Xavier Scruggs Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Carlos Carrasco has struck out eight or more batters in five straight starts
Carlos Carrasco lasted just four innings in his last start, the first time in five starts he had failed to go at least 6.2 innings, but he still managed to strike out at least eight batters for the fifth straight start with a 13.2 SwStr% over that span. A 37.2 Hard% has kept his ERA at 3.58 during this period, but when you have a K-BB above 30%, there’s not much to worry about. He faces the Marlins tonight, who have just a 10.0 HR/FB vs RHP and even less power than that currently in their lineup. In tonight's lineup, only Yelich (153 wRC+, .226 ISO) and Scruggs (120 wRC+, .171 ISO) have an wRC+ above 90 or an ISO above .130 against RHP this year. Carlos Carrasco is unquestionably a top pitcher tonight, especially with Ozuna out again.
The Marlins have a 0.0 HR/FB and 20.7 Hard% over the last week
Seth Lugo left after five innings in St Louis due to a leg cramp, but did not allow a run and has not embarrassed himself in two starts against quality offenses in St Louis and San Francisco despite a hard hit rate above 40% each time. He hasn't allowed a major league HR in 28.2 major league innings and while that won't last, it could continue tonight. The Marlins have shuffled the order with Ozuna (86 wRC+, .141 ISO vs RHP since 2015) batting second tonight and Yelich (136 wRC+, 174 ISO vs RHP since 2015) dropped to cleanup, but that doesn't make the remaining batters any better when you still have Ichiro Suzuki (64 RC+, .047 ISO vs RHP since 2015) batting sixth in 2016. The Marlins have not hit a HR in over a week (20.7 Hard%). Seth Lugo may not even be a back end starter long term on a decent team, but he only has to cover $4.1K on DraftKings against a terrible lineup tonight. The one look in this lineup might be Xavier Scruggs, the one hot bat in the lineup (183 wRC+ last seven days) for the absolute minimum on FanDuel and batting fifth.