DraftKings MMA DFS Picks for UFC Las Vegas: Poirier vs. Hooker
Welcome to the Quick Picks version of UFC Las Vegas, as we’ll briefly break down some of DraftKings MMA DFS picks for the UFC Las Vegas: Poirier vs. Hooker!
One final slate before the UFC ships out to Fight Island, we have one of the best Main Events of the year in Dustin Poirier vs. Dan Hooker and what should be an exciting card overall.
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DraftKings MMA DFS Picks for UFC Las Vegas: Poirier vs. Hooker
DraftKings MMA DFS Picks UFC Las Vegas: Poirier vs. Hooker
Dustin Poirier, $8,700
Focusing on the Main Event is always an important strategy when playing MMA DFS, and it’s clear that one of the top picks on this weekend’s slate will be Dustin Poirier at 8.7k.
Poirier is a -220 with a -121 line to win inside the distance, and he gets five rounds to work with as is typical for Main Events. Poirier is one of the best fighters in the Lightweight division, and he’s capable of producing offense in big numbers on DraftKings.
Poirier lands 5.51 significant strikes per minute and has topped out north of the 170 sig. strike mark on multiple occasions. If the fight goes the distance, we can expect a high number of strikes landed for Poirier, and enough for him to be competitive with the optimal lineup.
Of course he has a decent chance to win inside the distance as well, which would almost certainly yield him a score of 100 points or more. Our projections indicate that Poirier is one of the top overall MMA DFS picks this weekend and is a definite value for the price.
Sean Woodson, $8,800
Sean Woodson was originally scheduled to fight Kyle Nelson on Saturday’s slate and was priced at 8.8k considering his moderate betting line. However, Nelson pulled out the UFC called up Julian Erosa to step in on short notice.
Erosa has already been cut from the UFC two times, so this will be his absolute final chance to make a statement. The odds aren’t in his favor though, as Woodson is a heavy -480 favorite and is somewhat likely to win ITD as well.
Woodson’s price won’t change though, which mean he’s projected to be the top overall MMA DFS value on the slate this weekend.
Woodson is coming off a UFC debut performance in which he landed 111 significant strikes and looked sharp as a technical boxer. He has that same upside again Saturday and is likely to pay off the price in a victory.
The bottom line is that dollar for dollar, it’s hard to top the projection of Woodson at 8.8k and he should be one of the top plays you consider on DraftKings.
Tanner Boser, $7,900
There are not many fighters I am ruling out of my player pool this weekend considering the limited number of fights and only 20 fighters to choose from.
One fighter who I don’t plan to have much exposure to is Tanner Boser, and he is not projected to score very highly in a victory.
Shockingly, Boser is a heavyweight and in a small cage, you would think his upside is high, but Boser is known as a point fighter and almost never wins his fights inside the distance.
The fight as a whole is actually -200 to go the distance, which is very rare for a heavyweight fight and suggests there is limited finishing upside. At 7.9k, we’d be looking for 80 or more points at the price and that is very unlikely to occur without a finish.
As far as MMA DFS picks go, Boser is one of my least favorite options and a fighter I will not have much exposure to on Saturday.
More MMA DFS Picks for UFC Las Vegas
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