AFL DraftKings Picks: Friday, June 19th DFS Strategy
The next Showdown slate for the Australian Football League (AFL) will be the contest between the Western Bulldogs and Greater Western Sydney Giants. The action gets underway at 19:50 Australian Eastern Standard Time (05:50 AM ET) on Thursday. These two teams have grown a recent rivalry in fierce finals competition and face off in a prime time game in Australia. Let’s take a look with markets, history, teams and DraftKings fantasy thoughts.
If this is your first look at AFL DFS make sure you are aware of the game itself in our How to Articles:
— How to Play Daily Fantasy AFL on DraftKings
— AFL Daily Fantasy Strategy Steps to Success
— Using AFL Data
You will also want to leverage these tools to help build your Round 3 lineups:
— AFL Daily Projections from Daily Fantasy Rankings
— AFL Lineup Optimizer / Lineup Builder: LineupHQ
— FREE DraftKings Round 3 Cheat Sheet and Projections
— FREE DFS Matchup and Data Tools from Daily Fantasy Rankings
Also, be sure to catch some fantastic multimedia from Daily Fantasy Rankings every week. Below, you’ll find the DFR DFS Down Under Show in which Smatho and Big Hef break down this match between the Bulldogs and the Giants. Subscribe on YouTube and don’t miss an episode!
AFL Betting Market Odds, Teams and Weather
Western Bulldogs (+135) v GWS (-141)
Total Over/Under – 137.5
Spread – 9.5
Lines and Prices are correct at the time of publication (2030 AEST 18-06-2020) and subject to change.
Weather Forecast
We are playing at Marvel Stadium which is an indoor venue, so no issues here!
Final teams can be accessed via the League’s Website afl.com.au for this match and a reminder that confirmed starters are at 60 minutes before the match commences.
Credit – afl.com.au
Fantasy Contests Available
DraftKings have posted their main GPP contest with a $60,000 USD pool for a $10 USD entry. The contest is a 150 max contest. However, once contests are filled that is it! They do not continue to grow, so ensure you have your entry in your chosen contest reserved!
Quirky Fact – In 2019 the Bulldogs were one of the toughest teams to score against in the league, while through 2 rounds in 2020 they have given up the second most fantasy points
Lineup building tips: There are three clear trends that come from the Data Tools on our Daily Fantasy Rankings site. First of all, the Bulldogs are leaking so much fantasy points to premium opposition Midfielders in the league they are actually the worst in this position. Secondly, Ruckman Tim English is unable to stop opposition Ruckman fantasy output, giving up the most fantasy points to Rucks. Thirdly and more importantly, the Giants Matt de Boer is sent to the best midfielder for the Bulldogs. In previous matches de Boer has gone straight to the Bulldogs’ Marcus Bontempelli and this close attention is called ‘Tagging’.
Players of Interest
Sam Jacobs – R – $6,400
All signs are pointing to Tim English being the easiest target for rucks in the league with English giving up 96 fantasy points per game through 2 games. Furthermore, Sam Jacobs has recent history against English from when the Crows faced the Bulldogs in Round 23 last season. Jacobs put on a ruck domination with 58 hit outs and 115 fantasy points. He just monstered English in the contest, and unfortunately through two games there has yet to be any evidence that something will have changed in this regard. 1st and easiest decision you make here.
Jye Caldwell – M – $4,300
Caldwell was popular against the Kangaroos in Round 2 and saluted the “value gang” with a 54 point performance. Whilst minimal, Caldwell has attended centre bounces and is looking like a dream matchup for anyone in a Giants uniform at the moment. Particularly those playing through the midfield and up forward, which is where Caldwell spends the majority of his time.
Lachlan Ash – D – $2,900
Ash is a highly touted first game player for the Giants after being taken in the 1st round in the 2019 draft. Ash is a defender but plays “loose” looking to intercept Marks and possess an accurate kick. Can’t ignore his low price and only needs 40+ to smash value.
Jacob Hopper – M – $6,600
I love the Hopper play at the moment, especially at this price. He is not as popular as Josh Kelly, Stephen Coniglio or Lachie Whitefield, however he has a more certain role through the middle at the moment. Hopper is one of the top players in centre bounce attendances for the Giants this season with 17 in Round 2 (behind only Jacobs and De Boer). Hopper looks to be the best matchup for midfielders in the league across a small sample this season and he is ‘almost’ a total lock and load play for me.
For further analysis of the Friday Slate and access to Daily Fantasy Rankings AFL resources, we have a further breakdown on this slate in our Friday Preview on the Daily Fantasy Rankings site.
RotoGrinders Premium subscribers can also access DraftKings AFL DFS Projections, which can be found in LineupHQ for more great options on this week’s slate.
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Author: Luke Mathyssen
Player Image Credit – GWS Giants