Best Splash Picks Today

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How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 13.6% ★★★★½ 68.0% Less 11.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Austin Reaves 9.4% ★★★½☆ 63.7% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Jaxson Hayes 8.2% ★★★½☆ 62.5% More 3.5 Points NBA LAL
Austin Reaves 8.0% ★★★☆☆ 62.4% Less 32.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Austin Reaves 5.8% ★★½☆☆ 60.1% Less 27.5 Points & Assists NBA LAL
Cutter Gauthier 5.6% ★★½☆☆ 60.0% Less 3.5 Shots NHL ANA
Nazem Kadri 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 59.6% Less 2.5 Shots NHL COL
Noah Hanifin 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 59.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Mats Zuccarello 4.5% ★★½☆☆ 58.9% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MIN
Jaxson Hayes 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% More 7.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
LeBron James 3.8% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Deandre Ayton 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% More 17.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
LeBron James 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.6% Less 36.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Deandre Ayton 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% More 8.5 Points NBA LAL
Deandre Ayton 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% More 9.5 Points & Assists NBA LAL
LeBron James 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 30.5 Points & Assists NBA LAL
William Karlsson 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 40.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Jacob Trouba 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Valeri Nichushkin 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL COL
Rui Hachimura 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 4.5 Rebounds NBA LAL
Bowen Byram 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 1.5 Shots NHL BUF
William Karlsson 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Troy Terry 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% More 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Rasmus Dahlin 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% Less 0.5 Assists NHL BUF
Jackson LaCombe 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Rasmus Dahlin 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% More 0.5 Points NHL BUF
Tage Thompson 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 3.5 Shots NHL BUF
Marcus Smart 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% More 14.5 Points & Assists NBA LAL
Mikael Granlund 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Isaiah Hartenstein 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 17.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Cason Wallace 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% More 4.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Luguentz Dort 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
Isaiah Hartenstein 0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 55.1% Less 20.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Isaiah Hartenstein 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 8.5 Points NBA OKC
Jaxson Hayes 0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 54.8% More 7.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAL
Isaiah Joe 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% Less 7.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Cutter Gauthier 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Brent Burns 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% More 1.5 Shots NHL COL
Devon Toews -0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 54.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL COL
Alex Tuch -0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% More 0.5 Points NHL BUF
Nathan MacKinnon -0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.1% Less 1.5 Points NHL COL
Pavel Dorofeyev -0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.0% More 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Luke Kennard -0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 53.9% Less 12.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAL
Kirill Kaprizov -0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 53.8% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MIN
Alex Newhook -0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 1.5 Shots NHL MTL
Pavel Dorofeyev -0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% More 2.5 Shots NHL VGK
Rui Hachimura -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% Less 19.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAL
Ivan Demidov -1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 53.2% More 0.5 Points NHL MTL
Jackson LaCombe -1.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Luke Kennard -1.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.1% Less 9.5 Points NBA LAL
Lane Hutson -1.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL MTL
Marcus Smart -1.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.9% More 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Alex Caruso -1.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.9% Less 6.5 Points NBA OKC
Jaylin Williams -1.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.8% More 8.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Ross Colton -1.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.8% Less 1.5 Shots NHL COL
Marcus Smart -1.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.7% More 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Jaylin Williams -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.7% More 5.5 Points & Assists NBA OKC
Jaylin Williams -1.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.5% More 3.5 Points NBA OKC
Rui Hachimura -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.3% Less 2.5 Threes NBA LAL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 35.5 Points & Assists NBA OKC
Martin Necas -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 0.5 Assists NHL COL
Luguentz Dort -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% More 7.5 Points & Assists NBA OKC
Isaiah Joe -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 7.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Alex Tuch -2.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 2.5 Shots NHL BUF
Cason Wallace -2.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.9% More 11.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Ivan Barbashev -2.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.8% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Luke Kennard -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 14.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Ivan Barbashev -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Mitch Marner -2.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.6% More 0.5 Assists NHL VGK
Mikael Granlund -2.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Nick Suzuki -3.0% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.3% More 0.5 Assists NHL MTL
Luguentz Dort -3.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.1% Less 9.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Cason Wallace -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.1% Less 7.5 Points NBA OKC
Ryan Hartman -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.1% More 0.5 Points NHL MIN
Matt Boldy -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.9% Less 3.5 Shots NHL MIN
Alex Caruso -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.5% Less 9.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Isaiah Joe -4.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.3% Less 1.5 Threes NBA OKC
Alex Caruso -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.8% Less 8.5 Points & Assists NBA OKC
Chet Holmgren -5.2% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.2% More 17.5 Points NBA OKC
Chet Holmgren -5.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 48.7% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Chet Holmgren -5.8% ☆☆☆☆☆ 48.5% More 26.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino