Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Garrison Mathews 8.8% ★★★½☆ 66.6% More 11.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA ATL
Garrison Mathews 8.5% ★★★½☆ 66.2% More 1.5 Threes NBA ATL
Garrison Mathews 8.4% ★★★½☆ 66.2% More 10.5 Points & Rebounds NBA ATL
Miles Bridges 7.3% ★★★☆☆ 53.7% Less 23.5 Points NBA CHA
Taurean Prince 7.1% ★★★☆☆ 53.7% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA MIL
Royce O'Neale 6.9% ★★★☆☆ 53.7% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA PHO
Jaylin Williams 6.7% ★★★☆☆ 64.5% Less 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Kenrich Williams 6.5% ★★★☆☆ 64.2% Less 8.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Bilal Coulibaly 6.3% ★★★☆☆ 53.7% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA WAS
Onyeka Okongwu 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 63.7% Less 12.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Ty Jerome 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 63.6% Less 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CLE
Mattias Ekholm 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 63.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL EDM
Brook Lopez 5.3% ★★½☆☆ 53.7% Less 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Brook Lopez 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 53.7% Less 17.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Jaylin Williams 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 62.9% Less 10.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Scottie Barnes 5.1% ★★½☆☆ 62.8% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA TOR
Kenrich Williams 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 62.7% Less 7.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Jaylin Williams 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 62.5% Less 12.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Bilal Coulibaly 4.5% ★★½☆☆ 53.7% More 13.5 Points NBA WAS
Damian Lillard 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 53.7% Less 4.5 Rebounds NBA MIL
Bilal Coulibaly 4.2% ★★½☆☆ 53.7% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA WAS
Luguentz Dort 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 61.7% Less 5.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
De'Aaron Fox 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 61.6% Less 12.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA SAS
Patrick Mahomes 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 61.4% More 23.5 Passing Completions NFL KCC
Evan Mobley 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 61.3% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CLE
Kenrich Williams 3.5% ★★½☆☆ 61.3% Less 5.5 Points & Assists NBA OKC
Erik Karlsson 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 61.1% Less 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Ausar Thompson 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 10.5 Points NBA DET
Luguentz Dort 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 61.0% Less 14.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Kyle Connor 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 61.0% More 2.5 Shots NHL WPG
Tobias Harris 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 6.5 Rebounds NBA DET
Jordan Poole 3.2% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA WAS
Casey Cizikas 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 60.9% Less 1.5 Shots NHL NYI
Ryan O'Reilly 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 60.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL NSH
Giannis Antetokounmpo 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 18.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Trae Young 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 60.6% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Royce O'Neale 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 14.5 Points & Rebounds NBA PHO
Jalen Williams 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 60.6% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Cameron Johnson 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 60.6% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA BKN
Jalen Duren 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% More 11.5 Points NBA DET
Corey Kispert 2.7% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA WAS
Trae Young 2.7% ★★☆☆☆ 60.5% Less 3.5 Rebounds NBA ATL
Onyeka Okongwu 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 60.3% Less 24.5 Points & Rebounds NBA ATL
Corey Kispert 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 16.5 Points & Assists NBA WAS
Logan Stankoven 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 60.2% More 1.5 Shots NHL DAL
Kevin Durant 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA PHO
Corey Kispert 2.3% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA WAS
De'Aaron Fox 2.3% ★★☆☆☆ 60.0% Less 7.5 Assists NBA SAS
Alex Caruso 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 60.0% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
Dyson Daniels 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 59.9% Less 2.5 Steals NBA ATL
Jalen Hurts 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 59.9% Less 9.5 Rushing Attempts NFL PHI
Kareem Hunt 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 59.7% Less 11.5 Rushing Attempts NFL KCC
Harrison Barnes 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 59.6% Less 0.5 Steals NBA SAS
Chris Paul 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 59.6% More 0.5 Steals NBA SAS
Onyeka Okongwu 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 59.6% Less 9.5 Rebounds NBA ATL
Damian Lillard 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 12.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Giannis Antetokounmpo 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 12.5 Rebounds NBA MIL
Brook Lopez 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Royce O'Neale 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 9.5 Points NBA PHO
Reilly Smith 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 59.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYR
Isiah Pacheco 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 59.3% Less 23.5 Rushing Yards NFL KCC
Anthony Beauvillier 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 59.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL PIT
Chris Kreider 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 59.1% Less 2.5 Shots NHL NYR
Kareem Hunt 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 59.1% Less 42.5 Rushing Yards NFL KCC
Gabriel Vilardi 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 59.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL WPG
Connor Bedard 1.2% ★★☆☆☆ 58.9% Less 0.5 Assists NHL CHI
Vladislav Namestnikov 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 58.7% Less 0.5 Points NHL WPG
Reilly Smith 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 58.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Chris Kreider 0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 58.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL NYR
Isiah Pacheco 0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 58.3% Less 5.5 Rushing Attempts NFL KCC
Adam Fox 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 58.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Jake Elliott 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 58.0% Less 1.5 Field Goals Made NFL PHI
Mason Marchment 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 57.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL DAL
Mattias Ekholm 0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 57.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL EDM
Mark Scheifele -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 57.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL WPG
Saquon Barkley -0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 57.3% Less 109.5 Rushing Yards NFL PHI
Anders Lee -0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYI
Martin Necas -0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL COL
Harrison Butker -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 7.5 Kicking Points NFL KCC
Alex Laferriere -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 56.8% Less 0.5 Points NHL LAK
Jalen Hurts -1.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 56.5% More 27.5 Passing Attempts NFL PHI
Kyle Connor -1.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 56.1% Less 0.5 Assists NHL WPG
Jason Robertson -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 2.5 Shots NHL DAL
Zach Hyman -1.9% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.9% More 2.5 Shots NHL EDM
Kyle Palmieri -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.6% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYI
Xavier Worthy -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.6% More 5.5 Receptions NFL KCC
J.T. Miller -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NYR
Jake Elliott -2.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.5% Less 6.5 Kicking Points NFL PHI
Tyler Bertuzzi -2.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL CHI
Harrison Butker -2.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 1.5 Field Goals Made NFL KCC
Thomas Harley -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL DAL
Josh Morrissey -2.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.1% Less 0.5 Assists NHL WPG
Patrick Mahomes -2.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 55.0% More 36.5 Passing Attempts NFL KCC
Ryan O'Reilly -3.0% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.7% More 0.5 Points NHL NSH
Erik Karlsson -3.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL PIT
Mikael Granlund -3.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL DAL
Adrian Kempe -3.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.5% More 2.5 Shots NHL LAK
Will Cuylle -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Kevin Fiala -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.4% More 0.5 Points NHL LAK
Leon Draisaitl -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.4% Less 1.5 Points NHL EDM
Adrian Kempe -3.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 54.4% More 0.5 Points NHL LAK
Gabriel Vilardi -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.3% More 0.5 Points NHL WPG
Xavier Worthy -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.2% Less 57.5 Receiving Yards NFL KCC
Brock Nelson -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYI
Jalen Hurts -3.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.0% More 18.5 Passing Completions NFL PHI
Cody Glass -3.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL PIT
Xavier Worthy -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 54.0% More 1.5 Rushing Attempts NFL KCC
Tyler Bertuzzi -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
Saquon Barkley -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.8% Less 21.5 Rushing Attempts NFL PHI
Ryan Donato -4.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 0.5 Points NHL CHI
Roman Josi -4.1% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.6% More 0.5 Assists NHL NSH
Patrick Mahomes -4.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.3% More 1.5 Passing TDs NFL KCC
Chris Kreider -4.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYR
Nathan MacKinnon -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.2% More 3.5 Shots NHL COL
Evan Bouchard -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.2% More 0.5 Assists NHL EDM
Jonathan Drouin -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL COL
Gustav Nyquist -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 53.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL NSH
Quinton Byfield -4.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 52.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL LAK
Filip Forsberg -4.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 52.8% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NSH
JuJu Smith-Schuster -5.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 52.7% Less 16.5 Receiving Yards NFL KCC
Dallas Goedert -5.3% ½☆☆☆☆ 52.4% More 4.5 Receptions NFL PHI
Marquise Brown -5.9% ☆☆☆☆☆ 51.8% More 3.5 Receptions NFL KCC
DeVonta Smith -6.0% ☆☆☆☆☆ 51.7% More 4.5 Receptions NFL PHI
Marquise Brown -6.1% ☆☆☆☆☆ 51.6% Less 41.5 Receiving Yards NFL KCC
Travis Kelce -6.4% ☆☆☆☆☆ 51.3% More 62.5 Receiving Yards NFL KCC
DeVonta Smith -6.6% ☆☆☆☆☆ 51.1% Less 51.5 Receiving Yards NFL PHI
A.J. Brown -6.9% ☆☆☆☆☆ 50.9% More 71.5 Receiving Yards NFL PHI
A.J. Brown -7.0% ☆☆☆☆☆ 50.7% Less 5.5 Receptions NFL PHI
Dallas Goedert -7.1% ☆☆☆☆☆ 50.6% Less 52.5 Receiving Yards NFL PHI

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers.

Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino