Best Splash Picks Today

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How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Andrew Wiggins 12.3% ★★★★☆ 66.6% Less 20.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIA
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 11.8% ★★★★☆ 66.1% Less 19.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MEM
Jarace Walker 11.5% ★★★★☆ 65.8% Less 28.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA IND
Luka Garza 10.9% ★★★★☆ 65.2% More 25.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA BOS
Cade Cunningham 8.5% ★★★½☆ 62.8% More 21.5 Points & Rebounds NBA DET
AJ Green 8.1% ★★★☆☆ 62.4% Less 20.5 Points & Assists NBA MIL
AJ Green 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 24.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Micah Potter 7.8% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 21.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA IND
Collin Sexton 7.2% ★★★☆☆ 61.6% Less 30.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CHI
Ousmane Dieng 6.5% ★★★☆☆ 60.8% Less 12.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Aaron Wiggins 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.8% More 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA OKC
Wendell Carter Jr. 5.4% ★★½☆☆ 59.7% Less 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA ORL
Dylan Strome 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 59.5% More 0.5 Points NHL WSH
Jrue Holiday 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% More 15.5 Points NBA POR
Jake Sanderson 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% Less 0.5 Assists NHL OTT
Davion Mitchell 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIA
Charlie Coyle 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL CBJ
Tyler Herro 4.5% ★★½☆☆ 58.8% Less 31.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIA
Ousmane Dieng 4.2% ★★½☆☆ 58.5% More 24.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Jackson LaCombe 4.1% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% Less 0.5 Assists NHL ANA
LaMelo Ball 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 58.2% More 25.5 Points & Rebounds NBA CHA
Wendell Carter Jr. 3.8% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% Less 11.5 Points NBA ORL
Jordan Poole 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% Less 22.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NOP
Kelly Oubre Jr. 3.5% ★★½☆☆ 57.9% Less 14.5 Points NBA PHI
Viktor Arvidsson 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL BOS
Drake Batherson 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.6% More 0.5 Points NHL OTT
Thomas Chabot 3.2% ★★☆☆☆ 57.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL OTT
Tony DeAngelo 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYI
Alex Killorn 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Simon Nemec 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 1.5 Shots NHL NJD
Ilya Protas 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% Less 0.5 Points NHL WSH
Kenrich Williams 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% More 1.5 Threes NBA OKC
Charlie McAvoy 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL BOS
Connor Brown 2.1% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL NJD
Jrue Holiday 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 56.2% More 20.5 Points & Rebounds NBA POR
LaMelo Ball 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% More 21.5 Points NBA CHA
Paul George 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% More 18.5 Points NBA PHI
Adam Fantilli 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% More 2.5 Shots NHL CBJ
Jrue Holiday 1.2% ★½☆☆☆ 55.5% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA POR
Ausar Thompson 1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 55.4% More 15.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA DET
Morgan Frost 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Troy Terry 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 0.5 Assists NHL ANA
Blake Coleman 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CGY
Mathew Barzal 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 2.5 Shots NHL NYI
Connor Brown 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL NJD
Mason McTavish 0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Matt Coronato 0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CGY
JJ Peterka 0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL UTA
Conor Garland 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL CBJ
Yegor Sharangovich 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.8% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Jack Hughes 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 3.5 Shots NHL NJD
Kirill Marchenko 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 2.5 Shots NHL CBJ
Charlie Coyle 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.5% More 0.5 Points NHL CBJ
Anthony Beauvillier 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL WSH
Filip Hronek 0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 54.4% More 1.5 Shots NHL VAN
Mason Marchment -0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 53.9% More 0.5 Points NHL CBJ
Mikhail Sergachev -0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL UTA
Dylan Cozens -1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 53.3% More 0.5 Points NHL OTT
Jesper Bratt -1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 53.3% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NJD
Jackson LaCombe -1.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.2% More 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Chris Kreider -1.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.2% More 0.5 Points NHL ANA
Jake Sanderson -1.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.2% More 0.5 Points NHL OTT
Matt Coronato -1.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.9% Less 0.5 Points NHL CGY
Brock Boeser -1.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.8% Less 0.5 Points NHL VAN
Morgan Geekie -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.7% More 0.5 Points NHL BOS
Lane Hutson -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MTL

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino