JMToWin's NFL Edge: Week 12
Each week this NFL season, JMToWin will break down every game on the NFL slate from top to bottom, with a look at game flow, player matchups, coaching tendencies, DFS strategy, and anything else that shows up in his research that might give you an edge on the slate. Widely regarded as the most in-depth, DFS-specific article in the industry, this top-to-bottom breakdown is just what you need in order to conquer the slate and take home money each week!
Week 12
Thanksgiving Slate!
You know by now how I feel about small slates, so I won’t preach.
If you have been reading this article for multiple years, you may even recall how I feel about the Thanksgiving slate (hint: it might be similar to how I feel about small slates). But I’ll be honest: every year, I end up putting some volume in play on Thanksgiving. By “some volume,” I mean about 2% or 3% of what I put in play on a typical Sunday – but it’s volume nonetheless, and it’s risking bankroll nonetheless. There is just something fun about having action on Thanksgiving – even if it is a three-game slate. Obviously, I am not alone in feeling this way.
Each year, Thanksgiving is one of the biggest DFS days of the year. The sites run tourneys that are similar in size to what we see on Sundays, and each year these contests fill. People love it!
As such, I’m going to break down the Thursday games as if those three belong to their own slate. As always with Thursday night or Monday night writeups, you can apply the information to roster decisions on the full-weekend slate (and I’ll point out discrepancies along the way – between how we should be viewing these guys on the three-game slate, compared to how we should view them on the full-weekend slate), but the focus of the analysis will be the three-game Thursday slate. This way, you will be able to head into Thursday feeling prepared (far more prepared than your competition!) – even if three-game slates bring a lot more variance into play than a typical slate does.
A Strategy Note On The Thanksgiving Slate
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