NFL Advanced Matchups: Week 14
Now that we have the atypical Tuesday and Wednesday games from the last two weeks behind us, we should be able to fall back into the usual NFL schedule in Week 14. The playoff race is heating up, especially in the NFC East. Washington stunned the Steelers at home to end their attempt at perfection, the Giants also cut down the Seahawks on the road to keep pace with the Football Team based in Landover. To reiterate what I’ve previously passed along, this analysis should be used as a guide centered around playing the percentages to divulge the matchups at both ends of the spectrum. When you see FPG numbers, they are calculated using PPR scoring.
This article is written earlier in the week, so it is very important to take note of all defensive back inactives if you plan to use any recommendations or tail the ATS and/or over/under picks. QBs and receivers can have their fortunes flip in an instant as a result of these absences, shifting target/sit to sit/target outlooks. Sheer target volume can absolutely overcome some of the expected fantasy scoring downside due to a history of struggles facing a coverage shell/s. The same is true for positive game scripts reverting passing attacks to clock-killing ground games, negative scripts massively increasing pace of play in garbage time.