Tennis DFS Simulation Tool: Optimal Lineups and Analysis for DraftKings

by Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino) Last Updated 2026-03-11 16:06:20 Premium Content Part of the product TEN Premium

Welcome to the Optimal Tennis Tool for DraftKings!

We can now use our tennis DFS projections and bookmaker odds to simulate the outcome of Tennis DFS events. Below, you will find a tool that estimates how often a player might appear in the winning lineup. Side by side, you can find an early estimate of DFS ownership percentages for comparison purposes. The goal is to provide a simple metric to aid in your DFS decision-making.

This tool also features the results of a contest simulation executed under preset conditions. Using our simulation trials, we calculated the results of a simulated contest comparing 20,000 lineups against a simulated field of opponents. The resulting output provides you the ability to review the top lineups from that simulation for each player. There are multiple metrics available to sort and filter your results. You can also scroll to the bottom of each tab to download the lineups.

Note: This data is updated for each projected slate. You can always find the most up-to-date projections in our tennis optimizer, LineupHQ.

Tennis DFS Optimal % Tool

We use the odds of each matchup to run trials of a simulated “slate,” selecting the winner of each match based on the wisdom of the betting markets.

From there, each player receives a projected range of outcomes based on their result. We select a realistic value for both the winner and the loser in each trial and repeat as necessary to form a data set from which to perform evaluations. That data gets sent to the optimizer, and we calculate the optimal roster percentage.

The Contest Sim works like this:

— The Sims data gets sent to an optimizer, and 20,000 lineups are generated.

— Each lineup is graded against a sample field of lineups in a contest simulation.

— The results of contest simulation are tabulated, with the “grade” being representative of higher expected ROIs (based on the SIM).

— The best lineups for each player are presented for your interpretation, analysis, and hand selection.

Below, you’ll the find the results for today’s action.

Tennis DFS Optimal % Tool Tips

• The lineups are separated by analysis type.
• Only a limited number of lineups are allowed to overlap from tab to tab (top 20 only).
• Grade is a 1-99 rating of ROI. Typically, lineups on the higher end appear in this tool.
• Top10, Top100, ITM are percentages reaching those thresholds in the simulation runs.
• This is a simulation using our conditions. Plenty of room exists for your own interpretation.

Want to use this powerful simulation tool? Sign up for Tennis Premium!

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