NHL Daily Plays: Monday, February 23rd

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After a crazy hockey schedule last week, we go back to normal this week in the NHL with a typically quiet Monday, featuring only two games. As I have said before, Mondays are the calm before the storm in the National Hockey League.

With only four teams in action, there is less room for error in your cash games and in order to separate yourself from the pack in GPPs, going contrarian by taking the underdogs or using teams’ second lines seems like a smart way to go. It is an interesting couple of games tonight with two of the weaker offensives in the league (Arizona Coyotes and the New Jersey Devils) facing each other, and in the other contest we have two of the NHL’s elite (Detroit Red Wings at the Anaheim Ducks) squaring off.

GOALTENDERS

Make sure to check the RotoGrinders Starting Goalies Page to confirm that the goalies listed below are starting prior to game time.

Cory Schneider, New Jersey Devils – Schneider is playing his best hockey of the season right now, winning his last three games and allowing only four goals along the way. Schneider has been incredible in the month of February (1.74 GAA, .939 SV%) and has been a rock in goal for the Devils on home ice (1.84 GAA, .931 SV%) all season long . The Arizona Coyotes have lost five consecutive games and are not a team that travels well. The Desert Dogs remain one of the league’s worst offensive teams, ranking third-last in goals per game (2.19). Cory Schneider and the Devils are hot and I expect them to win a low scoring contest tonight.

Other Goalies To Target (Cash Games) – None

Other Goalies To Target (Tournaments) – Jimmy Howard, John Gibson, Mike Smith

CENTERS

Ryan Getzlaf, Anaheim Ducks – Getzlaf has scored goals in consecutive games and now has 57 points in 57 games this season. Getzlaf is one of the most consistent scorers in the NHL and is the Ducks’ offensive leader. Anaheim should be able to score three or more goals tonight and you can bet Getzlaf will be heavily involved.

Pavel Datsyuk, Detroit Red Wings – Datsyuk put on a show Saturday night in Dallas with two goals, four points, a +3 rating and four shots on goal. The “Magician” now has four goals, eight points and 18 shots on net in his past four games. Due to his consistency and big game upside, Datsyuk is in play on a nightly basis.

Other Centers To Target (Cash Games) – Henrik Zetterberg

Other Centers To Target (Tournaments) – Ryan Kesler, Antoine Vermette

WINGERS

Mike Cammalleri, New Jersey Devils – Cammalleri has two goals and three points in his last two games and happens to be the Devils’ best offensive threat. Arizona is one of the NHL’s weaker defensive units, ranking 25th in shots against (31.9) and 28th in goals against (3.27) per game his season. The Coyotes’ defensive numbers actually get worse when on the road and they also have the league’s fourth-worst penalty kill. Despite their offensive struggles at times this season the Devils have the NHL’s ninth-best powerplay and managed to score seven goals in their past two games. If I am selecting one Devil tonight, it would be Cammalleri.

Justin Abdelkader, Detroit Red Wings – If you are looking for value on the wing, Justin Abdelkader makes a nice choice. Abdelkader had a goal and four shots on net in Detroit’s win over Dallas on Saturday night and continues to skate on the Red Wings’ top line and number one powerplay unit. The Anaheim Ducks have played very inconsistent hockey this month, allowing the fifth-most goals against per game (3.30) in the NHL. Detroit is coming off two big wins over the Chicago Blackhawks and Dallas Stars, scoring 10 goals in the process and I think they keep scoring tonight on the Pond.

Steve Bernier, New Jersey Devils – Bernier continues to skate on the Devils’ top line and number one powerplay unit, despite going pointless in his last three games. After a strong start to the month of February, it appeared Coyotes goalie Mike Smith was finally turning his ugly season around. However, Smith has since lost four straight games, allowing 13 goals in the process. The Coyotes weak defensive play has not helped Smith this year, as they have allowed way too many scoring chances and shots on goal. Arizona’s defensive struggles are unlikely to be resolved any time soon and we should continue to pick on them each night they are in action. As long as Bernier remains in this role, he makes a tremendous value play.

