NFL Underdog Player Predictions for Chiefs vs. Jaguars MNF (10/6)
Week 5, Monday Night Football: Below are three of the best picks on Underdog according to our projections team for the Chiefs vs. Jaguars game on October 6, 2025. Using factors like advanced participation data, the latest efficiency analytics, historical trends, and advanced matchup factors, every single pick is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge. Get access to all of these picks, including much more, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Don’t forget to check out our NFL weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s depth chart is looking like by heading to our NFL starting lineups page.
Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for Chiefs vs. Jaguars.
First… Sign Up to Make NFL Underdog Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NFL matchups each week. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
When making your NFL Underdog picks today, let RotoGrinders do the heavy lifting for you!
Underdog Top NFL Picks for Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL DFS picks on Underdog for Monday Night Football:
- Xavier Worthy higher than 4.5 Receptions
- Patrick Mahomes higher than 23.5 Completions
- Parker Washington higher than 15.5 Receiving Yards
Chiefs vs. Jaguars NFL Underdog Predictions
Xavier Worthy higher than 4.5 Receptions
The receptions projection for Xavier Worthy looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 4.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 58.6% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 1.9% edge.
Patrick Mahomes higher than 23.5 Completions
The completions projection for Patrick Mahomes looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 23.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 59.4% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 1.6% edge.
Parker Washington higher than 15.5 Receiving Yards
The receiving yards projection for Parker Washington looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 15.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 58.3% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 0.5% edge.
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