Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 16.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Paul Reed 7.1% ★★★☆☆ 61.4% Less 8.5 Rebounds NBA DET
Ryan Donato 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
Kyle Kuzma 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 58.2% Less 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Lamar Jackson 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% Less 33.5 Rushing Yards NFL BAL
Kyle Kuzma 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 11.5 Points NBA MIL
Myles Turner 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Keegan Murray 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% Less 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA SAC
Kevin Porter Jr. 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% Less 22.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Bobby Portis 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.1% Less 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Ausar Thompson 2.7% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% More 11.5 Points NBA DET
Deandre Ayton 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Giannis Antetokounmpo 2.3% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% Less 5.5 Assists NBA MIL
Duncan Robinson 2.3% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% Less 16.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA DET
LeBron James 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 12.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAL
Cade Cunningham 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.4% Less 38.5 Points & Assists NBA DET
Jarred Vanderbilt 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 56.1% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA LAL
Aaron Rodgers 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 0.5 Rushing Yards NFL PIT
Kevin Porter Jr. 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% Less 29.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Zach LaVine 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% Less 19.5 Points & Assists NBA SAC
Isaiah Stewart 1.2% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% More 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA DET
DeAndre Hopkins 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 21.5 Receiving Yards NFL BAL
Jack Hughes 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NJD
Rasheen Ali 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% More 8.5 Receiving Yards NFL BAL
Bobby Portis 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 20.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Deandre Ayton 0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 54.8% Less 23.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Jonnu Smith 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 15.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Lamar Jackson -0.0% ★½☆☆☆ 54.3% Less 5.5 Rushing Attempts NFL BAL
Jaxson Hayes -0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% More 5.5 Points NBA LAL
Russell Westbrook -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.1% More 13.5 Points NBA SAC
Marcus Smart -0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 53.7% Less 14.5 Points & Assists NBA LAL
Deandre Ayton -0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 53.6% Less 22.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAL
Tyler Bertuzzi -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.6% More 0.5 Points NHL CHI
Timo Meier -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% Less 0.5 Points NHL NJD
Jake LaRavia -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA LAL
Marcus Smart -0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% Less 17.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA LAL
Ivan Barbashev -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Noah Hanifin -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Precious Achiuwa -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.3% Less 11.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA SAC
Dawson Mercer -1.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL NJD
Shayne Gostisbehere -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Tyler Loop -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.6% Less 7.5 Kicking Points NFL BAL
Jaylen Warren -1.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.5% More 47.5 Rushing Yards NFL PIT
Scotty Miller -2.0% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.4% Less 12.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Adam Thielen -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 19.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Ilya Mikheyev -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
Marquez Valdes-Scantling -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 27.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Keaton Mitchell -2.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.5% Less 20.5 Rushing Yards NFL BAL
Luke Hughes -2.9% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.4% Less 0.5 Points NHL NJD
Zay Flowers -3.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.2% Less 64.5 Receiving Yards NFL BAL
Jackson Blake -3.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.0% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Andrei Svechnikov -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.9% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CAR
Timo Meier -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.8% Less 2.5 Shots NHL NJD
Ivan Barbashev -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Taylor Hall -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.8% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Keaton Mitchell -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.4% Less 4.5 Rushing Attempts NFL BAL
Kenneth Gainwell -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.4% Less 31.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT
Derrick Henry -4.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.8% Less 91.5 Rushing Yards NFL BAL
Isaiah Likely -4.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.8% More 23.5 Receiving Yards NFL BAL
Mark Andrews -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.7% More 29.5 Receiving Yards NFL BAL
Tyler Loop -5.2% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.1% Less 1.5 Field Goals Made NFL BAL
Derrick Henry -5.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 48.9% More 19.5 Rushing Attempts NFL BAL
Pat Freiermuth -5.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 48.7% More 33.5 Receiving Yards NFL PIT

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino