Jeff Brigham Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

With the cancellation in Boston, the Nationals now have the second highest implied run line on the board (5.20) and highest outside Coors tonight. Jeff Brigham makes his fourth start and suffers a park downgrade in Washington tonight. He's been particularly susceptible to same handed batters so far (.406 wOBA, .425 xwOBA, 50 Hard%, 5.6 GB%), which are some astonishing numbers even with just 25 faced. He's exactly 100 points better by xwOBA against LHBs, but again, the most extreme aspect is his overall 13.2 GB%. Everything in the air is a concern against a middle of the lineup with power and that's what the Nationals have in Bryce Harper (136 wRC+, .260 ISO vs RHP this year), Anthony Rendon (136 wRC+, .203 ISO), Juan Soto (149 wRC+, .221 ISO), and Ryan Zimmerman (92 wRC+, .206 ISO). At the top of the order, Adam Eaton (129 wRC+, .121 ISO) and Trea Turner (102 wRC+, .144 ISO) both exceed a 200 wRC+ over the last week.

The Marlins have a 5.67 bullpen FIP (9.1 K-BB%) that is the worst in baseball by a decent margin over the last month and start rookie Jeff Brigham in Washington. The Rangers (5.25 FIP, 7.8 K-BB%) are second worst and starting Yovani Gallardo, but get a park bump in LA (AL). Three more bullpens have risen above a five FIP over the last rolling 30 day period since yesterday. The Twins (5.07 FIP, 10.6 K-BB%) start rookie Kohl Stewart at home against the Tigers in a game where temperatures are expected to be in the 50s. The Royals (5.03 FIP, 6.9 K-BB%) are the only game off the board, in Cincinatti, in a game that has weather concerns. The Pirates (5.02 FIP, 14.7 K-BB%) are the new entrant and the peripherals suggest they may not be here long. They start the erratic Chris Archer at Wrigley. An astounding 10 teams are starting pitchers averaging five or fewer innings per start tonight. Of the ones not already mentioned (Brigham), the Blue Jays (4.51 FIP, 11.3 K-BB%) starting Sam Gaviglio against the Astros, the Phillies (3.84 FIP, 11.6 K%) behind Vince Velasquez at Coors and Orioles (4.37 FIP, 9.7 K-BB%) with Jimmy Yacabonis at Fenway would seem the best spots to attack, though that last one may not even play tonight.

Jeff Brigham has thrown fewer than 100 innings above A ball still with a 16.2 K-BB% in 52 AAA innings this season. He's walked five with four strikeouts in 7.1 major league innings. That's not enough information to make much of, but the Reds are implied for four and a half runs in an extremely negative run environment and their team 53 wRC+ over the last week. Exposure to some of their stronger bats in the top half of the order is certainly reasonable, but what's happened to Joey Votto's power this year (147 wRC+, .151 ISO vs RHP)? Scott Schebler (114 wRC+, .214 ISO) and Eugenio Suarez (121 wRC+, .229 ISO) may be useful bats here as well.

Six major league bullpens exceed a five FIP over the last month. Two of them appear on a seven game slate on Thursday night. The Marlins (5.33 FIP, 10.1 K-BB%) are the worst of the three. They start rookie Jeff Brigham, who has totaled 7.1 innings in his two starts, but he faces an ice cold offense (53 wRC+ last seven days) in an extremely negative run environment. The Nationals (5.15 FIP, 11.5 K-BB%) face a perfectly average Mets' offense in a somewhat neutral park, but attacking this bullpen means attacking Max Scherzer, who has allowed at least three ERs in four straight starts. The Red Sox (4.89 FIP, 12.3 K-BB%), Royals (4.86 FIP, 7.7 K-BB%), Reds (4.84 FIP, 11.6 K%, and Tigers (4.41 FIP, 8.1 K-BB%) are all in action tonight. That's Eduardo Rodriguez at Yankee Stadium, Jorge Lopez at Detroit, Cody Reed at Miami and Matt Boyd against the Royals. Not a particularly attractive matchup in the lot of them, aside from the Yankees maybe.