Best Splash Picks Today

PrizePicks Sleeper Underdog DK Pick6

How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
Alex Ovechkin 13.8% ★★★★½ 68.1% More 0.5 Points NHL WSH
Vladislav Namestnikov 10.1% ★★★½☆ 64.4% Less 0.5 Points NHL WPG
Ivica Zubac 8.4% ★★★½☆ 62.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Ivica Zubac 8.4% ★★★½☆ 62.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Connor McDavid 8.1% ★★★☆☆ 62.4% More 2.5 Shots NHL EDM
Mark Williams 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.3% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CHA
Mark Williams 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.3% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CHA
Zack Bolduc 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL STL
Zack Bolduc 7.9% ★★★☆☆ 62.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL STL
D'Angelo Russell 7.5% ★★★☆☆ 61.9% Less 8.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA BKN
Mark Williams 7.5% ★★★☆☆ 61.8% Less 11.5 Rebounds NBA CHA
Josh Green 7.5% ★★★☆☆ 61.8% Less 14.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CHA
Josh Green 7.5% ★★★☆☆ 61.8% Less 14.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA CHA
Adam Fox 7.4% ★★★☆☆ 61.8% More 0.5 Points NHL NYR
Mika Zibanejad 6.9% ★★★☆☆ 61.3% Less 0.5 Assists NHL NYR
Brady Skjei 6.6% ★★★☆☆ 61.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL NSH
Kyle Connor 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.6% More 2.5 Shots NHL WPG
Jordan Eberle 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL SEA
Jordan Eberle 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL SEA
Jordan Eberle 6.2% ★★★☆☆ 60.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL SEA
Lane Hutson 6.0% ★★★☆☆ 60.4% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MTL
Alexis Lafreniere 6.0% ★★★☆☆ 60.4% More 1.5 Shots NHL NYR
Jason Robertson 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 60.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL DAL
Jason Robertson 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 60.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL DAL
Jason Robertson 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 60.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL DAL
Anders Lee 5.6% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% Less 2.5 Shots NHL NYI
Barrett Hayton 5.6% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% Less 0.5 Points NHL UTA
Barrett Hayton 5.6% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% Less 0.5 Points NHL UTA
Josh Green 5.6% ★★½☆☆ 59.9% Less 11.5 Points & Assists NBA CHA
LaMelo Ball 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.8% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CHA
LaMelo Ball 5.5% ★★½☆☆ 59.8% Less 13.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA CHA
Giannis Antetokounmpo 5.4% ★★½☆☆ 59.7% More 39.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Giannis Antetokounmpo 5.4% ★★½☆☆ 59.7% More 39.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Kawhi Leonard 5.1% ★★½☆☆ 59.4% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Kawhi Leonard 5.1% ★★½☆☆ 59.4% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Alex Killorn 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 59.4% Less 1.5 Shots NHL ANA
Kyle Connor 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% Less 0.5 Assists NHL WPG
Clayton Keller 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL UTA
Clayton Keller 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL UTA
Sidney Crosby 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Sidney Crosby 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Sidney Crosby 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Conor Garland 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL VAN
Conor Garland 4.8% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL VAN
Filip Forsberg 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.1% Less 3.5 Shots NHL NSH
Ilya Mikheyev 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
Ilya Mikheyev 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
Ilya Mikheyev 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 1.5 Shots NHL CHI
James Harden 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 22.5 Points NBA LAC
James Harden 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 22.5 Points NBA LAC
Pierre-Luc Dubois 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 0.5 Points NHL WSH
Damian Lillard 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 2.5 Turnovers NBA MIL
Damian Lillard 4.3% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 2.5 Turnovers NBA MIL
Frank Vatrano 4.1% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% Less 2.5 Shots NHL ANA
Michael Bunting 4.1% ★★½☆☆ 58.4% More 1.5 Shots NHL NSH
Ivica Zubac 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 58.2% More 15.5 Points NBA LAC
Gabriel Vilardi 3.8% ★★½☆☆ 58.1% More 1.5 Shots NHL WPG
Will Cuylle 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYR
Mark Scheifele 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 57.9% Less 0.5 Assists NHL WPG
Taurean Prince 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% Less 9.5 Points NBA MIL
Taurean Prince 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.8% Less 9.5 Points NBA MIL
Nick Suzuki 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% Less 0.5 Assists NHL MTL
Anders Lee 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% Less 0.5 Points NHL NYI
Logan Cooley 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL UTA
Logan Cooley 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL UTA
Brock Boeser 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL VAN
Brock Boeser 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL VAN
Morgan Frost 2.9% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL CGY
Bryan Rust 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.1% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Bryan Rust 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.1% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Bryan Rust 2.8% ★★☆☆☆ 57.1% More 2.5 Shots NHL PIT
Taurean Prince 2.7% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 11.5 Points & Assists NBA MIL
Ziaire Williams 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 57.0% Less 4.5 Rebounds NBA BKN
Norman Powell 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 16.5 Points NBA LAC
Norman Powell 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% Less 16.5 Points NBA LAC
Brock Boeser 2.6% ★★☆☆☆ 56.9% More 1.5 Shots NHL VAN
James Harden 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA LAC
Onyeka Okongwu 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 11.5 Rebounds NBA ATL
Onyeka Okongwu 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 11.5 Rebounds NBA ATL
Onyeka Okongwu 1.7% ★★☆☆☆ 56.0% Less 11.5 Rebounds NBA ATL
Giannis Antetokounmpo 1.5% ★★☆☆☆ 55.9% More 27.5 Points NBA MIL
Norman Powell 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% Less 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA LAC
Georges Niang 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Georges Niang 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Georges Niang 1.3% ★★☆☆☆ 55.6% Less 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Brook Lopez 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% More 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
Brook Lopez 0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 55.2% More 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA MIL
D'Angelo Russell 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% Less 5.5 Assists NBA BKN
Trae Young 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Trae Young 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
Trae Young 0.4% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% Less 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA ATL
LaMelo Ball 0.0% ★½☆☆☆ 54.3% More 27.5 Points NBA CHA
Ziaire Williams -0.0% ★½☆☆☆ 54.3% Less 16.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA BKN
Terance Mann -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% More 9.5 Points NBA ATL
Terance Mann -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% More 9.5 Points NBA ATL
Terance Mann -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% More 9.5 Points NBA ATL
AJ Green -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% Less 8.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
AJ Green -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.2% Less 8.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA MIL
Brook Lopez -0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.0% More 16.5 Points & Rebounds NBA MIL
Dyson Daniels -0.7% ★½☆☆☆ 53.6% More 5.5 Rebounds NBA ATL

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a leading expert in the industry and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers.Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino