Best Splash Picks Today

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How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Austin Reaves 75.6% ★★★★★ 75.6% More 29.0 Fantasy Points NBA LAL
Brandon Miller 75.1% ★★★★★ 75.1% More 28.5 Fantasy Points NBA CHA
Jalen Suggs 74.3% ★★★★★ 74.3% More 29.0 Fantasy Points NBA ORL
Bilal Coulibaly 74.2% ★★★★★ 74.2% More 19.5 Fantasy Points NBA WAS
Christian Braun 74.0% ★★★★★ 74.0% More 19.0 Fantasy Points NBA DEN
Derrick White 73.7% ★★★★★ 73.7% More 30.0 Fantasy Points NBA BOS
LeBron James 73.0% ★★★★★ 73.0% More 33.5 Fantasy Points NBA LAL
Onyeka Okongwu 73.0% ★★★★★ 73.0% More 28.0 Fantasy Points NBA ATL
Jevon Carter 72.9% ★★★★★ 72.9% More 12.0 Fantasy Points NBA ORL
Sam Hauser 72.4% ★★★★★ 72.4% More 14.0 Fantasy Points NBA BOS
Aaron Gordon 71.9% ★★★★★ 71.9% More 22.5 Fantasy Points NBA DEN
CJ McCollum 71.7% ★★★★★ 71.7% More 24.5 Fantasy Points NBA ATL
Payton Pritchard 70.9% ★★★★★ 70.9% More 25.0 Fantasy Points NBA BOS
Luke Kennard 70.8% ★★★★★ 70.8% More 11.0 Fantasy Points NBA LAL
Miles Bridges 70.2% ★★★★★ 70.2% More 21.5 Fantasy Points NBA CHA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 69.9% ★★★★★ 69.9% More 26.0 Fantasy Points NBA ATL
Kawhi Leonard 66.9% ★★★★★ 66.9% More 40.5 Fantasy Points NBA LAC
LaMelo Ball 66.8% ★★★★★ 66.8% More 31.0 Fantasy Points NBA CHA
Coby White 65.4% ★★★★★ 65.4% More 15.0 Fantasy Points NBA CHA
Jayson Tatum 65.0% ★★★★★ 65.0% More 33.5 Fantasy Points NBA BOS
Trae Young 64.3% ★★★★★ 64.3% More 20.5 Fantasy Points NBA WAS
Jalen Johnson 64.2% ★★★★★ 64.2% More 43.5 Fantasy Points NBA ATL
Paolo Banchero 64.0% ★★★★★ 64.0% More 38.5 Fantasy Points NBA ORL
Victor Hedman 8.1% ★★★☆☆ 62.4% Less 1.5 Shots NHL TBL
Dylan Cozens 5.4% ★★½☆☆ 59.7% More 0.5 Points NHL OTT
Warren Foegele 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL OTT
Joel Farabee 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.6% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Adam Fox 4.1% ★★½☆☆ 58.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Erik Karlsson 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Justin Sourdif 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 1.5 Shots NHL WSH
Pavel Dorofeyev 3.5% ★★½☆☆ 57.9% More 2.5 Shots NHL VGK
Vince Dunn 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL SEA
Brandt Clarke 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL LAK
Barrett Hayton 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL UTA
Josh Norris 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% More 0.5 Points NHL BUF
Beckett Sennecke 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL ANA
Bryan Rust 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Gabriel Vilardi 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL WPG
Matthew Schaefer 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NYI
Logan Stankoven 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Tage Thompson 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% Less 0.5 Assists NHL BUF
Mason Marchment 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL CBJ
Matt Duchene 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% More 0.5 Points NHL DAL
Jackson LaCombe 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% Less 0.5 Assists NHL ANA
Trevor Zegras 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.5% More 0.5 Points NHL PHI
Victor Olofsson 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 56.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Matvei Gridin 1.8% ★★☆☆☆ 56.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Connor Brown 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% Less 0.5 Points NHL NJD
Nikita Kucherov 1.6% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% Less 1.5 Points NHL TBL
Dylan Strome 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% More 0.5 Points NHL WSH
Anthony Beauvillier 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% More 1.5 Shots NHL WSH
Easton Cowan 1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 55.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL TOR
Rasmus Andersson 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Josh Norris 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% More 1.5 Shots NHL BUF
Marco Kasper 0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 55.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL DET

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino