Best Splash Picks Today

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How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Jalen Brunson 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.5% Less 10.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Dean Wade 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 9.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CLE
Nikolaj Ehlers 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Donovan Mitchell 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 31.5 Points & Assists NBA CLE
Dean Wade 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 8.5 Points & Rebounds NBA CLE
Donovan Mitchell 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 27.5 Points NBA CLE
Dean Wade 0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 55.1% Less 3.5 Points NBA CLE
Josh Hart 0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 55.1% Less 17.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Lane Hutson 0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 55.0% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MTL
Donovan Mitchell 0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 35.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CLE
Jarrett Allen 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 12.5 Points NBA CLE
Jarrett Allen 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 13.5 Points & Assists NBA CLE
Cole Caufield 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 2.5 Shots NHL MTL
Jordan Staal 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Mitchell Robinson 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% More 4.5 Points NBA NYK
Nick Suzuki 0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MTL
Karl-Anthony Towns 0.1% ★½☆☆☆ 54.5% More 15.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Jarrett Allen -0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 53.9% Less 8.5 Rebounds NBA CLE
Ivan Demidov -0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 53.8% Less 0.5 Points NHL MTL
Jalen Chatfield -1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 53.2% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
OG Anunoby -1.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.0% More 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Karl-Anthony Towns -1.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.8% More 21.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Josh Hart -1.7% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.6% Less 12.5 Points NBA NYK
Mikal Bridges -1.9% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.4% More 5.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Max Strus -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% More 8.5 Points NBA CLE
Taylor Hall -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Noah Dobson -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 1.5 Shots NHL MTL
Jaccob Slavin -2.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.2% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Evan Mobley -2.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 8.5 Rebounds NBA CLE
Josh Hart -2.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 20.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Alex Newhook -2.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.8% Less 1.5 Shots NHL MTL
Evan Mobley -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.8% Less 16.5 Points NBA CLE
Karl-Anthony Towns -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 29.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Nikolaj Ehlers -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% More 2.5 Shots NHL CAR
Jackson Blake -2.9% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.4% More 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Sebastian Aho -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.1% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CAR
Mitchell Robinson -3.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.0% More 10.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Max Strus -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.9% More 13.5 Points & Rebounds NBA CLE
Logan Stankoven -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.7% More 2.5 Shots NHL CAR
Logan Stankoven -3.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% More 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Jalen Brunson -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% Less 34.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Miles McBride -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.5% Less 5.5 Points NBA NYK
James Harden -4.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.4% Less 29.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CLE
Evan Mobley -4.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.4% Less 24.5 Points & Rebounds NBA CLE
Max Strus -4.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.9% More 15.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CLE
James Harden -4.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.8% Less 24.5 Points & Assists NBA CLE
OG Anunoby -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.8% More 20.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Mikal Bridges -4.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.7% Less 13.5 Points NBA NYK
James Harden -4.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.7% Less 18.5 Points NBA CLE
Jalen Brunson -4.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.6% More 30.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
OG Anunoby -5.0% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.3% More 16.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Mikal Bridges -5.2% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.1% More 15.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Mitchell Robinson -5.9% ☆☆☆☆☆ 48.4% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA NYK

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino