Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Daniel Gafford 7.1% ★★★☆☆ 61.5% More 7.5 Rebounds NBA DAL
Brandin Podziemski 6.3% ★★★☆☆ 60.6% More 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA GSW
Alex Caruso 6.1% ★★★☆☆ 60.5% Less 5.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
LeBron James 5.8% ★★★☆☆ 60.2% More 28.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAL
TreVeyon Henderson 5.7% ★★½☆☆ 60.0% Less 19.5 Rushing Yards NFL NEP
P.J. Washington 5.1% ★★½☆☆ 59.5% Less 12.5 Points NBA DAL
Isaiah Hartenstein 4.2% ★★½☆☆ 58.5% Less 22.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
De'Anthony Melton 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 58.3% More 15.5 Points NBA GSW
Isaiah Joe 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 58.3% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
Klay Thompson 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 9.5 Points NBA DAL
Drake Maye 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% More 19.5 Completions NFL NEP
Isaiah Hartenstein 3.5% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% Less 8.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
Chet Holmgren 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
De'Anthony Melton 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% More 21.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA GSW
Rui Hachimura 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% Less 17.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Chet Holmgren 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% Less 8.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
LeBron James 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% More 23.5 Points NBA LAL
Jaylin Williams 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% More 14.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Max Christie 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 20.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA DAL
Jaylin Williams 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% More 11.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Michael Porter Jr. 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA BKN
Ivan Barbashev 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Jarred Vanderbilt 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% More 5.5 Rebounds NBA LAL
Naji Marshall 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% More 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA DAL
Al Horford 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% More 1.5 Threes NBA GSW
Keyonte George 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% Less 21.5 Points NBA UTA
Brandin Podziemski 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% More 16.5 Points & Rebounds NBA GSW
Desmond Bane 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ORL
Jaylin Williams 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% More 6.5 Points NBA OKC
Michael Porter Jr. 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% Less 7.5 Rebounds NBA BKN
Alex Caruso 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% Less 2.5 Rebounds NBA OKC
Brandin Podziemski 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 20.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA GSW
Deandre Ayton 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 8.5 Rebounds NBA LAL
De'Anthony Melton 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 18.5 Points & Assists NBA GSW
Deandre Ayton 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 56.2% More 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Cason Wallace 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.1% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Alex Caruso 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 12.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Aaron Wiggins 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA OKC
Isaiah Hartenstein 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% Less 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Deandre Ayton 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% Less 11.5 Points NBA LAL
Chet Holmgren 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% Less 28.5 Points & Rebounds NBA OKC
Keyonte George 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 27.5 Points & Assists NBA UTA
Rashid Shaheed 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% Less 23.5 Receiving Yards NFL SEA
Jason Myers 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 8.5 Kicking Points NFL SEA
Ivan Barbashev 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Kevin Fiala 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% More 0.5 Points NHL LAK
Sam Darnold -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% Less 6.5 Rushing Yards NFL SEA
Trevor Moore -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL LAK
Quinton Byfield -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL LAK
Drake Maye -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.6% More 6.5 Rushing Attempts NFL NEP
George Holani -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% Less 10.5 Rushing Yards NFL SEA
Hunter Henry -1.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.9% Less 40.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Rhamondre Stevenson -1.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.7% Less 51.5 Rushing Yards NFL NEP
Rhamondre Stevenson -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 24.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Noah Hanifin -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Mack Hollins -2.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.5% More 28.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Shea Theodore -3.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.9% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Rhamondre Stevenson -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.8% Less 13.5 Rushing Attempts NFL NEP
Adrian Kempe -3.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% More 2.5 Shots NHL LAK
Mitch Marner -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% Less 0.5 Assists NHL VGK
Pavel Dorofeyev -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.5% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Corey Perry -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.5% Less 1.5 Shots NHL LAK
Pavel Dorofeyev -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.4% More 2.5 Shots NHL VGK
Drake Maye -4.2% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.2% Less 262.5 Passing + Rushing Yards NFL NEP
Stefon Diggs -4.3% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.0% More 46.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Austin Hooper -4.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.6% Less 8.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Kayshon Boutte -4.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.5% Less 32.5 Receiving Yards NFL NEP
Cooper Kupp -5.1% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.2% Less 34.5 Receiving Yards NFL SEA
AJ Barner -5.1% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.2% Less 25.5 Receiving Yards NFL SEA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba -5.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 48.8% More 94.5 Receiving Yards NFL SEA

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino