Brent Celek Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Week 13 injury roundup
Tyrod Taylor was carted off the field yesterday after he hurt his knee but he reportedly avoided ligament damage and is considered day-to-day with a patellar tendon contusion. If he misses any time, it would put rookie Nathan Peterman under center again, who will reportedly try to throw fewer than five interceptions in the first half. He didn’t throw any in relief of Taylor this weekend and fortunately for the Bills, they’ll be taking on one of the worst secondaries in the league when they host the Colts on Sunday. They’re giving up the most yards per attempt (8.3) while giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to QBs and ranking 13th in total interceptions (10). They were without their best corner, Rashaan Melvin (hand), in Week 13 and Blake Bortles tore them up, completing 74% of his passes for 309 yards and two scores. Melvin isn’t expected back this week and fellow starting CB Pierre Desir left Week 13 early with a shoulder injury. That could leave them with Quincy Wilson and Kenny Moore on the outside, who would rank 99th and 111th in PFF coverage grades if they qualified. On top of that, the Colts are 29th in adjusted sack rate and generally struggle to apply pressure on QBs. It’s going to be incredibly hard to trust Peterman and his pass-catchers if he starts but this matchup is worlds apart from his debut against the Chargers. Travaris Cadet is in the concussion protocol. He handled seven touches on Sunday. Mike Tolbert missed the past few games but he’s expected to return to practice this week. If both players end up out, it would open up a monster workload for LeSean McCoy. On the defensive side of things, CB Tre’Davious White is in the concussion protocol after taking a late hit from Rob Gronkowski. He’s had a fantastic rookie season, currently ranking fifth in PFF coverage grades and 13th in cover snaps per reception (14.5) while boasting a 51% catch rate. He’d primarily see Chester Rogers if he suits up, so his absence would be an upgrade for the receiver. Outside of one explosive game against the Steelers - when a huge chunk of his 6/6/104/1 line came on a 61-yard TD - he’s been relatively quiet, failing to top 35 yards or score. In another blow to their run defense, DE Shaq Lawson was carted off with an ankle injury. He’s PFF’s 31st-ranked edge defender against the rush and ranks 18th at his position in run-stop rate. His absence would help Frank Gore.
Matthew Stafford has a bruised throwing hand which shouldn’t prevent him from playing this weekend against the Buccaneers, whose defense is allowing the second-most yards per attempt (7.9) and fifth-highest completion percentage (67%). Stafford is eighth among quarterbacks with 7.8 ypa but he’s taken the second-most sacks (38) as he’s playing behind the 24th-ranked offensive line in pass blocking efficiency. Both RT Rick Wagner and RG T.J. Lang exited Week 12 early which is bad news considering they have the 9th and 5th-best pass blocking grades at their respective positions (per PFF). Fortunately for Stafford, Tampa Bay is dead last in adjusted sack rate (per FO).
Zach Ertz will have to the clear the concussion protocol after being forced from Sunday night’s game early with a head injury. That makes him questionable for Week 14. Last time he missed a game, Brent Celek played 81% of the snaps and Trey Burton played 70% and they ran routes on 35% and 38% of their plays, respectively. They both saw four targets but Burton was the only one to find the end zone. They’ll have a tougher matchup for TEs this time around when they visit the Rams, whose defense is allowing the sixth-fewest PPR points to the position while ranking fifth in DVOA.
Delanie Walker sprained his ankle on a touchdown grab and is considered day-to-day. He played well Sunday, catching all five of his targets for 63 yards the aforementioned score. Per usual, the Titans pass-catchers suffered because Marcus Mariota only threw the ball 23 times. They're running the sixth-fewest plays per game this season (60.6). DL DaQuan Jones has been placed on IR after he suffered a biceps injury Sunday. He had been playing well, racking up 3.5 sacks over the past two games. On the season, he posted the 12th-best run-stop rate among interior defenders. His absence will be an upgrade for Adrian Peterson in Week 14 if the running back is able to return from a neck injury.
C.J. Fiedoworicz could be done for the season after he suffered another concussion Sunday. The last one forced him to the IR and it’s his third since the preseason. With Braxton Miller also forced from the game with a concussion, Bruce Ellington dealing with a hamstring issue, and Will Fuller still sidelined, TE Stephen Anderson saw 12 targets and turned them into five catches for 79 yards and a score. The Texans are running out of people to throw the ball to; depending on how the injury situation shakes out, Anderson could be in line for another heavy workload against the 49ers this weekend. With all of their injury troubles at safety, San Francisco has struggled defending the position recently, allowing the fifth-most PPR points to TEs over the past four weeks. Of course, DeAndre Hopkins will continue to pick up a massive workload no matter what – he saw 14 targets last game – and the 49ers are 27th in WR1 DVOA.
Ravens CB Jimmy Smith tore his Achilles’ tendon on Sunday. He’d been dealing with a sore Achilles for most of the season, often missing practices to rest it. He’ll now miss the rest of the year, which is a big blow to the Ravens secondary. Per PFF, he was allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points per route (0.15) heading into Week 13. Rookie CB Marlon Humphrey will join Brandon Carr in the starting line up in place of Smith. He’s seen as many targets as Smith (40) in a little over half the snaps and he’s held receivers to fewer receptions (20 to 23) and yards (282 to 292). Similar to Smith, he hasn’t been charged with a touchdown and he’s picked off two passes (Smith has three). We’ll find out what he’s made of next weekend when he’s set to face Antonio Brown most of the game.
Dolphins CB Cordrea Tankersley suffered shoulder and ankle injuries Sunday but he was able to return the game. The team said they’ll go easy on his this week and the Sun Sentinel believes his status is uncertain. The Dolphins are set to face Tom Brady and the Patriots this weekend, so if they have to dig to into their bench, it would help New England’s passing game. Considering the Dolphins have allowed the second-most fantasy points to QBs over the past four weeks and rank 31st in pass DVOA, it’s already a tremendous spot for the Pats.
Rams LB Alec Ogletree injured his elbow but he believes he’ll be ready to play the Eagles this weekend. He’s one of the best pass-rushing linebackers in the game; he’s recorded the fifth-best pass rushing productivity rate among linebackers while recording the third-most pressures (17, per PFF). He would be very useful this weekend considering the Eagles offensive line is sixth in pass-blocking efficiency. They allow a high-percentage of pressures to be converted into sacks though. They’ve been charged with the tenth-most sacks (18) and rank 17th in adjusted sack rate (per FO).
Bears DL Mitch Unrein left Week 13 with a knee injury. He’s posted the ninth-best run-stop rate this season among interior defenders, so his absence next week would be a boost for Joe Mixon. The rookie runner impressed last week against a tough Browns run defense, picking up 114 yards and a TD on the ground. Although he’s last among qualifiers in PFF’s elusive rating (22), he was seventh in Week 12 (59.4). He also added three catches for 51 yards. On the season, his yards per route run would be fifth-among RBs if he qualified (1.83). The Bears are 14th in receiving RB DVOA but have held the position to the fifth-fewest receiving yards this season (34.3/g). Chicago also lost LB Pernell McPhee, PFF’s 49th-ranked edge defender in run defense, and LG Kyle Long to shoulder injuries. Chicago’s backup guards have performed poorly this season, so if Long misses time it’s a downgrade for their pass-protection and ground game. The Bengals defensive line is 18th is adjusted sack rate and 30th in adjusted line yards.
Chiefs DL Allen Bailey injured his knee Sunday, forcing him from the game. He hasn’t had a strong year and he’s earned PFF’s 105th interior defender grade. C Mitch Morse was carted off with a foot injury. He’s been battling foot problems all year and he’s the 29th-ranked center by PFF grading among 36 qualifiers.
Falcons LG Andy Levitre is dealing with a triceps injury. He’s PFF’s 16th-ranked guard this year and he’s allowed the eighth-fewest pressures at his position (12). With the Saints and the third-ranked defense in adjusted sack rate headed to town, Levitre’s presence could really help quarterback Matt Ryan.
Giants RT Chad Wheeler, Justin Pugh’s backup, suffered a concussion Sunday. Bobby Hart, PFF’s 68th tackle among 80 qualifiers, filled in for him. It’s possible Pugh will be able to return this weekend. As a unit, the Giants are 15th in adjusted sack rate and they’ll be taking on a Colts defense that’s 29th in the metric.
