Mark Reynolds Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Margevicius is another pitcher (like Eric Lauer yesterday) that just isn’t cut out for Coors given the tiny 16.2% K rate and 9.6% SwStr. Overall, Margevicius has a 5.02 ERA, 4.91 xFIP, 5.03 SIERA, 9.2% K-BB and 37.8% hard contact. He’s also allowed a .346 xwOBA on the year with a 7.6% barrel rate and 87.1 MPH aEV. Charlie Blackmon (.366 xwOBA vs. LHP this year), Nolan Arenado (.358), Ian Desmond (.418), David Dahl (.412), Trevor Story (.321), Ryan McMahon (.335), Chris Iannetta (.321) and Mark Reynolds (.279) are all the projected batters in the Rockies lineup this afternoon and they are all in play given the matchup in Coors. Iannetta has the highest xwOBA over the past 14 days with a .453 mark, followed by Charlie Blackmon (.449) and David Dahl (.377). The Rockies currently have a 7.14 implied total versus Margevicius and the Padres today.

Facing Aaron Nola in Coors field Friday, there are a decent amount of value options in the Rockies’ lineup, especially on Draftkings where pricing has been tight. The matchup won’t be easy facing Aaron Nola, but Nola hasn’t looked like himself so far this year with a 7.45 ERA / 4.85 SIERA and just a 9.2 K-BB%. Mark Reynolds is batting 5th and is just $3.7k on DK, Reynolds had a 112 wRC+ last year and is still a plenty serviceable option. Raimel Tapia will follow him in the order as is the same price. Tapia is just a 73 wRC+ hitter in the bigs but has flashed upside in the minors and has SB upside. Garret Hampson will hit 7th at just $3.4k and is similar to Tapia with limited pop but SB upside. They are all good bets to hit value given the environment and not-so-tough matchup with a struggling Nola. Even David Dahl ($4.7k, career 115 wRC+) and Ryan McMahon ($4.5k, 103 wRC+ this year) feel a tad underpriced as top of the order guys in Coors. The Rox have a 4.85 implied total tonight vs. Nola.

A 4.24 implied run line isn't much to brag about, but it's third best on the board tonight. Steven Matz could be a useful SP2 on DraftKings for less than $6K, as he has been pitching well enough lately (3.29 FIP, .304 xwOBA last 30 days), but players not using him, who still somehow have salary to spare, should consider Washington bats in this spot. Matz owns a significant split since last season (RHBs .343 wOBA, LHBs .309 wOBA with an xwOBA less than 20 points different). Also, RHBs have a hard contact rate (36.9%) some 20 points higher and a ground ball rate (45.1%) 20 points lower against Matz since last season. While that removes the left-handed portion of the Washington lineup, Juan Soto is interesting for two reasons. First, his 199 wRC+, .390 xwOBA, and .311 ISO vs LHP. These are small sample numbers, but eye popping for sure. The other is that once Matz is out of the game, the Mets don't really have a LH reliever who's been successful against LHBs this year. Mark Reynolds (139 wRC+, .240 ISO) has bolstered his numbers against southpaws with three HRs in 14 PAs overall in the past week and may be the value bat in this lineup for less than $4.5K on DK or just $3.2K on FanDuel. Anthony Rendon (134 wRC+, .252 ISO) is the more consistent bat. Trea Turner (125 wRC+, .131 ISO) will likely be able to run at will on Matz should he reach base.

Chen is in search of a third straight quality start as he takes the mound in a road outing against the Washington Nationals on Saturday night, but he's generally pitched poorly outside a couple of outlier outings, as evidenced by a 5.55 ERA and an inability to make it past the fifth inning in over half of his 2018 appearances. Chen has been absolutely shelled in several of those starts, and those shellackings are still currently reflected in his 5.11 xFIP and 4.99 SIERA, numbers that appear to be well-deserved considering Chen has been relatively on par with his career averages with a .301 BABIP and 68.8% left-on-base-percentage thus far. A large majority of his troubles are stemming from significant control issues (9.1% BB%) that had initially led him to walk more batters than he struck for a brief stretch after being activated from the disabled list, and on top of that, both right-handed and left-handed hitters have combined to generate hard contact 35.5% of the time, which becomes a recipe for disaster when combined with a 42.4% fly ball rate and uninspiring 16.7% strikeout rate. The lack of command to batters on both sides of the plate makes this Nationals offense an intriguing one to target in all formats, especially with a lineup chock full of capable right-handed bats and two elite talents in Juan Soto and Bryce Harper swinging from the left-side of the plate. Even though Washington has consistently been a frustrating team to play, Anthony Rendon (47.4% HH%, 0.628 xwOBA, 0.233 ISO vs LHP) remains the obvious top option of any Nationals hitter given his strong splits against left-handed pitching, but he's closely followed by Soto (40.6% HH%, 0.457 xwOBA, 0.341 ISO vs LHP) and Harper (0.440 xwOBA, 0.190 ISO vs LHP), both of whom may be overlooked by the masses due to the absence of a platoon advantage, despite their own promising numbers against lefties this season. Then, just a tier below, Trea Turner (0.408 xwOBA vs LHP), Mark Reynolds (39.3% HH%, 0.413 xwOBA vs LHP), and Michael Taylor (40.4% HH%, 0.383 xwOBA vs LHP) are all perfectly fine options as members of a stack to round out lineups in large-field tournament formats this evening.