats have been a bit more consistent. With Latos toeing the rubber for Washington, I do not mind having exposure to some Mets.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.296 0.107 20.7% 0.382 3B $2,900 3B/SS $4,100
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.325 0.186 32.0% 0.540 SS $3,200 SS $3,700
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.376 0.261 36.1% 0.381 OF $4,100 OF $4,300
4 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.362 0.230 37.5% 0.409 OF $3,600 OF $4,700
5 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.336 0.253 38.9% 0.317 OF $3,200 OF $4,400
6 James Loney LEFT 0.310 0.095 24.6% 0.243 1B $2,300 1B $2,600
7 Kelly Johnson LEFT 0.315 0.163 31.6% 0.274 3B $2,500 2B/3B $3,000
8 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.317 0.149 28.9% 0.303 C $2,300 C $2,700
9 Rafael Montero RIGHT 0.000 P $5,900 P $4,600
Team Averages — 0.330 0.181 31.3% 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Secondary Plays – Curtis Granderson , Asdrubal Cabrera , Jose Reyes

Stackability – ORANGE

Washington

Nationals: Sure, those walks Montero is going to give out are not exciting for fantasy purposes, but it is what happens as a result of the free pass that makes the Nationals a good option tonight. The bottom of the order may be struggling a bit, but this is the perfect scenario to grab some Ramos and Zimmermann in tournaments as they are likely to have RBI potential.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.373 0.211 31.1% 0.388 OF $4,300 2B/OF $5,400
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.299 0.141 34.0% 0.368 OF $3,800 OF $3,700
3 Daniel Murphy LEFT 0.378 0.227 36.2% 0.346 2B $3,700 2B $5,300
4 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.424 0.284 36.7% 0.356 OF $3,900 OF $5,100
5 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.329 0.156 36.0% 0.350 3B $3,500 3B $4,000
6 Wilson Ramos RIGHT 0.307 0.144 30.2% 0.294 C $3,400 C $3,900
7 Ryan Zimmerman RIGHT 0.283 0.156 32.6% 0.181 1B $2,700 1B $3,000
8 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.303 0.157 30.1% 0.290 SS $2,800 SS $3,100
9 Mat Latos RIGHT 0.259 0.000 25.0% P $6,300 P $4,800
Team Averages — 0.328 0.164 32.4% 0.322 — — — —

Elite Plays – Trea Turner , Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy , Jayson Werth , Wilson Ramos

Stackability – YELLOW

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET

Pittsburgh Philadelphia
Article Image Gerrit Cole Article Image Jeremy Hellickson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -125 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.296 7 32.4% 23.9% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.342 19 30.7% 17.9%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.284 10 27.1% 21.0% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.310 27 29.8% 21.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Gerrit Cole
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,000 Salary: $7,700
FPPG: 28.8 FPPG: 14.4
Pitcher Rating: 79.2 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 90.3 4.28 7.31 14.8% 4.9% 8.9% 48.3% 20.0% 37.5%
2016 20 94.2 4.17 3.55 19.3% 6.5% 8.4% 46.1% 28.4% 29.7%
2015 32 101.2 3.23 2.60 24.3% 5.3% 10.2% 48.0% 29.6% 29.5%

Gerrit Cole: If you have already scoped out the slate tonight, then pitching should have become more clear as the options are pretty limited overall. This game feature two guys that I would not mind in my lineups, with Cole taking one of the top spots overall on the slate. His strikeout numbers have continued to decline from what we saw last year, but this is a Phillies squad that is very friendly in that department, giving him even more upside tonight. With all that said, he has been dealing with an elbow injury and has not started a game since late August, which presents some risk for those considering him in cash.

Home:—ERA: 3.10 — K%: 21.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.296
Away:—ERA: 2.76 — K%: 23.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.284

Jeremy Hellickson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $6,800
FPPG: 29.1 FPPG: 15.2
Pitcher Rating: 69.3 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 87.8 4.12 4.82 21.7% 6.7% 11.4% 36.6% 39.0% 25.6%
2016 28 92.0 4.15 3.90 20.2% 5.7% 11.2% 39.2% 35.9% 26.3%
2015 27 91.8 4.14 4.62 19.0% 6.8% 10.3% 42.4% 36.5% 34.3%

Jeremy Hellickson: We have seen this roller coaster from Hellickson before as he will go through streaks where he looks great, then we get the results from his last three games and scratch our heads. The ability to shut down this lineup is there, and the pricing makes him a great tournament play as he will allow for us to grab some bigger bats, all the while carrying decent upside in this one.

Home:—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 21.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.321
Away:—ERA: 4.63 — K%: 18.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.326

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

Pirates: I was one of those who expected far better production from this Pirates squad coming into the season, and while it’s good to see from my Cardinals fandom perspective, it is also disappointing from a fantasy perspective. Sure, they have dealt with injuries, but the consistency is not there and this is not an easy matchup despite Hellickson’s recent struggles.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.275 0.088 24.5% 0.287 SS $2,400 SS $3,200
2 Josh Bell SWITCH 0.399 0.196 37.2% 0.308 1B $2,600 1B/OF $3,100
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.352 0.182 38.2% 0.337 OF $3,400 OF $4,100
4 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.331 0.171 33.4% 0.236 OF $3,700 OF $4,600
5 Jung-Ho Kang RIGHT 0.367 0.216 37.6% 0.866 3B $3,500 3B $4,800
6 John Jaso LEFT 0.342 0.144 32.3% 0.457 1B $2,300 1B $3,100
7 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.318 0.075 26.8% 0.274 C $2,800 C $3,200
8 Sean Rodriguez RIGHT 0.294 0.163 34.8% 0.282 OF $2,300 OF/SS $3,700
9 Gerrit Cole RIGHT 0.113 0.000 12.8% P $9,000 P $7,700
Team Averages — 0.310 0.137 30.8% 0.381 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jung Ho Kang , Josh Bell , Andrew McCutchen Gregory Polanco

Stackability – ORANGE

Philadelphia

Phillies: It has to be a pretty bad pitcher in order for me to grab any exposure to a Phillies bat at this point of the season, and that simply is not the case tonight. Cole may be dealing with some arm issues, but there is really nobody here that I want.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.312 0.105 26.7% 0.321 2B $3,300 2B $4,300
2 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.343 0.144 29.7% 0.280 OF $3,000 OF $4,100
3 Maikel Franco RIGHT 0.317 0.180 28.4% 0.191 3B $2,900 3B $3,400
4 Tommy Joseph RIGHT 0.314 0.238 37.2% 0.188 1B $2,300 1B $3,600
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.290 0.144 30.2% 0.112 C $2,600 C $3,200
6 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.293 0.137 28.1% 0.357 SS $2,400 SS $4,000
7 Peter Bourjos RIGHT 0.282 0.153 22.6% 0.322 OF $2,500 OF $3,400
8 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.330 0.187 32.6% 0.220 OF $2,600 OF $3,700
9 Jeremy Hellickson RIGHT 0.207 0.016 2.0% 0.219 P $7,000 P $6,800
Team Averages — 0.299 0.145 26.4% 0.246 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Tampa Bay at Toronto – 7:07 PM ET

Tampa Bay Toronto
Article Image Jake Odorizzi Article Image Francisco Liriano
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -157 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.269 15 29.2% 26.0% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.299 7 22.8% 24.2%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.334 28 31.1% 17.1% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.316 31 30.9% 24.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Odorizzi
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,100 Salary: $7,800
FPPG: 28.8 FPPG: 15.1
Pitcher Rating: 52.2 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.8 4.88 4.66 19.0% 8.3% 9.4% 28.2% 50.6% 38.4%
2016 29 101.2 4.27 3.86 21.5% 7.3% 9.5% 35.6% 45.2% 33.5%
2015 28 98.4 3.90 3.35 21.4% 6.6% 10.1% 37.3% 40.6% 27.0%

Jake Odorizzi: It was an ugly outing in his last start, and a bit concerning to say the least. He is a pretty good real-life pitcher that just does not translate to fantasy production for the most part. I tend to steer clear of pitchers facing Toronto unless there is solid strikeout potential which I just do not see with Odorizzi.

Home:—ERA: 3.16 — K%: 23.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283
Away:—ERA: 4.08 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

Francisco Liriano
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $8,300
FPPG: 23.5 FPPG: 11.2
Pitcher Rating: 78.1 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 110.0 3.90 4.82 25.3% 9.6% 12.4% 46.2% 30.8% 34.6%
2016 25 96.9 4.59 5.27 22.4% 12.5% 11.1% 51.0% 30.5% 35.0%
2015 31 96.2 3.38 3.38 26.5% 9.1% 14.3% 51.2% 26.3% 24.3%

Francisco Liriano: Toronto is bringing the big lefty out of the pen to grab a spot start here. He has maintained solid strikeout numbers throughout his career, but it is the hard contact and runs allowed that are troubling. Considering the modest price and the potential to rack up strikeouts, he is one of my favorite tournament plays, even against a Tampa squad that still has a couple bats that hit lefties well.

Home:—ERA: 4.58 — K%: 25.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.317
Away:—ERA: 3.77 — K%: 23.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Rays: There is a lot of red in this projected lineup, but we still have some options to consider. While they may not be the best stack, guys like Forsythe and Longoria have clear upside when a southpaw takes the hill for the opposition.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.393 0.278 39.0% 0.403 2B $3,300 2B $4,700
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.282 0.117 26.1% 0.353 OF $3,900 OF $4,400
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.366 0.219 33.6% 0.247 3B $3,600 3B $3,600
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.259 0.071 22.5% 0.215 SS $3,000 1B/SS $3,400
5 Mikie Mahtook RIGHT 0.347 0.246 34.9% 0.621 OF $2,100 OF $2,300
6 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.271 0.103 10.0% 0.345 2B $2,900 1B/OF $3,500
7 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.289 0.157 34.1% 0.145 OF $3,000 OF $3,500
8 Richie Shaffer RIGHT 0.258 0.093 16.1% 0.000 1B $2,100 1B/3B $2,700
9 Curt Casali RIGHT 0.318 0.215 32.8% 0.224 C $2,300 C $2,700
Team Averages — 0.309 0.167 27.7% 0.284 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe , Evan Longoria , Steven Souza

Stackability – RED

Toronto

Blue Jays: I am a sucker for this Blue Jays lineup, and mainly because they possess so much upside up and down the order. It can be tricky when a stable pitcher gets blown up like Odorizzi did last time out, but I have no problem going to Blue Jays bats tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.357 0.183 28.1% 0.274 2B $3,400 2B $3,800
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.396 0.265 37.9% 0.478 3B $4,000 3B $4,700
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.389 0.285 36.5% 0.325 1B $3,800 1B $4,400
4 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.377 0.266 37.1% 0.341 OF $3,600 OF $3,800
5 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.323 0.178 34.6% 0.295 SS $3,000 SS $3,700
6 Dioner Navarro SWITCH 0.262 0.099 30.1% 0.201 C $2,000 C $2,600
7 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.335 0.199 36.9% 0.364 OF $3,200 OF $3,900
8 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.291 0.149 32.1% 0.326 OF $3,600 OF $3,500
9 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.302 0.125 25.6% 0.358 OF $2,600 OF $3,000
Team Averages — 0.337 0.194 33.2% 0.329 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson , Jose Bautista

Secondary Plays – Edwin Encarnacion , Devon Travis , Troy Tulowitzki , Michael Saunders

Stackability – GREEN

Minnesota at Detroit – 7:08 PM ET

Minnesota Detroit
Article Image Ervin Santana Article Image Daniel Norris
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
DET -156 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.315 13 30.1% 15.6% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.376 6 31.7% 22.7%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.300 16 27.9% 21.7% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.312 9 28.9% 17.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Ervin Santana
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $7,900
FPPG: 28.7 FPPG: 14.7
Pitcher Rating: 49.8 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 107.0 4.10 3.41 24.2% 9.9% 13.6% 41.9% 29.1% 30.2%
2016 26 98.2 4.35 3.58 19.1% 6.7% 9.9% 42.5% 35.1% 29.7%
2015 17 98.7 4.43 4.00 17.9% 7.9% 9.5% 40.9% 37.6% 28.1%

Ervin Santana: I like Santana at this price range in general, but not against the Tigers tonight. He has shown the ability to strike people out lately, but with a tough offense on the other side it’s just not worth the risk for me. You can make a case for Santana as a secondary pitcher in tournaments, I suppose, but there are better options out there.

Home:—ERA: 4.04 — K%: 18.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304
Away:—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 19.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311

Daniel Norris
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $7,000
FPPG: 22.1 FPPG: 10.9
Pitcher Rating: 59.2 Pitcher Rank: 15
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 92.0 4.77 3.58 16.8% 8.4% 9.4% 45.8% 33.6% 32.7%
2016 9 85.8 4.37 3.94 19.8% 7.4% 8.9% 41.5% 36.7% 30.6%
2015 13 79.6 4.45 3.75 17.9% 7.6% 9.2% 39.3% 43.2% 28.7%

Daniel Norris: I have Norris in that same fringe tournament play group that Santana is in tonight. He is stable, but does not possess a ton of fantasy upside, making it hard to roster him here. On top of that, we have a Minnesota squad that is a bit underrated against lefties.

Home:—ERA: 5.01 — K%: 18.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.365
Away:—ERA: 3.08 — K%: 19.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.303

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Twins: We might just have one of the more sneaky stacks here in Minnesota against southpaw Daniel Norris. There is potential for a wrap-around stack with Buxton that has potential and probably will not carry a high ownership.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.364 0.271 33.1% 0.490 2B $3,700 2B $5,600
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.398 0.159 27.8% 0.327 3B $3,100 3B/SS $3,300
3 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.356 0.224 45.7% 0.308 OF $3,300 3B/OF $4,000
4 Kennys Vargas SWITCH 0.464 0.240 46.4% 0.314 1B $3,100 1B $3,600
5 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.398 0.202 31.2% 0.523 OF $3,200 OF $4,300
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.314 0.182 28.3% 0.297 SS $2,500 SS $3,300
7 Logan Schafer LEFT 0.211 0.063 35.7% 0.334 OF $2,600 OF $2,400
8 Kurt Suzuki RIGHT 0.302 0.116 25.2% 0.313 C $2,200 C $2,900
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.234 0.123 33.8% 0.637 OF $3,000 OF $3,700
Team Averages — 0.338 0.176 34.1% 0.394 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier

Secondary Plays – Miguel Sano , Byron Buxton , Kennys Vargas , Jorge Polanco

Stackability – YELLOW

Detroit

Tigers: Detroit is a dangerous lineup despite inconsistency all season and while Santana continues to be solid for the Twins I like the idea of have some exposure to the big ISO guys in this one.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ian Kinsler RIGHT 0.335 0.152 29.3% 0.407 2B $3,900 2B $4,300
2 Cameron Maybin RIGHT 0.321 0.092 21.3% 0.305 OF $3,000 OF $3,500
3 Miguel Cabrera RIGHT 0.400 0.218 39.9% 0.411 1B $3,900 1B $4,900
4 Victor Martinez SWITCH 0.308 0.158 36.2% 0.276 C $3,400 1B $3,300
5 J.D. Martinez RIGHT 0.384 0.251 40.4% 0.389 OF $3,500 OF $4,500
6 Justin Upton RIGHT 0.339 0.208 36.7% 0.444 OF $3,200 OF $3,800
7 James McCann RIGHT 0.254 0.081 25.5% 0.335 C $2,200 C $2,600
8 Erick Aybar SWITCH 0.285 0.081 21.8% 0.301 SS $2,200 SS $2,900
9 Jose Iglesias RIGHT 0.275 0.054 14.7% 0.255 SS $2,400 SS $2,300
Team Averages — 0.322 0.144 29.5% 0.347 — — — —

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera

Secondary Plays – J.D. Martinez , Justin Upton , Ian Kinsler

Stackability – ORANGE

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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards