NFL Best Ball: The Rookie Approach
With the NFL Draft in the rearview mirror, ADP has stabilized on best ball platforms. Outside of major news and injuries, a player’s role can be predicted with more certainty this time of year.
Josh Jacobs, the Alabama running back, already has a third round ADP (35.3 overall). While it is probably safe to say that Jacobs belongs within the first five rounds, figuring out when to draft the other rookies can be difficult.
Drafting Rookies by Position
Some positions develop and contribute faster than others. The tables below show how the top prospects from 2016-2018 fared relative to their best ball ADPs. “Win Rate” represents the percentage of teams drafting the player that went on to win their best ball league, and the average win rate is 1-in-12 (roughly 8.3 percent).
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