Best NFL Prop Bets Today

​We combine an NFL props model, game and player simulations, plus current data from NFL player prop markets to help assess our edge. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (Over or Under) to win and the expected win percentage relative to the player prop line and odds.

On a deeper level, and as we mentioned earlier, we have a team of analysts designated to determine our prop model inputs and monitor our player prop projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our NFL prop bets unique compared to what you’ll find from other products. Our best NFL prop bets aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

You should take our best NFL prop bets today as the starting point for your own betting research. We can’t promise they will win, but we do believe there’s an edge in the NFL player props that we highlight. You can make informed decisions by referencing our player prop projections relative to the current available prop lines, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of NFL betting experts.

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as the NFL prop model is activated for the week by our projections team.

​Live NFL prop odds are updated throughout the day as lines and odds change across sportsbooks. Our player prop projections may also adjust as we react to any relevant news, including but not limited to injuries and weather.

Our NFL player prop bets cover prop markets from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365, Hard Rock, BetRivers,
and BallyBet.

You can access all of our best NFL prop bets today, plus more sports, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package.

STAT – The type of NFL prop being offered for the respective player. These may be more traditional player props like receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Or they could be a combination of statistical categories, like rushing yards + passing yards.

LINE – The prop line is the number currently available at a sportsbook, which you are betting Over or Under on.

SIDE – This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our FanDuel props model.

WINPCT – This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate at which our NFL prop betting model thinks the selected side (OVER or Under) will win.

EDGE – This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on current NFL prop odds. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are mostly likely to be profitable.