Find Your Edge: Week 1 - Stacking for Success
Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.
Week 1
At RotoGrinders we’ve been collecting contest, slate and entry info for DraftKings contests from the past few years. Part of what I was brought on to do is help dig through this info to give our members the most actionable insights based on what actually has happened in the past.
This week I’m going to start by looking through ownership and scoring trends in Week 1 versus the rest of the season, and then answer one of the biggest questions in DFS tournament play: What have been the most successful stacks for tournament winners?
It’s difficult to compare various DFS tournaments to each other because of differences in size and slate. For this analysis, I’m looking at the main slate for each NFL Sunday from 2016 and 2017, then taking the top two DraftKings tournaments from that slate in terms of total entries and prize pool.
To scale the results and make it comparable, I’m going to look specifically at the top 0.1% from each tournament (not top-5, top-10, or top-100) and classify those as a winning group with performance that we want to replicate.
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