MMA DFS and Betting Breakdown: UFC Fight Night - Moicano vs. Nolan

by Liam Heslin (LiamPicksFights)

Created Oct 30, 2026

Last Updated 2026-10-30 04:05:49 Premium Content Part of the product MMA Premium

Liam Heslin (aka LiamPicksFights) is a massive combat sports fan with over a decade of experience competing in wrestling and grappling martial arts. For each UFC event, he produces the MMA DFS and sports betting breakdown for RotoGrinders. Read below for his in-depth analysis on UFC Fight Night – Moicano vs. Nolan.

UFC Fight Night – Moicano vs. Nolan will take place at Meta APEX In Las Vegas, Nevada on October 31, 2026.

Editor’s Note: Analysis of remaining fights is coming soon!

Note: All DFS salaries listed are from DraftKings & all odds quoted are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

UFC Fight Night – Moicano vs. Nolan: MMA DFS Picks & Betting Breakdown

Favorite DFS Targets on DraftKings

Lucia Szabova ($9,600) vs. Tainara Lisboa ($6,600)

Fight Odds: -700 Szabova vs. +470 Lisboa
Weight Class: W135lb. (Women’s Bantameight)

While many women make it to the UFC with limited professional records, Lucia Szabova (UFC Debut; 12-0 Pro) stands out as an impressive debutant with a 12-0 professional record, including winning belts at two different weight classes in the European Okatgon organization. Her opponent, Tainara Lisboa (2-2 UFC; 7-4 Pro), has more UFC experience, but she is making just her 12th professional walk this weekend at 35 (7 years older than her opponent). Lisboa’s claim to fame when she signed to the UFC was that she fought Valentina Shevchenko in Muay Thai and kickboxing 16 years ago (2010). Lisboa was able to submit Jessica Rose-Clark (4-5 UFC) and decision Ravena Oliveira (0-4 UFC) in her first pair of UFC bouts, but she has been winless ever since. Lisboa has had multiple knee surgeries, her grappling has been a liability (subbed by Santos, gave up 2 TDs on 3 attempts as well as 5+ minutes of control vs. Croden).

I could see Szabova struggling in the early portion of this fight. She typically comes out aggressively, shows very little regard for defense, and she forces fights into the clinch. Lisboa comes from a Muay Thai background, she has developed her grappling game over a longer period of time than Szabova, and she is making her 5th walk to the octagon, a more familiar feeling than Szabova will be experiencing. Unfortunately for Lisboa, she is more likely to concede takedowns than to secure them (4:7 TD Ratio), she historically death gasses badly in rounds 2 and 3, and she seems to wilt when she is under pressure. Szabova is a bit void defensively, but she is constantly pressing the issue, looking for offense, and she seems conditioned after fighting 5 hard rounds in her last Okatagon title fight vs. a former UFC fighter in the form of Lucie Pudilova (3-8 UFC). If Szabova can avoid awkward exchanges on the mat while they are fresh, she should have more weapons, more staying power, and better cardio.

Prediction: Lucia Szabova defeats Tainara Lisboa via Rd. 2/3/DEC (or Either via SUB)

Piera Rodriguez ($9,200) vs. Talita Alencar ($7,000)

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