JMToWin's NFL Edge: Week 10

Each week this NFL season, JMToWin will break down every game on the NFL slate from top to bottom, with a look at game flow, player matchups, coaching tendencies, DFS strategy, and anything else that shows up in his research that might give you an edge on the slate. Widely regarded as the most in-depth, DFS-specific article in the industry, this top-to-bottom breakdown is just what you need in order to conquer the slate and take home money each week!

Week 10

Let’s turn the page!

Ten out of 14 games this week have an Over/Under of 44.0 or lower. Only one game has a Total above 46.5 (that game being Dallas at Atlanta – which is currently pegged at 50.5). This should lead to a lot of lower scores this week (absent a chalk player or two going nuts), and will create a nice edge for those of us who are paying closer attention to the “little things” than our competition.

Enough talk. Let’s get to it!

Jets at Buccaneers

Vegas-Implied Total: Jets 22.75, Buccaneers 20.25

KEY MATCHUPS:

Buccaneers Run D – 22nd DVOA / 16th Yards allowed per carry
Jets Run O – 19th DVOA / 15th Yards per carry

Buccaneers Pass D – 31st DVOA / 29th Yards allowed per pass attempt
Jets Pass O – 24th DVOA / 13th Yards per pass attempt

Jets Run D – 18th DVOA / 21st Yards allowed per carry
Buccaneers Run O – 24th DVOA / 25th Yards per carry

Jets Pass D – 21st DVOA / 19th Yards allowed per pass attempt
Buccaneers Pass O – 15th DVOA / 11th Yards per pass attempt

Unlock the complete breakdown of EVERY matchup this week with a free 7-Day Trial!

  • To read this full article for this week’s NFL games, you need to have a subscription to RotoGrinders Premium, our advanced content package.
  • A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, LineupHQ, premium videos, daily picks from top-ranked players and more.
Start your FREE 7-day trial

About the Author

JMToWin
JM Tohline (JMToWin)

JM Tohline (Tuh-lean) – DFS alias JMToWin – is a novelist and a DFS player who specializes in high-stakes MLB and NFL tourneys, with a strategy geared toward single-entry play in multi-entry tourneys. He joined the DFS scene at the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, and has since won five DFS championship seats and two separate trips to the Bahamas. His tendency to type a lot of words leads to a corresponding tendency to divulge all his DFS thoughts, strategies, and secrets…which is exactly what he does in his RotoGrinders articles and RotoAcademy courses. You can find JM on Twitter at JMToWin.