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Weaknesses of $/Point in NBA Projections

Jon Bales (JonBales)

Jonathan Bales is the founder of RotoAcademy and author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People book series.

When playing any daily fantasy sport, you’re always searching for value, which is typically calculated by determining the number of dollars you need to spend for every point you can expect a player to score. The $/point method is useful, especially for identifying overpriced players, but you need to be careful with it, too.

Specifically, $/point can be fragile. With so many options playing in a given day, you’ll inevitably have numerous players ranked very close to one another in terms of $/point. In order to be correct, you have to have a level of confidence in your projections which is basically unattainable, hence the fragility of such a value system.

Again, $/point values have their uses, but be careful not to blindly follow them; you should consider a combination of value and other factors when creating lineups—such as league type, roster construction, and risk tolerance.

The Weakness of $/Point in Projections

Experts in This Video: Jon Bales
Main Discussion: Jon Bales discusses $/point and the pros and cons of measuring player value by dividing their salary by their projection.

About the Author

  • Jon Bales (JonBales)

  • Jonathan Bales is the founder of RotoAcademy and author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People book series.

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