Kevin Cole's 2018 NFL Betting Model: Divisional Round
Along with working extensively on NFL projections this season, I’m also putting the data to use projecting game outcomes.
Last week, we introduced a new model for side bets only and the model’s picks will only be posted on Thursday/Friday. The first version of the model is what I will call 1.0, and this model is the results of a lot of work during the season to develop a power-ranking system based on play-by-play data.
The data I’m using also has advanced metrics, including expected points added (EPA) and success rates based on EPA.
I will continue track total record for the year, along with what the results are of the new model.