NFL Advanced Matchups: Week 12

Matchup of the Week No. 1

DeAndre Hopkins, ARI ($8,100 DK | $8,500 FD) vs. Stephon Gilmore, NE

Along with most of the New England defense, Stephon Gilmore has not played to the level we’ve come to expect from him in recent years. It’s always possible that a nagging injury or two could be costing him a fraction of a step. However, we simply cannot completely disregard the impact Gilmore has had on DeAndre Hopkins over the last four seasons. Hopkins’ own set of nagging injuries could actually even out this confrontation. Over his last three, Nuk has seen his 22.3 FPG average drop to 14.9. We also need to remember that 35 percent of Hopkins’ 28.7 FP output in Week 10 resulted from this miraculous, game-winning 43-yard TD vs. Buffalo.

Without that Hail Mary production, which is entirely analytically unreliable, Hopkins has averaged 11.5 FPG over his last three. A portion of the blame can be attributed to Hopkins forcing the second-most defensive hold and interference penalties (15).

About the Author

  • Wes Huber (Wes_FantasyPoints)

  • Prior to joining the Fantasy Points staff, Wes dedicated the last six years to serving as one of the original grading analysts and the Director of Special Teams Analysis for PFF. In addition, he provided fantasy analysis for several seasons at PFF as the lead college writer, co-host of the DraftKings’ “College Daily” DFS podcast, and articles featured weekly on DraftKings Playbook. With nearly 30 years of fantasy experience under his belt, Wes began playing DFS in 2013, an experience that not only turned an immediate profit but eventually delivered him onto the doorstep at PFF. With a dedicated focus on studying game film and a faithful commitment to metrics & analytics, Huber’s specialties include DFS (college and NFL), Devy & Dynasty formats, and second-to-none fantasy analysis of high school prospects.

Comments

  • maaron83

    Your article is the best on RG! Appreciate all the details and analysis. Gonna help me win a $1M this weekend.

  • walsean1

    Great analysis from this article every week. It helps me weed through narrowing down my play pool

  • BOOKMAHON

    Look forward to this article every week. excellent analysis

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