Zach Ertz ruled out Week 9; CB Ronald Darby inactive
The tight end suffered a setback with his hamstring injury in warmups this morning, forcing the Eagles to rule him out of their Week 9 matchup with the Broncos. It's a great spot for tight ends as the Broncos are funneling fantasy points to TEs, allowing the third-most PPR points per game to the position compared to the fifth-fewest to WRs. With a solid cornerback group covering the Eagles receivers, quarterback Carson Wentz may look for Trey Burton and Brent Celek often. The former has been more productive as a pass-catcher, hauling in 9-of-10 targets for 70 yards and score compared to Celek's 4/7/33/0 line. Burton has run a route on 53% of his snaps while Celek has a 32% rate. On top of that, Burton has been used as a slot receiver on 55% of his routes as the Eagles prefer him in the passing game while Celek is a better blocker and lines up almost exclusively at tight end (95%). Burton appears to be the better bet to take advantage of the favorable matchup.
Zach Ertz cleared and "ready to go"
Doctors have cleared the Eagles TE from his rib injury. He stated he's 100% and ready to go. He'll be a viable TE option this week going against the TE sieve Lions but his presence makes Trey Burton and Brent Celek not viable options.
Zach Ertz ruled out for Sunday's game
The Eagles have announced that TE Zach Ertz is out for this weeks game meaning it's another week of Trey Burton as the primary TE receiving threat. Burton and rookie QB Carson Wentz have shown a good connection and with Burton at or near the minimum price around the industry, he makes for an excellent GPP play this week. That said, it's not the best match up as Pittsburgh is 7th in TE DVOA. Brent Celek will also play at TE but he was a non-factor last week (put up a goose egg) and is an easy fade.
With Zach Ertz most likely out, Trey Burton is a great value option at TE
It appears that Eagles TE Zach Ertz will sit out this weeks game against the Steelers making Trey Burton a great value option at TE. He's developed a rapport with QB Carson Wentz and it was evident this past Monday as the two hooked up for a TD and Wentz looked his way often. Burton won't be overlooked by the DFS community this week so expect a bump in his ownership but at his price and going against a Steelers defense that is middle of the pack against TE's he's a very viable option. Brent Celek will also receive some playing time at TE but he had a 0 fpt outing last week and is not a viable option.
Zach Ertz not practicing Wednesday
Ertz didn't practice at all last week and the Eagles have a short week coming off of a Monday night game, so there is a very real chance that he's unable to play against the Steelers on Sunday. Trey Burton ended up tied for second on the team in targets with seven, which he converted into five catches for 49 yards and a touchdown. He'd likely see a similar workload Sunday if Ertz isn't able to go, as the Steelers have been picked on quite a bit with opposing TEs (although for a marginal level of success). Brent Celek would still be the starter, but Burton would be the main pass-catcher.
Zach Ertz to be a game-time decision for Week 3
Ertz missed Monday night's game and wasn't able to practice at all last week, so it's hard to imagine that he has better than a 50-50 chance at suiting up. Trey Burton filled in against Chicago and posted a healthy 5-49-1 line and with Brent Celek receiving only one target, it's looking very much like Burton will continue to get the majority of the looks while Ertz is on the shelf. Ertz's practice participation (or lack thereof) over the next few days will go a long way in determining his status for Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Trey Burton officially active, Celek to start at TE for injured Ertz
After missing Week 1, Burton is back in the fold to help replace the injured Zach Ertz, who could end up missing time beyond Monday night. Brent Celek will draw the start in Ertz's stead and figures to see in the neighborhood of 5-8 targets with Burton also likely to see some work as a receiver. It's possible that Burton takes on the majority of Ertz's targets, so he's also a potential DFS play but he's best left for deeper GPPs.
Zach Ertz misses another practice, almost certainly out Monday night
Ertz is very likely to miss the Week 2 tilt with the Bears, opening the door for Brent Celek and Trey Burton to see added work. Burton was inactive last week but will finally have a chance to showcase his ability on a national stage, and it's very possible the Birds continue to roll with multiple TEs sets regularly. Without a dearth of talent at the receiver spots, it's been something Doug Pederson has been talking up since the start of training camp. Celek has the higher floor, but both are intriguing GPP punt plays, especially in prime-time formats.
Sources say there is no shot Zach Ertz plays this week
A beat writer for the Eagles stated sources have stated that Zach Ertz has no shot of playing in the Eagles Monday Night Football game against the Bears. That'll leave the TE duties to Brent Celek with Trey Burton also being hurt. We'll update any news we get on the Eagles TE situation over the week as we learn more.