Tennis DFS First Look: Australian Open

DFS Tennis is back for the first Grand Slam event of the season! Explore the exciting world of tennis betting and DFS on platforms like DraftKings, PrizePicks, and Underdog for our Saturday, January 13th article. Whether you’re in search of tennis betting odds, DFS tennis projections, or insights into today’s slate, our comprehensive coverage has you covered. Join us as we review DFS tennis research and survey the landscape for the upcoming slate.

See below for matches, odds, projections, and Picks for The Australian Open.

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Today’s Tennis DFS Matchups and Odds for The Australian Open

Player Opponent Odds Opp Odds Event Surface Elo% Opp Elo%
Novak Djokovic Dino Prizmic -5000 1800 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 100.00% 65.27%
Andrey Rublev Thiago Seyboth Wild -8000 1600 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 98.90% 79.12%
Aryna Sabalenka Ella Seidel -5000 1400 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 99.55% 64.77%
Taylor Fritz Facundo Diaz Acosta -3000 1200 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 98.02% 79.56%
Jannik Sinner Botic Van de Zandschulp -1400 750 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 99.78% 91.21%
Maria Sakkari Nao Hibino -1400 750 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 97.05% 67.05%
Barbora Krejcikova Mai Hontama -500 360 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 97.27% 68.86%
Tomas Machac Shintaro Mochizuki -350 270 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 92.97% 52.75%
Caroline Dolehide Leolia Jeanjean -280 220 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 70.91% 59.55%
Francisco Cerundolo Dane Sweeny -275 215 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 94.73% 25.27%
Xinyu Wang Diane Parry -275 220 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 87.05% 68.41%
Lloyd Harris Quentin Halys -250 200 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 76.48% 80.66%
Liudmila Samsonova Amanda Anisimova -245 200 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 97.95% 86.82%
Christopher O’Connell Cristian Garin -245 195 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 81.76% 85.27%
Jesper De Jong Pedro Cachin -250 200 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 63.74% 71.43%
Jason Kubler Daniel Elahi Galan -200 160 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 83.30% 71.21%
Frances Tiafoe Borna Coric -190 155 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 94.51% 93.19%
Jeffrey John Wolf Sebastian Baez -170 140 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 87.69% 91.43%
Zhuoxuan Bai Elina Avanesyan -170 140 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 81.14% 69.09%
Caroline Wozniacki Magda Linette -165 135 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 30.00% 84.77%
Sara Sorribes Tormo Alina Korneeva -165 135 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 88.86% 71.36%
Pavel Kotov Arthur Rinderknech -125 -105 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 82.64% 77.80%
Tamara Korpatsch Jodie Anna Burrage -155 130 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 72.50% 61.59%
Brenda Fruhvirtova Ana Bogdan -150 125 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 72.27% 87.73%
Daria Snigur Alycia Parks -145 120 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 65.23% 72.95%
Fabian Marozsan Marin Cilic -130 110 ATP – Australian Open (M) Hard 83.96% 30.00%
Maria Timofeeva Alize Cornet -130 105 WTA – Australian Open (W) Hard 46.14% 78.64%

Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook as of publication time.

Top DFS Projections for The Australian Open

Player fpts matches sets games aces df
Novak Djokovic 77.61 0.90 2.82 19.51 8.44 3.02
Taylor Fritz 76.86 0.90 2.82 19.66 12.44 2.70
Andrey Rublev 76.86 0.90 2.82 19.56 9.81 2.31
Jannik Sinner 74.83 0.89 2.80 19.34 8.65 2.34
Maria Sakkari 65.69 0.89 1.68 11.21 3.43 2.75
Aryna Sabalenka 65.36 0.90 1.69 10.58 5.28 3.39
Lloyd Harris 62.67 0.68 2.38 22.18 21.56 4.41
Tomas Machac 61.41 0.74 2.53 19.72 9.48 3.31
Barbora Krejcikova 61.21 0.79 1.59 11.93 3.78 4.08
Christopher O’Connell 59.73 0.68 2.36 20.52 11.14 2.85

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Top DFS Projected Ownership for The Australian Open

Player own%
Novak Djokovic 29.20%
Andrey Rublev 28.52%
Taylor Fritz 26.82%
Jannik Sinner 25.64%
Jeffrey John Wolf 20.37%

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Top DFS Optimal Lineup Rates – The Australian Open

Player Opto%
Andrey Rublev 15.80%
Aryna Sabalenka 15.73%
Taylor Fritz 15.60%
Maria Sakkari 15.53%
Jesper De Jong 15.40%

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Tennis DFS and Pick’EM Picks for The Australian Open – PrizePicks, Underdog, and DraftKings

Aryna Sabalenka: Sabalenka takes the spotlight as the #2 points-per-dollar player that is not commanding an outsized ownership expectation. Sabalenka boasts an impressive ELO rating percentile of 99.55 and remains #2 in the world rankings. She is also the defending champion of this event with overwhelming odds of -5000 against Ella Seidel. This event is full of high-profile men in the elite salary range on DraftKings, but all of those players show a possible higher ownership rate. Sabalenka has the edge there, and this could be a smooth and high-upside performance that gives you an advantage.

Jesper De Jong: The 23-year-old Dutch player is a sizeable favorite in this spot against world #72 Pedro Chacin. That should say something about how odds makers view his prospects on the tour. He has come through qualifying in impressive fashion, and a win should be enough to get home with just a 17.5 fantasy score threshold on PrizePicks. For what it’s worth, these two faced off in March of 2023, and De Jong absolutely cruised in the second set, taking it 7-5, 6-2 for the W.

Novak Djokovic: He’s playing some of the best tennis he’s ever played at an advanced age, and beating some absolutely terrific competitors in the process. With all due respect to 18-year-old Dino Prizmic, I would not qualify this opponent as on the level. The -5000 odds (FanDuel) certainly imply the same. Prizmic was able to get through qualifying to earn the right to face the living legend, but he was absolutely roasted against his last actual opponent of note (Brandon Nakashima) recently at the Workday Canberra International Canberra. A fantasy score of 32 on PrizePicks requires significant dominance in a 3-sets-to-win environment, but that’s essentially what we should be expecting here. That would obviously be useful in DFS as well, though the price is demanding it.

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

  • Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

  • Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino

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