2024 Week 6 College Football Weather: Spots I'm Watching for Weather Impacts
College football is a sport that can be significantly impacted by weather, and betting lines on games can change drastically based on an ugly forecast. While it’s nearly impossible to stay on top of the forecast with so many games each week, this article will bring you an early-week look at some games with potential weather issues that could ultimately result in some lines moving one way or another.
Just like we do for the NFL, we’re focusing more on wind than rain. While rain or snow can impact play, especially if it’s heavy enough, it’s tough to pinpoint heavy downpours until moments before kickoff. With wind, we not only see significant impacts on the game itself, especially passing and kicking, but it’s also something that can be reliably forecasted days in advance. You can then use this to your advantage when making your picks on DFS sites and sportsbooks.
2024 College Football Week 6 Spots I’m Watching
- IU @ Northwestern – Winds around 15 mph sustained, gusts 20+ mph.
- Rutgers @ Nebraska – Winds around 20 mph sustained, gusts 30+ mph.
- Baylor @ Iowa State – Winds around 15 mph sustained, gusts 20+ mph.
- UCF @ UF – Typical Florida showers and storms.
Impact of Weather on Sports Betting
Any games with sustained winds around 20 mph create difficult conditions for passing and kicking and will see a significant drop in the total as we move through the week, so generally speaking, it’s best to hit any windy unders early in the week as this season progresses. Rain can have major impacts to the passing as well as increasing turnovers, but in most cases, it’s hard to know with any real confidence how wet a game will end up until right before kickoff. Temperature is something that generally only matters on the extremes, especially if we’re talking about games played well below freezing temperatures. And even in those cases, the typical impact to scoring is only a slight negative.
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