Tyrone Taylor Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

You want to play it safe and pay up for Aaron Nola or Brandon Woodruff tonight, while Dodger bats dominate hitter projections tonight. You’re going to need to some value bats tonight and while FanDuel suggests you can just be more selective with your Dodgers, projections for both sites agree that you plenty of top value can be found in the Milwaukee lineup tonight. Still in the hunt for the wild card, collectively, the Brewers have struggled against LHP this year, but Tommy Henry has a 6.0 K-BB% through eight starts with his only Quality Start coming against the Pirates in his second major league start. He hasn’t even completed five innings in any of his last three starts and with a 47.1 Z-0-Swing%, is generating a 90.6 mph average exit velocity on contact. He doesn’t have an estimator below five, nor does Statcast rate any of his pitches anywhere close to decent this year by Run Value. RHBs have a .359 wOBA and .355 xwOBA against him. Tyrone Taylor (102 wRC+, .205 ISO vs LHP this season), Keston Hiura (72 wRC+, .151 ISO) and Mike Brosseau (124 wRC+, .152 ISO) are the top three projected DraftKings values for $2.3K or less. Taylor ($2.2K) and Hiura ($2K), along with Andrew McCutchen (107 wRC+, .217 ISO) are top 10 projected FanDuel values for $2.5K or less.

Max Muncy (112 wRC+, .193 ISO) projects as a top overall bat and they top FanDuel value for less than $3K. Will Smith (122 wRC+, .204 ISO) and Justin Turner (120 wRC+, .139 ISO) also double as top bats and top projected FanDuel values within $100 of $3K against Jose Urena (LHBs .390 wOBA, .361 xwOBA – RHBs .290 wOBA, .314 xwOBA).

The only other offense projecting multiple top 10 values are the New York Mets on FanDuel, where Eduardo Escobar (95 wRC+, .158 ISO) and Tyler Naquin (113 wRC+, .213 ISO) for less than $2.5K against Cory Abbott (LHBs .387 wOBA, but just a .319 xwOBA). Abbott has struck out 20.1% of batters this year, but just 18.75% as a starter. He’s also allowed 14 of his 16 barrels (12.3%) as a starter and has just a 27.1 GB%.

In general, the Milwaukee Brewers aren’t anybody’s idea of a competent offense, but this changes when they’re facing a LHP as they are tonight. Their wRC+ vs southpaws is 114 with a 15.3 HR/FB and Drew Smyly should be supplying an ample amount of fly balls tonight. The strikeouts have disappeared (19.6%) for Smyly behind a 1.5 mph velocity drop from last year, while the ground ball rate (32.1%) has reverted nearly 10 points from last year, more closely in line with his career rate. With his exit velocity (91.8 mph) also a career high, his season has resulted in disaster. Nine of 10 Barrels (12.7%) leaving the yard is a bit unfortunate, but all of his estimators are around five or higher. In some case, much higher. Even including last year’s two month resurgence, batters from either side of the plate exceed a .345 wOBA and xwOBA against him since 2019. For some inexplicable reason, Tyrone Taylor’s price tag still remains no higher than $2.3K on either site. He has a 142 wRC+ and .211 ISO vs LHP and a 121 wRC+ overall over the last 30 days. The Milwaukee lineup does not contain a lot of proficient bats over the long term against southpaws, but it will include a lot of cheap bats against a struggling pitcher. None of the projected starters reach $3K on FanDuel and only Kolten Wong reaches $4K on DraftKings. At just 4.2 implied runs, the Brewers find themselves in the middle of the board tonight.

The Marlins and Brewers are not what most people who have followed baseball this year would confuse for good offenses. However, slap a left-hander on the mound and the Brewers have cranked out a 119 wRC+, the Marlins a 102 wRC+. But they’re also facing quality pitchers in Kwang-hyun Kim and Madison Bumgarner. In each case though, Statcast suggests some issues with both hard contact and RHBs that may not be immediately apparent. In Kim’s case, his 2019 profile was loaded with numbers that were expected to heavily regress, including a .217 BABIP and 86.6 LOB%. The BABIP is up to .346 in 2021, but the strand rate is still at 80% and just a single one of seven Barrels (13.2%) have left the yard through four starts! All of his non-FIP estimators are above his 3.06 ERA with the 5.03 xERA showing the potential of the contact profile. In fact, RHBs have a .331 xwOBA against him since last year, which lifts his actual mark a staggering 68 points. The Brewers have just a 3.66 implied run line, but five of eight batters in the projected lineup exceed a 115 wRC+ over the last 30 days. Tyrone Taylor (162 wRC+, .229 ISO vs LHP) won’t sustain this kind of success over the long haul, but might be the value play of the day on DraftKings where he still costs the minimum.

Bumgarner certainly has pitched better. He’s allowed three runs over his last 23 innings and just eight hits! This includes a terrific 28.7 K-BB% with just two walks. The velocity is somewhere in between where it was last year and in his heyday. He’s still allowing a 90.1 mph EV with a 32 GB% over this span, but has been a bit fortunate that two of five Barrels (9.8%) have left the yard. Great news if he can sustain those peripherals, though maybe not and he still has a 3.51 xFIP over this span. RHBs have a .330 wOBA and .351 xwOBA against him since 2019. Sure that includes his first year in Arizona, but also much more of his last year in San Francisco. The park probably saved a now hard contact prone pitcher from further mishap. The projected lineup for the Marlins includes six batters above a 100 wRC+ and .170 ISO vs LHP since 2019, several of them costing near the minimum on FanDuel.