Buccaneers vs. Falcons Player Props: Three Predictions for Thursday Night Football
What can we expect on Thursday from Baker Mayfield, Bijan Robinson, and Rachaad White? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Thursday, October 3, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.
This week’s edition of Thursday Night Football features Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons in an important NFC South division matchup.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
If looking to wager on the player prop market for Buccaneers vs. Falcons, we have 3 prop leans to consider for Thursday evening!
Buccaneers vs. Falcons – NFL Player Props
- Baker Mayfield Over/Under 22.5 Completions
- Bijan Robinson Over/Under 60.5 Rushing Yards
- Rachaad White Over/Under 9.5 Rush Attempts
Baker Mayfield UNDER 22.5 Completions (+100, Bally)
In Week 4, Baker Mayfield had a low aDOT and prioritized getting the ball out quickly, which led to a season-high 30 completions. However, it’s also worth noting that Philadelphia’s defense ranks 28th in EPA/play against the pass this year, whereas Atlanta ranks a much more respectable 19th. There is also the fact that the Falcons will be without a pair of starting linebackers this evening, which could lead to the Buccaneers placing an unusually high emphasis on getting the ground game going. Atlanta has been allowing a lot of completions so far this fall, but a short week and a slow divisional affair could make it difficult for Mayfield to hit the over at such a high market number.
Bijan Robinson UNDER 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115, Bally)
Bijan Robinson is one of the most talented running backs in the entire NFL, but this is a big number for him tonight. Atlanta is playing without their starting center, and Robinson is being forced to share touches with Tyler Allgeier. In Week 4, Allgeier had 8 carries to Robinson’s 7. Even if we assume Robinson gets a dozen carries this evening, it’s far from a guarantee that he gets to this number.
Rachaad White UNDER 9.5 Rush Attempts (-143, Bally)
Rachaad White has managed 10+ rush attempts in 3 of 4 games to begin 2024, but it’s hard to ignore that he’s rapidly losing his stronghold on Tampa Bay’s running back room. Bucky Irving had 10 carries in Week 4, including a touchdown. Irving had 9 attempts for 70 yards the week prior against the Broncos – a game in which White was held to only 17 yards on 6 attempts. At a minimum, this has evolved into a 50/50 split for carries. However, it seems more likely that we see Irving continue to gravitate towards a lead back role in this offense as we get deeper into the season.
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