CFB Props and Pick'em
Arch Manning o31.5 Pass Attempts (-110)
Risking 0.55u to win 0.5uI am going back to a method that has worked often throughout the season, and we just missed a 2-0 sweep by a couple of pass attempts with BYU last weekend.
The Texas offense has looked like a completely different unit in the second half of the season, and this is a huge rivalry game where they should rely more on their key weapons. Manning looks more comfortable in the offense, and Quintrevion Wisner has become the clear RB1. As such, I am rolling with the over on Manning's pass attempts and Wisner's rush attempts by splitting to win a full unit. We only need them to be involved in 48 plays (32 passes for Manning and 16 rushes for Wisner) for this to go 2-0, and Texas should get well over 60 offensive plays in this game as a favorite that should control the possession.
As usual, I think a 2-0 outcome is far more likely than 0-2 barring injury or a total blowout - the latter of which is unlikely in a game with a single-digit spread.
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