Sleeper Fantasy Picks Today

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How Our Sleeper Fantasy Picks Work

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Our Sleeper picks are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Sleeper app. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges based on today’s projections.

With this tool, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Sleeper Picks menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” If you don’t already have a Sleeper Fantasy account, check out our Sleeper promo code Find out more about the tool below below.

What factors do your Sleeper Fantasy picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Sleeper picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Sleeper picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on sites like Sleeper should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Sleeper Fantasy picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as the picks model is activated for the day by our projections team. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Sleeper Fantasy picks cover?

We have Sleeper picks for NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, CFB, and CBB.

How do I access your Sleeper picks?

You can access all of our Sleeper Fantasy picks, plus more, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Sleeper Fantasy Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Sleeper . These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Sleeper as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win.

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Sleeper picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Sleeper picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Sleeper . These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are mostly likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

NAME SPORT TYPE PROJ PICK WINPCT EDGE
Adael Amador MLB Batter Strikeouts 0.5 Less 49.15% 9.47%
Brayan Bello MLB Hits Allowed 5.5 More 63.51% 9.16%
Tanner Bibee MLB Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5 Less 58.84% 8.58%
Brandon Pfaadt MLB Hits Allowed 5.5 More 66.69% 7.52%
Taj Bradley MLB Hits Allowed 4.5 More 70.29% 7.40%
Garrett Crochet MLB Hits Allowed 4.5 More 63.38% 7.21%
NFL NBA NHL MLB CBB PGA

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino