Bengals vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks
The penultimate week of the 2021 NFL season is upon us, and viewers are in for a real treat this Sunday. Kicking off the conference championship weekend, we have two-time AFC title incumbent Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosting 2020 No. 1 pick Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals. This should be a fantastic game, and it’s a perfect opportunity for us to make some money on a Same Game Parlay on PointsBet.
For anyone not familiar, a Same Game Parlay (or SGP) basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides NFL bettors with good options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.
SGPs have become one of the most popular options in sports betting, and we’ve been all over them since the start of the 2021 NFL season. Let’s dive right into our parlay for this conference championship battle, and let’s boost up our bankrolls ahead of all the Super Bowl pools!
All odds are from PointsBet. All stats are from Pro Football Reference and TeamRankings.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay
- Pick Your Own Line: Bengals +10.5 (-160)
- Alternate Totals: OVER 47.5 (-276)
- Home Team Total: Chiefs OVER 24.5 (-351)
- Quarterback Passing Yards: Patrick Mahomes OVER 290.5 (-115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce (-140)
- Receiving Props: Tyreek Hill 50+ Receiving Yards (-375)
Total Odds: +500 | Bet: $100 | To Win: $500
Point Spread: Bengals +10.5 (-160)
I almost picked the Bengals at the spread set by oddsmakers, which was +7.5 at -115. But on PointsBet, we can set whatever spread we want for either team. For the cost of just -45, I secured the Bengals +10.5 at -160. It feels like a no-brainer to me. The Bengals have enjoyed an incredible run to the AFC title game, and Joe Burrow looks like one of the premier QBs of the NFL’s future. And Cincy just beat Kansas City on January 2, with Burrow going 30/39 for 446 yards and four touchdowns. Rookie of the Year favorite Ja’Marr Chase hauled in 11 catches for 266 yards and three scores in that contest, another dazzling game for the rookie’s record-breaking receiving year. This team is special top to bottom, even playing great defense over the course of the last few weeks. But Kansas City is a monstrous giant to slay, especially coming off massive momentum with a huge victory over Buffalo in the game of the year, and I don’t know how anyone could feel confident betting against the Chiefs straight up. Patrick Mahomes and his inner circle of trust—wideout Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce —always seem to get the job done when the lights are shining the brightest. You’ve got to buy some points! Since the start of the 2021 season, the Chiefs are 9-2 at home, but they’re 6-5 ATS at Arrowhead. In that same span, Cincy is 7-2 as an away team, and 5-1 as a road underdog. Bet the Bengals, with some help.
Alternate Totals: OVER 47.5 (-276)
This one’s a bit pricier of an upgrade, considering the set over/under for this game is at 54.5 right now. But when you put together a parlay of four to six legs, you have to include some solid foundational bets. I feel nervous about betting any over beyond 52 points—it’s just not a great move in parlay-building. I feel quite confident that this game will surpass 47 points. That’s the equivalent of six touchdowns (and extra-points) and two field goals. Kansas City averages 3.6 touchdowns per game on the year, while Cincy averages 3.0. The Bengals convert 1.9 field goals per game, while the Chiefs make 1.6. That’s a long-winded way of assuring you, when it might have been easier to just say that Kansas City ranks as the No. 4 scoring offense in the NFL (29.7 points per game), while Cincy sits at No. 8 (26.6 per game). This should, by all intents and purposes, by an air battle between Mahomes and Burrow.
Chiefs OVER 24.5 (-351) and Mahomes OVER 290.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Mahomes had a somewhat pedestrian regular season by his standards, not exactly peppering his game logs with 300-yard bonanzas. But he’s been hot as a sizzling steak since the playoffs kicked off. He finished Kansas City’s Wild Card weekend win over Pittsburgh with 404 passing yards and five touchdowns. Mahomes followed that up with 378 yards and three scoring strikes in a massive Divisional playoff win over Buffalo last weekend. When Mahomes finds this zone, he is practically impossible to slow down. If he can put up 378 air yards and three scores against the No. 1 ranked defense in America, I think he can exceed 24.5 points and 290.5 passing yards against the Bengals.
Anytime TD Scorer: Kelce (-140) and Hill 50+ Receiving Yards (-375)
As long as we’re including a Mahomes yardage prop, we might as well include receiving props for his two top dogs. Kelce remains the most dominant tight end in football, just imposing his will against defenses of all abilities. And Hill still looks like the speediest and most blistering wideout, burning secondaries at the very moment he sees any kind of separation. Mahomes has the two best security blankets in the NFL, and he’s still very talented at hitting them on time and on target. Kelce has six touchdowns in KC’s last five games, and he’s found paydirt in each of those five. Hill has 207 total yards over the Chiefs’ two playoff victories—150 against Pittsburgh, and 57 against Buffalo. This is another no-brainer in my eyes, but maybe you’d feel more confident going in without these receiving props and taking on a four-legger at +290. Whatever you decide, good luck and enjoy what should be an incredible show!
Image Credit: Imagn