Brett Wallace Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Ubaldo Jimenez has been pitching so poorly, he was removed from the rotation and allowed five runs in a relief outing before being reinserted for today's start. Such is the state of the Baltimore rotation. The Padres have been one of the hotter offenses in the majors (134 wRC+ last seven days), but are still the 2nd worst offense vs RHP (77 wRC+, 17.6 K-BB%). When Ubaldo goes bad, which is often this year, it's generally with walks, while still keeping the ball on the ground 50% of the time. He has allowed batters from both sides a .342 wOBA since last season, but held RHBs to a 25.8 Hard% (LHBs 32.3 Hard%), which makes him kind of difficult to attack here, especially on DraftKings with some higher priced bats. The Padres really don't have a strong LHB, but Wallace (103 wRC+, .171 ISO vs RHP this season), Jankowski (107 wRC+ vs RHP this season) and Solarte (88 wRC+ vs RHP this season) are all $2.5K or less on FanDuel.

The Padres currently sit as the 4th highest run projection (4.80) but their run projection has been falling pretty much all day. Jon Gray is allowing a .455 wOBA to left-handed bats at home this season, putting Jon Jay, Yangervis Solarte, and Brett Wallace in play tonight. Will Myers also deserves consideration because he has been the best hitter for the Padres over the last couple weeks with a .500 wOBA, 225 wRC+. Myers salary is inflated but still should see a fairly large amount of ownership due to his recent surge. Solarte (.422 wOBA, 173 wRC+ L14) has also hit well over the last couple weeks but is an affordable $3.6K on DraftKings. Jon Jay has a .324 wOBA, 127 wRC+ over the last two weeks but has a .088 ISO vs. RHP, making him too risky for cash games. Brett Wallace is also too risky for cash games due to his recent struggles (.264 wOBA, 66 wRC+) but still deserves tournament consideration at Coors Field.

Aaron Blair has a -1.4 K-BB% in 31 big league innings and a 415 wOBA vs LHBs, which means we can even look at a few Padres in Petco against a RHP for once. Yangervis Solarte has been punishing RHP this year (141 wRC+, .200 ISO) for around $3.5K on either site. Brett Wallace (134 wRC+, .221 ISO vs RHP since last season) is an affordable First Base option ($3K) should you need to save salary. Wil Myers (113 wRC+, .198 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the one RH bat worth a look. He has a 244 wRC+ and 40.7 Hard% over the last week.

It's not often you're happy to pay more than $10K for Jeff Samardzija, but he has pitched at least 7.2 innings in each of his last four starts, allowing a total of five runs, with at least eight strikeouts three times and faces the worst offense vs RHP (66 wRC+, 24.9 K%). The Padres played 17 innings Sunday, following another extra inning game Saturday, before being shut down by Johnny Cueto last night and have a 25 wRC+ over the last week. Additionally, one of their top bats, Wil Myers is out tonight. Samardzija is a top pitcher tonight with no San Diego bats of interest with Wallace (132 wRC+, .224 ISO vs RHP since 2015) the only above average hitter over the last week (124 wRC+, 40.0 Hard%) batting 6th. The Padres have tonight's lowest run projection (2.8).

Jeff Samardzija seems rejuvenated in his new uniform. He's pitched at least 7.2 innings in five of his eight starts with a 10.1 SwStr% and 21.0 K%. That's a solid pitcher. And he faces the worst offense in baseball against RHP (70 wRC+). In addition, the Padres have a 59 wRC+ over the last week. Samardzija is a strong play for $9.9K on FanDuel. The issue is his $11.8K cost on DraftKings where you're now looking for more than 25 points from him. That's more questionable from a pitcher without an elite K%, though the Padres are at 25.1% vs RHP. Brett Wallace (141 wRC+, .239 ISO vs RHP since last season) bats cleanup again and Samardzija has allowed LHBs a .345 wOBA since last season. His cost is below $3K on both sites. There's little interest in any other San Diego bat, though Melvin Upton Jr. moves up to 2nd and has a 219 wRC+ over the last week (44.4 Hard%).

The Padres are finally starting to insert him into the middle of the order more often vs RHP, but Brett Wallace (153 wRC+, .243 ISO vs RHP) has been a find for them and a great value tonight for $3K or less, facing a HR prone pitcher with control problems and .363 wOBA allowed to RHBs since last season. Nelson's 19.9 K% hides a 6.3 SwStr% that is three points below his career 9.3 SwStr%. Nelson is difficult to justify at $9.2K on DraftKings no matter how good the matchup, but he has held RHBs to a .266 wOBA since last season and the Padres (71 wRC+, 26.0 K%) stack up seven of them tonight and $7.6K on FanDuel looks like something he might more be able to surpass.

Jacob deGrom has blamed his lost velocity on a shorter off-season, but while an over two mph decline hasn't hurt his results yet, he's faced the Phillies and Braves in two of his first three starts and now gets a third of the four worst offenses vs RHP this season. The Padres have struck out 26% of the time with a 66 wRC+ vs RHP and deGrom is still varying speeds enough with five pitches all thrown at least 10% of the time to garner a 12.1 SwStr% and an 83.3 mph average exit velocity that's 5th best in baseball among those with at least 30 batted balls. He may have issues down the road if this continues, but for tonight he should be fine against a poor offense and may even still be the top pitcher on a weak board. There's no interest in the San Diego bats with the lowest projected run total tonight (2.75) aside from potentially one cheap one at cleanup. Brett Wallace has a 151 wRC+, .240 ISO vs RHP since last season and a 243 wRC+, 66.7 Hard% when getting a bit of a chance overall this last week.

Rockies SP Tyler Chatwood has been average this season but has a great match up in Petco against a Padres team that can not hit RHP. They are worst in the league in wOBA vs RHP and are 24th in ISO vs RHP. They also have the third highest K rate this season. All this adds up to Chatwood being a definite option in GPP's today. Cesar Vargas is a cheap option for the Padres but has a much tougher match up facing a hot hitting (even away from Coors) Rockies team. The top four in the order for the Rockies are viable options today, especially LH bats Blackmon and Gonzalez. While we like Chatwood today, he's definitely not a lock for a great game so there is also merit to looking at Padres at the top of the order, with a cheaply priced cleanup hitter Brett Wallace (.373 wOBA, .207 ISO vs RHP) the top target.

Jon Gray has been punished in two Coors starts this season, but his stuff should play up outside of Colorado and he's in a great spot against a San Diego offense with a 67 wRC+ and 26.0 K% vs RHP. Away from Coors, he has a 3.46 xFIP and 30.1 K% since being called up last year. He's mostly a two pitch guy right now, but his fastball/slider combo should play well against the right handed San Diego lineup. Melvin Upton will sit, but Brett Wallace (140 wRC+, .207 ISO vs RHP since last season) might be an upgrade in this spot for daily fantasy players at under $3K. Myers and Kemp are average hitters vs RHP with some pop, but are more expensive in a pitcher's park. Kemp does have a 193 wRC+ and 52.9 Hard% over the last week though. Gray is a steal on FanDuel for $5.5K, where he may be a popular GPP play tonight, but he also has enough upside in a great spot to be used on Draftkings at a significantly higher price ($7.9K).