AFL DraftKings Picks: Sunday 26th July DFS Strategy
Three games are on the slate on Sunday in Round 8 of the AFL with many teams trying to keep their finals chances alive. The slate gets underway at 13:05 Australian Eastern Standard Time (23:05 ET Saturday). The Eagles and the Magpies is the feature match of the day but all three games look good on paper.
DraftKings main GPPs contests continue to have serious overlay on each slate so we need to strike while the iron is hot! If this is your first time playing Daily Fantasy Aussie Rules, make sure you check out content from our partners in Australia Daily Fantasy Rankings to get you up to speed on AFL DFS.
If this is your first look at AFL DFS or need to advance your skills then make sure you are aware of the game itself in our How to Articles:
— AFL DFS: A Beginner’s Guide to Aussie Rules Football
— AFL Daily Fantasy Strategy Steps to Success
— Using AFL Data
You will also want to leverage these tools to help build your Round 8 lineups:
— AFL Daily Projections from Daily Fantasy Rankings
— AFL Lineup Optimizer / Lineup Builder: LineupHQ
— FREE DraftKings Round 8 Cheat Sheet and Projections
— FREE DFS Matchup and Data Tools from Daily Fantasy Rankings
AFL Betting Market Odds, Teams and Weather
Adelaide (+150) v Essendon (-185)
Total Points Over/Under – 123.5
Spread – 10.5
West Coast (-141) v Collingwood (+115)
Total Points Over/Under – 113.5
Spread – 5.5
Melbourne (+140) v Brisbane (-175)
Total Points Over/Under – 124.5
Spread – 9.5
Lines and Prices are correct at the time of publication (1830 AEST 07-25-2020) and subject to change.
Weather Forecast
Adelaide – Partly Cloudy day.
Perth – High chance of showers (70%), likely in the morning
Gold Coast – Morning Showers clearing (night game)
Team Announcements
Final teams can be accessed via the League’s Website afl.com.au for this match and a reminder that confirmed starters are at 60 minutes before the match commences.
Tom Bellchambers returns as the no. 1 Ruckman for the Bombers. Luke Shuey returns after his late omission last round. Jordan de Goey’s hand injury will keep him out for months. Stefan Martin is also out through injury which brings in Archie Smith to be the no 2 Ruckman for the Lions.
Credit – afl.com.au
Fantasy Contests Available
DraftKings have posted their main GPP contest with a $10,000 USD pool for a $12 USD entry. The contest is a 29 max contest.
Lineup Building tip: Melbourne have been the top team to target with backs in the league this season and by some margin. Overall they are giving up +7.1 points per player above the league average. Also on this slate we have Collingwood who are giving up the 4th most points in the league to the position at +4.7 points per player. This gives up multiple options to stack defenders on this slate.
Players of Interest
Matthew Scharenberg – D – $4,200
He is back after injury and looking underpriced for the performance he put on through two games this season where he posted 50 and 64 fantasy points. Over his interrupted career he has shown the ability to put up fantasy points in the Collingwood back line, which loves to possess the football. This slate has no clear value plays so finding other sources of savings will be critical.
Brad Sheppard – D – $6,200
Sheppard has been on fire in recent weeks taking full advantage of the West Coast Eagles game style to rack up plenty of cheap possessions across half-back. This matchup should be no different with the Pies giving up the 4th most points to the position this season. With West Coast back in the confines of their hometown, Sheppard has all but assumed top dog status in their half back stakes as he is now being found to set up more play with Shannon Hurn entering the very late twilight of his career.
Andrew McGrath – M – $7,500
Essendon midfielders against Adelaide. Say no more, love this price. There is a beautiful mid-ranged combination you can go with the Bombers that includes McGrath (19 CBAs), Devon Smith (15 CBAs) and Parish (13 CBAs). Stacking up these three won’t totally break your bank, which can be key on a slate such as this where there isn’t an obvious spend down. In addition, these three all have the best matchup in the league for their position.
Jarryd Lyons – M – $7,200
Lyons is typically my go to when the Lions are in a plus matchup through the midfield. Neale is looking too expensive and always has the possibility of a tag looming. However, Lyons flies under the radar and is as solid as a rock. With a season averaged of just under 89 points per game and a ceiling score of 106 points this week he certainly has the capability of paying off this salary in what is a very positive matchup against Melbourne.
For further analysis of the Sunday Slate and access to Daily Fantasy Rankings AFL resources, we have a further breakdown on this slate in our Friday Preview on the Daily Fantasy Rankings site.
RotoGrinders Premium subscribers can also access DraftKings AFL DFS Projections, which can be found in LineupHQ for more great options on this week’s slate.
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Author: Luke Mathyssen
Player Image Credit – AFL