CBB Grind Down: Friday, February 13th

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Glean insight from one of the game’s best, Varncass, as he lists picks he’ll actually be targeting in his tournament games below, along with detailed analysis and reasoning.

Friday, February 13th

Happy Friday guys! Generally do not do a lot for the two-game slates, but because we have a lot of tournaments and interest, I figured I would get something up for you guys. Not a lot to look at today, but we should have a resurgent Arizona State team score a lot of points against Washington State, and we should also see the gaping hole in Washington’s interior be exposed by Arizona.

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Arizona at Washington

Arizona Washington
Vegas Total 141 Fast Break Pts/Gm 9.00 Vegas Total 141 Fast Break Pts/Gm 3.50
Vegas Sprd -11 Paint Pts/Gm 31.18 Vegas Sprd 11 Paint Pts/Gm 19.25
Team Proj. 76 Opponent TOs/GM 11.38 Team Proj. 65 Opponent TOs/GM 11.45
Ast/TO Ratio 137% Field Goal % 51.10% Ast/TO Ratio 125% Field Goal % 43.80%

Arizona

Stanley Johnson – Since Washington lost Jarreau and Upshaw, their interior defense has plummeted along with their NCAA tournament hopes. The team has to be at a low in confidence, and it will be something that Johnson can exploit here. While Stanley is good at shooting the 3, he does a ton of work inside and is at a very cheap price here for his ability, which should result in a high ownership percentage, but he’s close to a must own tonight against the hapless Huskies.

TJ McConnell – Parker-Jackson Cartwright should be back for this game, which will take a little bit of the load off of York and McConnell in their guard rotation, but TJ is still going to be the number one option here. I would really like to attack the Washington interior more, but Tarczewski is inconsistent and prone to fouls, and Ashley has one of the lower upsides I have seen out of a major rotation big. Arizona can be used here against a Washington team who will run.

Brandon Ashley – Ashley is a little expensive but his matchup could not be better. Tarczewski is going to be tied up with Kemp, and a guy like Donaven Dorsey or Darin Johnson or Gilles Dierickx will end up being on Ashley, none of whom are very good defenders. He has a very low upside, but could shatter that today. He is a nice filler if you need someone, but is not a plug and play option tonight.

Washington

Mike Anderson – I am not a big fan of Washington in this game and think I would rather pay up for guys like Hawkinson and Stanley Johnson rather than Nigel Williams-Goss. Instead, I will use Anderson here, who is much cheaper and locked into 35-40 minutes of game time. Anderson does it all and will need to rebound a bit more against Arizona than he has post Upshaw and Jarreau. Anderson is one of the only serviceable defenders that Washington has and he does a bit of everything out there.

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About the Author

Varncass
Jon Schiller (Varncass)

Jon Schiller (aka Varncass) has been providing college sports content for the fantasy industry since 2012 and the sports betting industry since 2022. He’s an analytics junkie who uses any and all predictive stats and game theory to discover edges for the RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds community. Follow Jon on Twitter – @Bronzesword