Other Wingers To Target (Cash Games) – Corey Perry, Gustav Nyquist, Patrick Maroon, Tomas Tatar

Other Wingers To Target (Tournaments) – Shane Doan, Teemu Pulkkinen, Tobias Rieder

DEFENSE

Cam Fowler, Anaheim Ducks – With the injury to Sami Vatanen, it appears the Ducks will turn to Cam Fowler as their temporary powerplay quarterback. Fowler has spent his entire career pretty much underachieving, despite having a ton of offensive upside. Fowler is extremely inexpensive and perhaps he will step up and produce tonight, as he’s the Ducks’ best offensive threat from the blue line.

Other Defensemen To Target (Cash Games) – Eric Gelinas, Niklas Kronwall

Other Defensemen To Target (Tournaments) – Keith Yandle, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Marek Zidlicky

Good Luck Grinders!
Pepsi7

About the Author

  • Chris Lowery (pepsi7)

  • Chris Lowery aka Pepsi7 has a long of history of proven success in fantasy sports getting his start in season long leagues where he won many high stakes expert leagues across baseball, football, and hockey. He made the jump to DFS in 2012 and dominated MLB in 2013 in a huge way by winning the FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship for a six-figure payday. The RotoGrinders Director of NHL content, Pepsi7 can frequently be found on RotoGrinders GrindersLive shows, videos, and written articles providing expert insight for hockey and baseball.

Comments

  • themolt

    Pepsi7, thanks for your weekly recommendations. I’m just getting into NHL DFS. I have my own spreadsheet that I bounce up against the “experts” to help teach myself.

    I’m curious today, why Cam Fowler. Over last 12 (non-OT or SO games) he has averaged a measly .4 fpts. Including OT and SO, he averages .03 fpts per min. At only $400 more on FD, Francois Beauchem averages 3.1 fpts and .18 per min. He gets just as many minutes and is on the 2nd def line and 1st power play line. In fact, he comes up as the best value / overall D play in my analysis.

  • pepsi7

    • 2013 FanDuel WFBC Champion

    • x3

      2012 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    It is strictly about upside and top powerplay. Fowler is on the top powerplay according to Daily Faceoff. http://www2.dailyfaceoff.com/teams/lines/13/anaheim-ducks/

  • sirrobert6

    • Blogger of the Month

    Disgusting NJ picks. Cammy is pretty obvious, so I support that.
    People need to stop suggesting and picking Bernier now. He has no previous stats to back up that he is any kind of consistent threat. Frankly, I have not seen him get more than a couple pts this year, and I pick Schneidshow as my general must play. Bernier isn’t good enough to be a solid fantasy player, period. Give him ultimate ice time on any team, and unless he is lined with a legitimate superstar he will be cold. There is a reason he hasn’t done ANYTHING in the past three games, and its because he isn’t very good. Pulkkinen is by default miles better because he lines with two of the better Cs in the game right now, Zetterburg and Datsyuk. No mention of Elias who has been fire as of late (especially under Bernier terms), no Adam Larsson at all though he has been completely fire? ONE WORD FOR TONIGHT, SILFVERBERG.
    Also, Fowler over Lindholm? I like Fowler’s price, but Lindholm has met value almost every game, that’s why his price keeps going up and Fowler’s hasn’t changed all season.
    I agree with everything but youre NJ and Fowler picks, and keep giving them to my opponents, I’ll take on Bernier every night.

  • sirrobert6

    • Blogger of the Month

    @themolt said...

    Pepsi7, thanks for your weekly recommendations. I’m just getting into NHL DFS. I have my own spreadsheet that I bounce up against the “experts” to help teach myself.

    I’m curious today, why Cam Fowler. Over last 12 (non-OT or SO games) he has averaged a measly .4 fpts. Including OT and SO, he averages .03 fpts per min. At only $400 more on FD, Francois Beauchem averages 3.1 fpts and .18 per min. He gets just as many minutes and is on the 2nd def line and 1st power play line. In fact, he comes up as the best value / overall D play in my analysis.

    Completely agree Molt, Fowler isn’t really an option for me unless to desperation punt. Could he be an option? Absolutely, vs teams in the bottom of the standings, but tonight? meh, just can’t see him cashing.
    Could it happen? Most definitely it is going to happen eventually, but unless you are looking for a small sample score, keep Fowler off your cards most night, he will not pay off long run.
    Go with Lindholm. Beauchemin is a way better option than Fowler, but neither have the long range consistency as Lindholm this season.

  • dude_abides7

    I think you guys are missing the general tenor of what Pepsi said: That on a 2 game (4 team) slate you are going to have to get creative to differentiate your LU if you plan on winning money. Otherwise, it makes more sense to sit these type of nights out. And those that do play are certainly betting less than what they typically would.

    I for one will only be focusing on GPP and about 1/3 of the amount that I normally do since I will be avoiding higher % cash plays that, in the case for tonight, don’t provide the profit safety they typically would because of the shitty slate. Not only is the slate small, but 2 of the 4 teams have inconsistent offense and that is putting it nicely. Who the hell knows where these goals are going to come from? Therefore, matchup sometimes will override the numbers when there are no better options to be had and I think Pepsi did a good job of pointing these out. Context matters, this slate sucks…some of the guys “in play” tonight certainly won’t be tomorrow, but…hey, they are now, so they get written up.

    Small slate GPP is what it is – Sure, go ahead and target the top chalk plays and there is a 25% chance you 2x/3x your bet in the larger $1,2,5,10, 25 tourneys. To each their own. That said, I’d rather scale back my action significantly on a slow night and go super contrarian to try to hit for a high multiplier through targeting guys I normally wouldn’t risk money on. I’d rather throw a few ‘hail mary’ bucks than needling my way to a small profit. Like I said, these are the kinda nights many just choose to sit out and there is a reason for that!

    Targeting a guy like Fowler may be what differentiates your LU from the mass amount of people fighting over the same small groups of player and I think it is a fine suggestion. Lindholm will be 35-40% owned. Fowler will be closer to 10%? His top PP position puts him in a “+” situation to hit. And if he hits and Lindholm doesn’t (based on the aforementioned ownership % scenario) you stand a better chance of moving up to the top of these GPP events.

    Just my 2 cents.

  • rob_zilla_miller

    on a lighter note… i like the name Cammalleri. it makes me think of a Camel named Larry, and that’s just plain silly.

  • RustyNutz

    Dude_abides… that’s exactly the strategy couldn’t have said it any better myself! But I’ll let my opponents keep picking the 50% owned guys and fighting for the scraps.

  • pepsi7

    • 2013 FanDuel WFBC Champion

    • x3

      2012 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    sirrobert6 – Bernier has gone pointless in 3 games, just like I mentioned in the article, but he and Fowler are incredible inexpensive and both have upside due to their roles. They are both on their teams top powerplay unit and make solid punt/ value options tonight, I am not suggesting you take them over better players. Be careful with Larsson, he has looked decent the last two games, but he is not seeing much PP time. Chasing points is never a good idea. I do like Elias tonight, but I’m not sure two points in his last five games counts as being on fire.

    dude_abides7 – Bang on my friend. Not everyone reads the blurb at the top.

  • illuminatedk

    Fowler has more upside than Francois.

  • elctrceye

    • Blogger of the Month

    Ansar Khan @AnsarKhanMLive · 4h 4 hours ago
    #RedWings Zetterberg (head) doubtful vs. Ducks, Pulkinnen (leg) taking warmup to see how he feels, Quincey (lower body) out, per Ken Holland

  • themolt

    Francois goaaal

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