NBA Grind Down: Saturday, January 31st - Page Three
Phoenix at Golden State – 10:30 PM EST
- Vegas Line – Golden State -10, 227 Over/Under
- Phoenix Proj. Starters – Bledsoe-Dragic-Tucker-Morris-Len
- Golden State Proj. Starters – Curry-Thompson-Barnes-Green-Bogut
Phoenix | Golden State | |||||||||||
Vegas Total | 227 | Vegas Total | 227 | |||||||||
Vegas Sprd | 10.0 | Vegas Sprd | -10.0 | |||||||||
Team Proj. | 108.50 | Team Proj. | 118.50 | |||||||||
Team Pace | 99.21 | Team Pace | 101.28 | |||||||||
Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters | Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters | |||||||||||
DvP Rks | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | DvP Rks | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Proj Starter | Eric Bledsoe | Goran Dragic | P.J. Tucker | Markieff Morris | Alex Len | Proj Starter | Stephen Curry | Klay Thompson | Harrison Barnes | Draymond Green | Andrew Bogut | |
Opp. Season | 10 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 21 | Opp. Season | 11 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 22 | |
Opp. Last 7 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 30 | Opp. Last 7 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17 |
Phoenix
This is the best game of the night both for pure entertainment value and for DFS value, and it couldn’t set up any better being that it’s the last game. While the matchup against Golden State could sound scary since they are the #1 ranked team in defensive efficiency, they are the only team that averages over 100 possessions per game — and that pace counters the defensive efficiency for fantasy purposes.
Elite Plays
Isaiah Thomas — If you’re willing to forgive his dud of a game against the Bulls last night, Thomas has been incredible recently. Before that game, he had five straight games of 18 actual points or more which led to him exceeding value sometimes to the point of 8x his salary. The style of this game fits him perfectly, as is evident by his 37 fantasy points in 26 minutes against the Warriors in Phoenix earlier this year.
Goran Dragic — Another guy that killed the Warriors last time out, Dragic went 8-12 from the field and 3-3 from downtown en route to 33 fantasy points in only 29 minutes. I expect the guard play in this game to be stellar with a lot of fast break opportunities and early offense, so that’s where most of my exposure will be.
Secondary Plays
None
Golden State
The Warriors lost a disappointing game in Utah last night, their second in a row. Six of the Warriors’ eight losses have come back-to-back, but they haven’t lost more than two in a row all season. They will look to get back on track against the only team that plays in higher-scoring games than they do, and this one is going to be full of points.
Elite Plays
Stephen Curry — Curry is my favorite of the elite options tonight by quite a bit. He shot the ball incredibly well last night sinking 5 of 11 three-point attempts in 34 minutes. It’s easy to not give Curry the consideration he deserves since his totals are much lower than they should be due to all of the blowouts he’s played in this year, but in competitive games there are few (if any) better than him.
Klay Thompson — There’s plenty of value out there to where you don’t have to choose one or the other between the Splash Brothers. They are very positive correlated plays also, as they’ve combined for more than 100 fantasy points multiple times even in the last week or so.
Secondary Plays
None