PGA DFS First Look: Waste Management Open - Odds Preview

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Cut Rule: The top 65 and ties move on after the first two rounds.

Recent Winners of this Event: Rickie Fowler (2019), Gary Woodland (2018), Hideki Matsuyama (2017 & 2016), Brooks Koepka (2015)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Off the Tee
2) Strokes Gained Approach
3) Birdie or Better %
4) Bogey Avoidance
5) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bermuda)

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2015-2019)

Golfer Odds DK FD YH DK % +/- FD % +/- YH % +/- Cuts 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Jon Rahm 6 $11,400 $12,100 $50 0% 0% 0% 4/4 10 11 16 500 5
Justin Thomas 9 $11,200 $11,900 $49 0% 0% 0% 3/5 3 17 76 82 17
Webb Simpson 14 $10,300 $11,700 $45 25% 0% 40% 3/4 20 84 2 14 500
Hideki Matsuyama 15 $10,100 $11,300 $48 20% 33% -33% 4/4 15 500 1 1 2
Rickie Fowler 16 $10,500 $11,500 $42 -67% -25% 29% 5/5 1 11 4 2 46
Xander Schauffele 17 $9,900 $11,400 $48 0% -20% -100% 2/2 10 17 500 500 500
Matt Kuchar 27 $9,400 $11,100 $42 13% 0% 0% 4/4 4 5 9 500 30
Bryson DeChambeau 28 $9,100 $11,000 $41 27% 0% 27% 1/1 500 5 500 500 500
Gary Woodland 28 $9,300 $10,900 $42 0% 0% -29% 3/5 7 1 100 33 77
Tony Finau 30 $9,600 $10,800 $41 -43% 0% 9% 1/5 93 73 91 90 22
Bubba Watson 30 $9,000 $10,600 $33 8% 8% 61% 4/5 4 40 91 14 2
Sungjae Im 31 $8,800 $10,500 $43 14% 8% -100% 1/1 7 500 500 500 500
Collin Morikawa 31 $9,200 $10,700 $42 -30% -18% -86% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Brandt Snedeker 33 $8,900 $10,400 $35 -8% 7% 22% 4/4 55 23 500 33 10
Branden Grace 44 $8,700 $10,200 $24 0% 12% 75% 1/1 2 500 500 500 500
Viktor Hovland 46 $8,400 $10,500 $39 11% -23% -23% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Scottie Scheffler 49 $8,500 $9,900 $39 0% 15% -31% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Ryan Palmer 49 $8,200 $10,100 $35 10% 0% 0% 3/5 60 84 113 24 2
Jordan Spieth 50 $8,600 $10,300 $39 -19% -19% -46% 2/3 500 73 9 500 7
Cameron Smith 52 $8,100 $10,000 $35 5% -5% -11% 3/4 15 48 42 103 500
Ryan Moore 60 $8,000 $9,900 $30 5% -5% 38% 3/5 74 84 61 11 17
Matthew Wolff 62 $8,000 $9,800 $34 0% 0% 0% 1/1 50 500 500 500 500
Jason Kokrak 66 $7,900 $9,700 $32 4% 4% 23% 3/5 20 31 76 90 40
Chez Reavie 69 $8,300 $9,700 $34 -26% 0% -9% 2/5 4 2 76 70 77
Daniel Berger 73 $7,800 $9,800 $26 4% -14% 50% 4/5 74 11 7 58 10
Corey Conners 74 $7,900 $9,600 $36 -8% 0% -53% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Byeong Hun An 74 $7,600 $9,600 $37 10% -4% -69% 3/3 20 23 6 500 500
Brian Harman 77 $7,800 $9,300 $30 -8% 13% 18% 4/4 39 500 24 58 66
JT Poston 77 $7,600 $9,400 $30 3% 3% 15% 1/1 26 500 500 500 500
Keegan Bradley 78 $7,700 $9,500 $29 -7% -7% 23% 4/5 67 43 76 24 17
Russell Knox 79 $7,700 $9,400 $30 -11% -3% 9% 2/4 10 73 106 500 15
Kevin Na 82 $7,600 $9,300 $34 -7% 0% -45% 5/5 60 48 16 24 26
Billy Horschel 83 $7,400 $9,100 $34 11% 8% -50% 5/5 39 43 24 24 30
Andrew Putnam 83 $7,500 $9,200 $31 -3% 0% -10% 0/1 108 500 500 500 500
Tom Hoge 87 $7,400 $9,000 $20 5% 8% 53% 1/2 44 84 500 500 500
Brendan Steele 90 $7,500 $9,500 $26 -9% -29% 28% 4/5 83 3 16 17 26
Bud Cauley 91 $7,500 $9,100 $28 -12% -3% 14% 2/3 26 84 47 500 500
Vaughn Taylor 91 $7,500 $8,900 $31 -15% 5% -23% 2/3 93 11 52 500 500
Andrew Landry 98 $7,200 $9,200 $20 15% -15% 48% 1/2 60 84 500 500 500
J.B. Holmes 98 $7,400 $9,000 $26 -8% -5% 20% 4/5 26 99 24 6 66
Adam Hadwin 101 $7,200 $8,600 $35 11% 16% -128% 4/5 44 43 12 17 120
Charley Hoffman 102 $7,400 $8,900 $24 -14% -5% 29% 5/5 20 26 24 51 53
Lanto Griffin 109 $7,200 $8,500 $33 7% 17% -54% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Emiliano Grillo 111 $7,300 $8,800 $29 -7% -2% -13% 4/4 33 57 63 45 500
Rory Sabbatini 115 $7,300 $8,800 $34 -10% -5% -105% 2/3 108 31 500 500 22
Zach Johnson 115 $7,300 $8,800 $23 -12% -7% 28% 5/5 39 57 12 14 10
Beau Hossler 119 $7,300 $21 -15% 33% 2/2 39 17 500 500 500
Denny McCarthy 122 $7,200 $8,600 $31 -4% 2% -55% 1/1 33 500 500 500 500
Max Homa 122 $7,100 $8,700 $24 6% -7% 17% 1/1 26 500 500 500 500
Harris English 125 $7,300 $8,600 $34 -22% -2% -127% 3/5 99 73 57 3 40
Sung Kang 131 $7,100 $8,700 $26 2% -11% -2% 1/3 119 99 12 500 500
Sebastian Munoz 133 $7,200 $8,500 $29 -13% 0% -33% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Martin Laird 133 $7,200 $8,900 $20 -13% -30% 31% 5/5 26 9 7 41 5
Harry Higgs 135 $6,900 $8,500 $21 16% -4% 23% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Joel Dahmen 135 $7,100 $8,700 $28 -6% -20% -28% 0/1 108 500 500 500 500
Scott Piercy 146 $7,100 $8,300 $28 -8% 3% -30% 3/5 20 84 73 45 103
Aaron Wise 147 $7,100 $8,400 $25 -10% -4% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Russell Henley 148 $7,000 $8,400 $20 0% -5% 23% 3/5 15 73 16 82 59
Dylan Frittelli 155 $7,000 $8,200 $27 -2% 3% -23% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Talor Gooch 156 $7,000 $8,200 $20 -3% 2% 20% 0/1 83 500 500 500 500
Charl Schwartzel 156 $6,900 $8,300 $20 6% -3% 20% 0/1 99 500 500 500 500
Carlos Ortiz 157 $7,100 $8,100 $26 -19% 3% -24% 2/3 60 500 500 90 53
Harold Varner 165 $6,800 $8,300 $28 10% -9% -47% 3/4 10 38 68 118 500
Sepp Straka 169 $6,800 $8,000 $20 9% 4% 15% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Matt Jones 175 $7,000 $8,100 $29 -12% -2% -67% 3/3 500 500 36 60 59
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 178 $6,800 $8,400 $23 6% -20% -3% 1/1 33 500 500 500 500
Jimmy Walker 179 $7,000 $8,000 $20 -16% 0% 11% 1/1 44 500 500 500 500
Nick Taylor 181 $6,500 $8,100 $21 23% -6% 3% 3/5 74 52 106 65 59
Sean O’Hair 182 $6,900 $7,900 $20 -8% 3% 8% 1/3 93 500 47 82 500
Cameron Tringale 185 $6,900 $7,700 $26 -9% 11% -40% 0/4 500 99 113 90 120
Grayson Murray 185 $6,700 $8,200 $20 8% -15% 7% 3/3 59 70 36 500 500
Sam Burns 187 $6,800 $8,000 $20 -3% -7% 4% 0/1 93 500 500 500 500
Kyle Stanley 188 $7,000 $7,900 $21 -26% -3% -4% 2/5 125 99 36 45 77
Chesson Hadley 188 $6,900 $8,000 $20 -14% -9% 3% 3/4 20 5 500 60 120
Adam Schenk 194 $6,800 $7,800 $20 -7% 0% 0% 1/1 55 500 500 500 500
Patrick Rodgers 196 $6,600 $7,800 $20 7% -1% -1% 1/4 99 99 118 17 500
Kevin Streelman 199 $6,800 $7,800 $22 -10% -3% -13% 3/5 50 40 76 70 30
Kevin Tway 199 $6,700 $7,700 $20 -1% 3% -3% 1/2 74 57 500 500 500
Sam Ryder 201 $6,600 $7,900 $20 4% -11% -5% 1/1 60 500 500 500 500
Brian Stuard 201 $6,600 $7,700 $24 2% -1% -36% 4/4 55 65 16 500 10
Nate Lashley 201 $6,900 $7,700 $30 -25% -1% -135% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Sebastian Cappelen 209 $6,700 $7,800 $20 -8% -9% -9% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Danny Lee 219 $6,600 $7,600 $27 -1% 0% -73% 2/5 44 73 127 4 108
Luke List 221 $6,700 $7,600 $20 -11% -1% -12% 1/4 83 26 91 70 500
Adam Long 225 $6,400 $7,600 $20 11% -2% -13% 0/1 119 500 500 500 500
Doc Redman 226 $6,600 $7,500 $24 -5% 1% -46% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Brian Gay 237 $6,700 $7,900 $28 -14% -23% -102% 4/4 55 9 47 64 500
Kevin Chappell 238 $6,500 $7,600 $20 0% -6% -17% 3/4 500 31 75 82 30
Brice Garnett 250 $6,400 $7,400 $20 6% 2% -19% 0/2 74 500 500 500 94
Wyndham Clark 257 $6,700 $7,400 $20 -18% 1% -20% 0/1 500 117 500 500 500
Aaron Baddeley 257 $6,200 $7,500 $20 17% -3% -20% 2/5 108 26 76 90 17
Chris Kirk 262 $6,300 $7,400 $21 10% -1% -31% 4/4 50 11 34 37 500
Austin Cook 265 $6,300 $7,500 $20 9% -7% -24% 1/2 127 31 500 500 500
J.J. Spaun 265 $6,400 $7,300 $20 2% 2% -24% 2/2 50 500 4 500 500
Tyler Duncan 271 $6,600 $7,500 $20 -16% -9% -27% 0/2 121 120 500 500 500
Ryan Armour 275 $6,500 $7,400 $20 -9% -5% -28% 0/2 108 73 500 500 500
Si Woo Kim 279 $6,200 $7,300 $26 11% -2% -94% 2/4 108 62 121 67 500
John Huh 281 $6,400 $7,200 $20 -3% 1% -31% 4/5 70 38 34 6 108
Troy Merritt 285 $6,300 $7,300 $22 3% -4% -46% 2/3 500 500 24 114 53
C.T. Pan 285 $6,500 $7,200 $25 -13% 0% -74% 2/3 60 62 113 500 500
Steve Stricker 297 $6,100 $20 13% -35% 2/4 83 31 42 70 500
Mark Hubbard 303 $6,200 $7,200 $23 6% -3% -59% 2/2 500 500 42 60 500
Luke Donald 306 $6,500 $7,100 $20 -17% 0% -37% 0/1 500 500 76 500 500
Chris Stroud 309 $6,400 $7,300 $20 -9% -9% -39% 1/4 7 84 500 70 94
Keith Mitchell 318 $6,400 $7,000 $23 -11% 2% -64% 1/1 73 500 500 500 500
Lucas Bjerregaard 318 $6,500 $7,200 $20 -19% -6% -40% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Patton Kizzire 324 $6,300 $7,100 $20 -5% -4% -43% 3/4 83 31 57 60 500
Ted Potter 326 $6,100 $7,000 $20 7% -1% -44% 0/1 108 500 500 500 500
Matt Every 329 $6,100 $7,100 $20 6% -6% -45% 1/4 500 109 113 24 125
Trey Mullinax 332 $6,500 $7,100 $20 -25% -7% -47% 1/1 15 500 500 500 500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 332 $6,100 $7,000 $20 5% -3% -47% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Peter Malnati 341 $6,400 $7,000 $20 -18% -5% -49% 0/2 500 73 500 70 500
Jamie Lovemark 350 $6,200 $7,000 $20 -4% -6% -51% 2/3 500 52 71 103 500
Scott Harrington 356 $6,200 $7,000 $20 -5% -7% -52% 0/1 500 500 500 500 77
James Hahn 368 $6,300 $7,000 $20 -13% -7% -53% 4/5 67 11 106 17 59
Roger Sloan 412 $6,000 $7,000 $20 6% -8% -55% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Greg Chalmers 418 $6,100 $7,000 $20 -1% -9% -56% 0/2 500 122 100 500 500
Hudson Swafford 424 $6,300 $7,000 $20 -16% -10% -57% 0/2 500 99 500 70 500
Brandon Hagy 429 $6,300 $7,000 $20 -17% -11% -59% 0/2 99 500 106 500 500
Mac Hughes 465 $6,000 $7,000 $20 2% -12% -60% 0/3 99 73 106 500 500
K.J. Choi 487 $6,000 $7,000 $20 2% -13% -61% 2/5 83 99 91 17 22
Satoshi Kodaira 488 $6,200 $7,000 $20 -12% -14% -63% 1/1 72 500 500 500 500
Seung-Yul Noh 488 $6,100 $7,000 $20 -5% -14% -63% 3/3 500 500 57 69 46
Kevin Stadler 665 $6,200 $7,000 $20 -14% -16% -65% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Colt Knost 691 $6,100 $7,000 $20 -8% -17% -67% 2/3 108 62 500 24 500
Bo Van Pelt 724 $6,000 $7,000 $20 -2% -18% -68% 1/2 500 500 500 51 77
Kyle Westmoreland 826 $6,000 $7,000 $20 -3% -19% -69% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Marty Jertson 885 $6,000 $7,000 $20 -4% -20% -71% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Martin Trainer 1047 $6,000 $7,000 $20 -5% -21% -72% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site % +/- The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2014 – 2018 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

Cover Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

  • spspates

    Notorious this article is the first piece of information I look at every week and it is extremely helpful. The Roto Academy course on PGA DFS is extremely insightful for new players and I would highly recommend that to anyone. It introduced me to the PGA Media Guide stats and I have been exploring it the past few weeks. Is there an easy way to pull down stats from the media guide? I have been copy and pasting into excel but it has been time consuming. Do you use fantasy national for the stats you want to incorporate for your model and then manipulate them in excel? And then pull down any additional stats from the pga tour media guide you want to include each week for a specific tournament? I think many players would be interested to get an idea of where to begin when trying to build their own models as it is intimidating and seemingly a very daunting task. I know this is an extremely loaded question and any insights or input would be greatly appreciated and I think more players would find this information extremely helpful.

  • SuckTeamZero

    If you use Chrome you can download an extension called Table Capture and it allows you to copy data to excel much easier

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