Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Jayden Daniels 12.55% ★★★☆☆ 70.28% Less 46.5 Rushing Yards NFL WAS
Chase Brown 11.22% ★★★☆☆ 68.95% Less 65.5 Rushing Yards NFL CIN
Jaylen Warren 10.91% ★★½☆☆ 68.64% Less 3.5 Receptions NFL PIT
Cam Reddish 8.72% ★★½☆☆ 66.45% Less 6.5 Pts+Reb+Ast NBA LAL
Audric Estime 8.72% ★★½☆☆ 66.45% Less 33.5 Rushing Yards NFL DEN
Cam Reddish 8.21% ★★½☆☆ 65.95% Less 5.5 Pts+Reb NBA LAL
Caris LeVert 7.76% ★★½☆☆ 65.49% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA CLE
Evan Mobley 7.6% ★★½☆☆ 65.34% Less 9.5 Rebounds NBA CLE
Terry McLaurin 7.54% ★★½☆☆ 65.28% Less 61.5 Receiving Yards NFL WAS
Michael Carter 6.96% ★★☆☆☆ 64.69% Less 57.5 Rushing Yards NFL ARI
Jordan Hawkins 6.71% ★★☆☆☆ 64.45% Less 3.5 Reb+Ast NBA NOP
Jabari Smith Jr. 6.39% ★★☆☆☆ 64.12% More 0.5 blocks NBA HOU
Joshua Karty 6.31% ★★☆☆☆ 64.04% Less 1.5 Field Goals Made NFL LAR
Jalen Duren 6.29% ★★☆☆☆ 64.03% Less 12.5 Reb+Ast NBA DET
Tyler Huntley 6.09% ★★☆☆☆ 63.82% More 27.5 Passing Attempts NFL MIA
Caleb Williams 5.94% ★★☆☆☆ 63.67% More 31.5 Passing Attempts NFL CHI
CJ McCollum 5.6% ★★☆☆☆ 63.33% More 2.5 Threes NBA NOP
Pat Freiermuth 5.46% ★★☆☆☆ 63.20% Less 3.5 Receptions NFL PIT
Cam Reddish 5.34% ★★☆☆☆ 63.07% Less 3.5 Points NBA LAL
Jalen Duren 5.31% ★★☆☆☆ 63.04% Less 10.5 Rebounds NBA DET
Julian Strawther 4.91% ★★☆☆☆ 62.64% Less 0.5 steals NBA DEN
Jakob Poeltl 4.84% ★★☆☆☆ 62.57% More 13.5 Pts+Ast NBA TOR
Cam Reddish 4.59% ★★☆☆☆ 62.32% Less 4.5 Pts+Ast NBA LAL
Herbert Jones 4.52% ★★☆☆☆ 62.25% More 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast NBA NOP
Malik Monk 4.26% ★★☆☆☆ 61.99% More 0.5 blocks NBA SAC
Austin Reaves 4.2% ★★☆☆☆ 61.94% More 18.5 Points NBA LAL
Jakob Poeltl 4.15% ★★☆☆☆ 61.89% More 21.5 Pts+Reb NBA TOR
Amon-Ra St. Brown 4.03% ★★☆☆☆ 61.77% More 6.5 Receptions NFL DET
Julian Strawther 3.94% ★½☆☆☆ 61.67% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA DEN
Georges Niang 3.92% ★½☆☆☆ 61.66% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA CLE
Herbert Jones 3.67% ★½☆☆☆ 61.41% More 10.5 Points NBA NOP
DeAndre Jordan 3.66% ★½☆☆☆ 61.39% Less 3.5 Points NBA DEN
Jaylen Warren 3.52% ★½☆☆☆ 61.25% Less 39.5 Rushing Yards NFL PIT
Justin Tucker 3.49% ★½☆☆☆ 61.23% Less 8.5 Kicking Points NFL BAL
Jayden Daniels 3.47% ★½☆☆☆ 61.21% Less 267.5 Pass + Rush Yards NFL WAS
Georges Niang 3.35% ★½☆☆☆ 61.09% Less 10.5 Pts+Reb NBA CLE
Austin Reaves 3.34% ★½☆☆☆ 61.07% More 23.5 Pts+Reb NBA LAL
Donovan Mitchell 3.31% ★½☆☆☆ 61.05% Less 9.5 Reb+Ast NBA CLE
Tyler Allgeier 3.31% ★½☆☆☆ 61.04% Less 35.5 Rushing Yards NFL ATL
Caris LeVert 3.24% ★½☆☆☆ 60.98% Less 12.5 Pts+Reb NBA CLE
Alexander Mattison 3.1% ★½☆☆☆ 60.83% More 41.5 Rushing Yards NFL LVR
Keon Ellis 3.07% ★½☆☆☆ 60.80% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA SAC
De'Aaron Fox 3.05% ★½☆☆☆ 60.78% Less 11.5 Reb+Ast NBA SAC
Bucky Irving 3.01% ★½☆☆☆ 60.74% Less 90.5 Rushing Yards NFL TBB
Bo Nix 2.94% ★½☆☆☆ 60.68% More 30.5 Passing Attempts NFL DEN
Jonathan Taylor 2.9% ★½☆☆☆ 60.63% More 83.5 Rushing Yards NFL IND
Georges Niang 2.81% ★½☆☆☆ 60.54% Less 11.5 Pts+Reb+Ast NBA CLE
Najee Harris 2.56% ★½☆☆☆ 60.29% Less 45.5 Rushing Yards NFL PIT
Joshua Karty 2.56% ★½☆☆☆ 60.29% Less 5.5 Kicking Points NFL LAR
Jarrett Allen 2.51% ★½☆☆☆ 60.25% Less 12.5 Reb+Ast NBA CLE
Julian Strawther 2.5% ★½☆☆☆ 60.23% Less 8.5 Points NBA DEN
Jahmyr Gibbs 2.43% ★½☆☆☆ 60.16% Less 18.5 Rushing Attempts NFL DET
Jarrett Allen 2.36% ★½☆☆☆ 60.09% Less 0.5 blocks NBA CLE
Georges Niang 2.33% ★½☆☆☆ 60.07% Less 4.5 Reb+Ast NBA CLE
Joe Burrow 2.31% ★½☆☆☆ 60.04% More 2.5 Rushing Attempts NFL CIN
Rui Hachimura 2.29% ★½☆☆☆ 60.02% Less 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast NBA LAL
Jordan Hawkins 2.21% ★½☆☆☆ 59.95% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA NOP
Jaylen Warren 2.18% ★½☆☆☆ 59.91% Less 9.5 Rushing Attempts NFL PIT
Kyler Murray 2.12% ★½☆☆☆ 59.85% More 31.5 Rushing Yards NFL ARI
Rachaad White 2.11% ★½☆☆☆ 59.84% Less 28.5 Rushing Yards NFL TBB
Victor Wembanyama 2.02% ★½☆☆☆ 59.75% More 4.5 Blk+Stl NBA SAS
De'Aaron Fox 1.92% ★½☆☆☆ 59.65% Less 6.5 Assists NBA SAC
Tyler Huntley 1.92% ★½☆☆☆ 59.66% More 17.5 Passing Completions NFL MIA
Najee Harris 1.87% ★½☆☆☆ 59.60% Less 11.5 Rushing Attempts NFL PIT
Bruce Brown 1.79% ★½☆☆☆ 59.52% Less 4.5 Reb+Ast NBA TOR
LeBron James 1.77% ★½☆☆☆ 59.50% More 22.5 Points NBA LAL
George Pickens 1.76% ★½☆☆☆ 59.49% Less 66.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Matt Gay 1.73% ★½☆☆☆ 59.47% Less 7.5 Kicking Points NFL IND
Julian Strawther 1.72% ★½☆☆☆ 59.45% Less 10.5 Pts+Reb NBA DEN
Brock Bowers 1.7% ★½☆☆☆ 59.44% Less 7.5 Receptions NFL LVR
Caleb Williams 1.67% ★½☆☆☆ 59.40% More 20.5 Passing Completions NFL CHI
Jarrett Allen 1.62% ★½☆☆☆ 59.35% Less 25.5 Pts+Reb NBA CLE
Jordan Love 1.52% ★½☆☆☆ 59.26% More 217.5 Passing Yards NFL GBP
Joe Burrow 1.52% ★½☆☆☆ 59.26% More 25.5 Passing Completions NFL CIN
Rui Hachimura 1.43% ★½☆☆☆ 59.17% Less 12.5 Points NBA LAL
Jabari Smith Jr. 1.32% ★½☆☆☆ 59.06% Less 18.5 Pts+Reb NBA HOU
Fred VanVleet 1.32% ★½☆☆☆ 59.05% More 1.5 Blk+Stl NBA HOU
Sam Darnold 1.3% ★½☆☆☆ 59.04% More 34.5 Passing Attempts NFL MIN
Scottie Barnes 1.23% ★½☆☆☆ 58.96% Less 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast NBA TOR
Immanuel Quickley 1.21% ★½☆☆☆ 58.95% Less 10.5 Reb+Ast NBA TOR
Austin Reaves 1.2% ★½☆☆☆ 58.93% More 26.5 Pts+Ast NBA LAL
De'Aaron Fox 1.18% ★½☆☆☆ 58.91% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA SAC
Jaylen Warren 1.12% ★½☆☆☆ 58.85% Less 20.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Immanuel Quickley 1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 58.83% More 22.5 Pts+Reb NBA TOR
Geno Smith 1.08% ★½☆☆☆ 58.82% More 31.5 Passing Attempts NFL SEA
Anthony Davis 1.06% ★½☆☆☆ 58.79% Less 16.5 Reb+Ast NBA LAL
Drew Lock 1.06% ★½☆☆☆ 58.80% More 0.5 Interceptions NFL NYG
Herbert Jones 1.02% ★½☆☆☆ 58.75% More 14.5 Pts+Ast NBA NOP
Brandon McManus 1.01% ★½☆☆☆ 58.74% Less 7.5 Kicking Points NFL GBP
Geno Smith 0.99% ★½☆☆☆ 58.72% More 2.5 Rushing Attempts NFL SEA
Zach Charbonnet 0.95% ★½☆☆☆ 58.69% Less 57.5 Rushing Yards NFL SEA
Cam Little 0.93% ★½☆☆☆ 58.67% Less 6.5 Kicking Points NFL JAC
Jahmyr Gibbs 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 58.63% Less 4.5 Receptions NFL DET
Garrett Wilson 0.86% ★½☆☆☆ 58.60% More 4.5 Receptions NFL NYJ
Sam Darnold 0.81% ★½☆☆☆ 58.55% More 3.5 Rushing Attempts NFL MIN
Brandon Aubrey 0.69% ★½☆☆☆ 58.42% Less 7.5 Kicking Points NFL DAL
Aaron Rodgers 0.57% ★½☆☆☆ 58.30% More 20.5 Passing Completions NFL NYJ
Cam Little 0.56% ★½☆☆☆ 58.29% Less 1.5 Field Goals Made NFL JAC
Bo Nix 0.54% ★½☆☆☆ 58.27% More 5.5 Rushing Attempts NFL DEN
Elijah Moore 0.34% ★☆☆☆☆ 58.07% More 23.5 Receiving Yards NFL CLE

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers.

Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino