Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Mason McTavish 14.0% ★★★★½ 68.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL ANA
Justin Champagnie 10.4% ★★★★☆ 64.8% More 10.5 Points NBA WAS
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 9.5% ★★★½☆ 63.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL EDM
Oliver Bjorkstrand 9.1% ★★★½☆ 63.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL TBL
Frederick Gaudreau 8.2% ★★★½☆ 62.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL MIN
Jake Guentzel 7.8% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL TBL
Russell Westbrook 7.4% ★★★☆☆ 61.8% Less 4.5 Rebounds NBA DEN
Devin Booker 7.3% ★★★☆☆ 61.6% More 32.5 Points & Assists NBA PHO
Ivica Zubac 6.5% ★★★☆☆ 60.9% More 18.5 Points & Assists NBA LAC
Justin Champagnie 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.6% More 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA WAS
Devin Booker 5.8% ★★★☆☆ 60.2% More 26.5 Points NBA PHO
MacKenzie Weegar 5.8% ★★½☆☆ 60.1% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CGY
Mitch Marner 5.7% ★★½☆☆ 60.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL TOR
Tyson Foerster 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% Less 0.5 Points NHL PHI
Anthony Cirelli 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL TBL
Ivica Zubac 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.8% More 16.5 Points NBA LAC
William Eklund 5.3% ★★½☆☆ 59.6% More 1.5 Shots NHL SJS
Christian Braun 5.3% ★★½☆☆ 59.6% Less 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA DEN
Paolo Banchero 5.3% ★★½☆☆ 59.6% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ORL
Robert Thomas 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% More 0.5 Points NHL STL
Matthew Knies 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL TOR
Max Christie 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 8.5 Points NBA DAL
Klay Thompson 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% Less 12.5 Points NBA DAL
Evan Bouchard 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 0.5 Points NHL EDM
Jonathan Huberdeau 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 0.5 Points NHL CGY
Wendell Carter Jr. 4.5% ★★½☆☆ 58.9% Less 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA ORL
Russell Westbrook 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% Less 17.5 Points & Rebounds NBA DEN
Kawhi Leonard 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 24.5 Points & Assists NBA LAC
Jalen Pickett 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.6% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA DEN
Dereck Lively II 4.2% ★★½☆☆ 58.6% Less 10.5 Points & Rebounds NBA DAL
Jonathan Huberdeau 4.1% ★★½☆☆ 58.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Kawhi Leonard 4.0% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% More 27.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAC
Travis Sanheim 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 58.2% Less 1.5 Shots NHL PHI
Mika Zibanejad 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% More 0.5 Points NHL NYR
Evan Bouchard 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% Less 2.5 Shots NHL EDM
James Harden 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Jake Guentzel 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% More 2.5 Shots NHL TBL
Bradley Beal 3.1% ★★☆☆☆ 57.4% More 19.5 Points & Rebounds NBA PHO
J.T. Miller 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NYR
Norman Powell 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 18.5 Points NBA LAC
Wendell Carter Jr. 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.2% Less 19.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA ORL
Jared Spurgeon 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 0.5 Points NHL MIN
Anthony Davis 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 2.5 Turnovers NBA DAL
Marco Rossi 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL MIN
Macklin Celebrini 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% More 0.5 Points NHL SJS
Alexis Lafreniere 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Nikita Kucherov 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% Less 1.5 Points NHL TBL
William Nylander 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 0.5 Points NHL TOR
Aaron Gordon 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 19.5 Points & Rebounds NBA DEN
Aaron Gordon 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.2% Less 3.5 Assists NBA DEN
Franz Wagner 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.1% More 32.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA ORL
Bradley Beal 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% More 16.5 Points NBA PHO
Trevor Zegras 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% More 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Jalen Pickett 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% Less 11.5 Points & Assists NBA DEN
Franz Wagner 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.8% More 27.5 Points & Assists NBA ORL
Christian Braun 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% Less 5.5 Rebounds NBA DEN
Will Smith 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% Less 0.5 Points NHL SJS
Matt Boldy 1.2% ★½☆☆☆ 55.5% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MIN
Nick Paul 1.2% ★½☆☆☆ 55.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL TBL
Nazem Kadri 1.1% ★½☆☆☆ 55.5% Less 3.5 Shots NHL CGY
Wendell Carter Jr. 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% Less 7.5 Rebounds NBA ORL
Franz Wagner 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.3% More 23.5 Points NBA ORL

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino