AFL DraftKings Picks: Thursday, June 25th DFS Strategy
The AFL is back for Round 4 for the 2020 Premiership season. Kicking things off this Thursday we head off to the Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG) where the Sydney Swans will host the Western Bulldogs. The action gets underway at 19:40 Australian Eastern Standard Time (05:40 ET). Both teams come into this match after successful Round 3 wins and will be looking to climb the standings in this shortened season. Let’s take a look with markets, history, teams and DraftKings fantasy thoughts.
If this is your first look at AFL DFS make sure you are aware of the game itself in our How to Articles:
— NEW! AFL DFS: A Beginner’s Guide to Aussie Rules Football
— AFL Daily Fantasy Strategy Steps to Success
— Using AFL Data
You will also want to leverage these tools to help build your Round 4 lineups:
— AFL Daily Projections from Daily Fantasy Rankings
— AFL Lineup Optimizer / Lineup Builder: LineupHQ
— FREE DraftKings Round 4 Cheat Sheet and Projections
— FREE DFS Matchup and Data Tools from Daily Fantasy Rankings
Also, be sure to catch some fantastic multimedia from Daily Fantasy Rankings every week. Below, you’ll find the AFL DK Down Under Show in which Smatho and Big Hef break down this match between the Swans and the Bulldogs. Subscribe on YouTube and don’t miss an episode!
AFL Betting Market Odds, Teams and Weather
Sydney (-115) v Western Bulldogs (-105)
Total Over/Under – 126.5
Spread – 1.5
Lines and Prices are correct at the time of publication (1530 AEST 06-24-2020) and subject to change.
Weather Forecast
Clear conditions in Sydney throughout Thursday and light winds in the evening. No issues here for night footy!
Team Announcements
Final teams can be accessed via the League’s Website afl.com.au for this match and a reminder that confirmed starters are at 60 minutes before the match commences. Remarkably, the Swans are playing 3 Ruckman in this contest which is quite rare in this modern game. Here are the teams below.
Credit – afl.com.au
Fantasy Contests Available
DraftKings have posted their main GPP contest with a $60,000 USD pool for a $10 USD entry. The contest is a 150 max contest. DraftKings are now starting to post contests and salaries at earlier times which is fantastic to grow the fantasy pools.
Quirky Fact – These teams are 2-all since the Dogs beat Swans in 2016 Grand Final. However the last time these two teams played at the SCG was in 2017. The last time these two teams played was Round 1 2019. Sydney outscored the Bulldogs in fantasy scoring but still lost the game.
Lineup Building tip: The first thing you will notice if you are familiar with these players or looking at the players projections is that Sydney players are on the cheaper side on DraftKings. It is quite easy to build 7-2 or even 8-1 stacks in Sydney’s favour, however, this is a coin flip match and you need to have the mindset of letting the value pass.
Players of Interest
Jake Lloyd – D – $8,000
The Dogs have given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opponents top 3 defenders through three games this year and Jake Lloyd is the uncontested King for possessions. The Bulldogs allowed their Round 3’s opponents (Giants) to rack up the possessions down back and only need to look at Aidan Corr’s 79 fantasy points to validate this decision. Lloyd is currently 2nd in the league for defenders in fantasy scoring.
Oliver Florent – M – $6,400
Florent is the man of the future at the Swans. He has fast become their most commonly used midfielder in the centre with 19 centre bounce attendance last week. His scores are naturally rising as well, averaging 77 points in the shortened quarters, with a season high of 90. The Bulldogs have given up the most uncontested possessions in the league this year and Florent feasts on these averaging over 14 per game.
Louis Butler – D – $2,700
The 18-yo speedy defender will play his first game for the Dogs after being a late draft pick in the 2019 draft. Butler was a standout for his junior team in the Sandringham Dragons and impressed the coaches so much over the pre-season to get his 1st start. Any new player under $3,000 needs to be considered in single game formats as this will allow salary savings.
Tom Papley – F – $5,700
With a large number of Dual Position Players (DPP) in the forward spot, you will find the stand alone Forwards with minimal ownership. Papley leads the Swans goal kicking tally (along with Issac Heeney) and has pushed through half-forward at stoppages. With the Bulldogs 6th on season in fantasy scoring against in the position then Papley is a great GPP play.
Jack Macrae – M – $8,600
Macrae is another player likely to see a boost from the Dunkley injury. So far since the return of games post COVID-19 he played a significant portion of time on the wing to cover the loss of fellow Midfielder Lachie Hunter to suspension. Last season he spent most of his time in the middle and averaged a massive 115 points. If coach Luke Beveridge lets him get back to that role, he could easily pay off the massive price tag.
For further analysis of the Thursday Slate and access to Daily Fantasy Rankings AFL resources, we have a further breakdown on this slate in our Thursday Preview on the Daily Fantasy Rankings site.
RotoGrinders Premium subscribers can also access DraftKings AFL DFS Projections, which can be found in LineupHQ for more great options on this week’s slate.
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- Access to Content and LineupHQ
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Author: Luke Mathyssen
Player Image Credit – AFL