Underdog Fantasy Picks Today

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How Our Underdog Fantasy Picks Work

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Our Underdog Fantasy picks are designed to help you quickly find an edge while playing Underdog Fantasy’s pick’em games. Our picks should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges based on today’s projections.

With this tool, you can find HIGHER or LOWER projections for every player on the Underdog Fantasy board, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you aren’t already signed up with Underdog, check out our Underdog promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Underdog picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (HIGHER or LOWER) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Underdog Fantasy picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Underdog picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on sites like Underdog Fantasy should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Underdog Fantasy picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as the picks model is activated for the day by our projections team. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Underdog picks cover?

We have Underdog Fantasy picks for NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, WNBA, PGA, CFB, CBB, UFL, Cricket, and LIV.

How do I access your Underdog Fantasy picks?

You can access all of our PrizePicks picks, plus more, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Underdog Fantasy Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Underdog Fantasy. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. They could also be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Underdog Fantasy as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win.

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Underdog Fantasy picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Underdog Fantasy picks model thinks the selected side (HIGHER or LOWER) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Underdog Fantasy. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

NAME SPORT TYPE PROJ PICK WINPCT EDGE
Reynaldo Lopez MLB Outs 17.5 Less 65.90% 8.17%
Ryan Feltner MLB Outs 15.5 Less 64.99% 7.26%
Patrick Corbin MLB Outs 16.5 Less 64.07% 6.33%
Matt Waldron MLB Outs 16.5 More 62.44% 4.70%
Sean Manaea MLB Outs 15.5 More 62.13% 4.40%
Brayan Bello MLB Hits Allowed 5.5 More 61.03% 3.30%
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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino