Underdog Fantasy Picks Today

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (HIGHER or LOWER) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Underdog Fantasy picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on sites like Underdog Fantasy should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as the picks model is activated for the day by our projections team. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

We have Underdog Fantasy picks for NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, WNBA, PGA, CFB, CBB, UFL, Cricket, and LIV.

You can access all of our Underdog picks, plus more, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package. For an example of how you might implement our expert insights, check out our NBA Underdog picks for today (12/2).

TYPE – The statistic or category being offered by Underdog Fantasy. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. They could also be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ – Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Underdog Fantasy as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win.

PICK – This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Underdog Fantasy picks model.

WINPCT – This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Underdog Fantasy picks model thinks the selected side (HIGHER or LOWER) will win.

EDGE – This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Underdog Fantasy. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE – A star rating system designed to compare today’s bets to the best quality of bets that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.